专家：美不与以沟通取消袭伊计划或为避免局势失控

According to Israeli sources on the 2nd, several Israeli officials revealed that prior to the U.S. unilaterally canceling the established attack plan against Iran, Israel was excluded from decision-making information for several hours and was completely unaware of the U.S. decision to cancel the operation. What cracks does this incident expose in U.S.-Israel relations? Will the isolation of allies' information prompt Israel to take unilateral action?

To avoid losing control of the situation, the U.S. is unwilling to be influenced by Israel in its decisions regarding Iran

Qin Tian, Deputy Director of the Middle East Studies Institute, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations: There are indeed signs that the U.S. has excluded Israel from decision-making this time, particularly reflected in the military escalation actions against Iran. The U.S. did not notify Israel in advance when canceling this operation, which indicates that Trump remains hesitant about military action against Iran, hoping to avoid a complete loss of control and a full escalation of the situation. If the U.S. had informed Israel in advance, Israel would have lobbied and dissuaded, which would have created new complications for U.S. decision-making.

There are obvious differences between the U.S. and Israel regarding negotiations with Iran

Qin Tian, Deputy Director of the Middle East Studies Institute, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations: In this matter, Trump chose not to communicate with Israel in advance, not only due to contradictions over war issues but also because there are similar contradictions regarding negotiations. The Trump administration still views advancing negotiations with Iran as an important option for resolving the current crisis. From Trump's statements on social media, he hopes to forcefully bring Israel onto the negotiation track, but this has not received genuine recognition from Israel.

The U.S. President hopes to shape an image independent of Israel

Qin Tian, Deputy Director of the Middle East Studies Institute, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations: For domestic political reasons, Trump is currently striving to shape an image independent of Israel. Over the past year, especially during the 12-day war and the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran war on February 28, many in the international community, including many in the U.S., believe that Trump was influenced by Israel's advice and launched the war against Iran. Both Democrats and establishment Republicans, as well as many citizens, believe that the current Trump administration is too pro-Israel and has not prioritized American interests. Therefore, Trump's intention this time is to highlight that he is not influenced by Israel and to show the characteristic of excluding Israel from decision-making, demonstrating his strong and independent presidential image.

Netanyahu dares not go against the U.S. during the election period

Qin Tian, Deputy Director of the Middle East Studies Institute, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations: In this situation, Israel is very dissatisfied, but it is unlikely to conduct independent military strikes against Iran without the U.S. First, Trump's attitude is very clear this time; he wants Israel to comply, rather than the past approach of allowing or even following some of Israel's actions. This attitude is different from before. Therefore, facing Trump's clear stance, Israel is hesitant to go against his wishes. Second, Netanyahu is also facing the Israeli parliamentary elections this autumn, and at this critical juncture, he is unwilling to offend the U.S., especially President Trump.