施压与试探并行 美酝酿重启对伊朗军事行动

According to U.S. sources on the 7th, multiple American officials stated that the U.S. Department of Defense had instructed the U.S. Central Command several days ago to prepare for the resumption of large-scale military operations against Iran. The U.S. President recently indicated in an interview that there may be an intensified effort to strike Iran after the midterm elections.

Military operations emphasize secrecy and the pursuit of surprise. However, the U.S. has publicly indicated that it is brewing large-scale military actions against Iran, and although these operations have not yet materialized, the news of preparations has already spread. What is the intention behind this unusual approach? How likely is the resumption of military actions?

The U.S. military buildup in the Middle East aims to pressure Iran

Professor Wang Jin from Northwestern University's Regional Studies Institute: Before launching military actions, the U.S. is making a loud show of threats towards Iran, primarily hoping to use the current window of military mobilization to pressure Iran into making concessions and to test the possibility of Iran proactively seeking contact with the U.S.

A new round of U.S. military strikes against Iran may be unavoidable

Professor Wang Jin from Northwestern University's Regional Studies Institute: From the current situation, it may take about another month for the naval formation centered around the USS Roosevelt to reach the Middle East. At the same time, the U.S. is also dispatching new combat forces to the region. Given the scale of the current military mobilization, it is highly likely that the U.S. is gathering forces for a new round of strikes against Iran. Based on past experiences since the outbreak of the new round of conflicts between the U.S., Iran, and Israel on February 28, whenever a U.S. aircraft carrier group arrives in the Middle East, it often signifies that the U.S. will launch a new round of strikes against Iran, making the probability of new conflicts between the U.S. and Iran quite high.

Professor Wang Jin from Northwestern University's Regional Studies Institute: Therefore, within the current time window, the U.S. hopes to display a tough posture, forcing Iran to proactively seek contact and make concessions on various issues, especially regarding Iran's nuclear issue and the navigation of the Strait of Hormuz. On one hand, the U.S. is showcasing its military strength and mobilizing forces, while on the other hand, it hopes to use this window period as a pressure point to test Iran's reactions, compelling Iran to make concessions and seek contact with the U.S.