分析与报告

马苏德·巴尔扎尼于2023年2月6日在叙利亚东部会见了马兹鲁姆·阿卜迪，SDF因与叙利亚政府军的冲突而面临重大领土损失。一项协议允许叙利亚军队进入之前由SDF控制的地区，引发了对美国支持未来及SDF在该地区角色的质疑。SDF作为对抗ISIS的重要伙伴，其影响力在不断变化的动态中减弱。

美军和日本自卫队在北海道进行联合寒区作战演习，重点关注火力支援和机动能力。土耳其军队在极寒条件下测试“自由鸟”飞机，英国军队通过在挪威的演习增强北极能力。芬兰为北约盟国提供寒区作战训练，反映出应对地缘政治紧张局势的军事准备趋势。

三名美国空军国民警卫队飞行员因在2024年4月13日成功防御针对以色列的伊朗无人机和导弹袭击而获得杰出飞行十字勋章，当时他们在沙特阿拉伯的苏丹王子空军基地部署。这些飞行员驾驶F-16战斗机，拦截并摧毁了多个空中威胁，为拦截伊朗攻击的高成功率做出了贡献。他们的行动是美国中央司令部更大行动的一部分。

美国军方在2025年1月27日至2月2日期间对叙利亚的ISIS目标进行了五次空袭，其中包括一个包含50枚精确制导弹药的设施。这些行动导致超过50名ISIS恐怖分子被击毙或抓捕。这些空袭是在对美国和盟军部队在巴尔米拉附近的先前袭击之后进行的。

在2025年6月，美国空军的七架B-2精神轰炸机执行了午夜锤行动，对伊朗福尔多和纳坦兹的核设施进行了精确打击。这次任务标志着GBU-57A/B大型弹药穿透器的首次实战使用，展示了经过数十年现代化改造后的B-2的先进能力。此次行动涉及从密苏里州的非停飞行，并需要复杂的规划和空中加油支持。

美国军方在1月27日至周一期间对叙利亚的伊斯兰国成员进行了空袭，摧毁了一个通信站和武器储存设施。这些行动导致超过50名伊斯兰国成员死亡或被捕，其中包括一名与12月伏击事件有关的领导人，该事件导致两名美国士兵和一名平民翻译丧生。美国中央司令部强调了这些打击在防止ISIS在该地区复苏方面的重要性。

Hamas denied firing at Israeli forces and condemned the Israeli airstrikes in the Gaza Strip that began at dawn on the 4th, resulting in at least 21 deaths and 38 injuries. The Israeli Defense Forces accused Hamas of violating the ceasefire by firing at their troops, leading to retaliatory strikes across Gaza.

The Israeli military conducted artillery shelling and airstrikes in multiple locations across Gaza early on October 4, resulting in at least 9 Palestinian deaths, including a child. The strikes targeted residential areas, including tents and homes in Gaza City and Khan Younis, with additional attacks reported in the Bureij refugee camp and southern coastal regions.

A vessel illegally entered Iranian territorial waters in the Strait of Hormuz on February 3 and was warned by the Iranian regulatory team before leaving. Iranian officials stated that the vessel did not possess the necessary navigation permits. They also refuted claims of a security incident involving a U.S. tanker, which was reportedly escorted by a U.S. warship.

The U.S. military shot down an Iranian drone approaching the USS Abraham Lincoln in the Arabian Sea on February 3, 2023. Following this, U.S. Navy forces escorted a U.S. oil tanker threatened by two Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. The situation was de-escalated, and the oil tanker is now safely navigating the waters.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi held a readiness assessment meeting with senior commanders on February 2. The meeting focused on enhancing military readiness amid ongoing regional tensions, particularly lessons learned from the October 7 conflict. The IDF is preparing for potential large-scale raids or sudden warfare, emphasizing the need for high alertness and the capability to conduct operations across multiple fronts.

伊朗的潜艇舰队，包括三艘塔里克级和两艘法特赫级潜艇，准备在美国在波斯湾及周边地区的军事行动中进行潜在部署。在特朗普总统对伊朗核计划发出警告后，美国海军在该地区增加了存在。以隐身能力著称的基洛级潜艇可能会使美国的海洋安全努力变得复杂。

Israeli Defense Forces are currently in a heightened state of war readiness as stated by Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi. The military is preparing for offensive actions across all conflict theaters while enhancing its defensive posture, particularly in light of lessons learned from the October 7 Hamas attack. The IDF is maintaining high vigilance for potential multi-front warfare.

The Israeli Defense Forces conducted airstrikes on February 2 in Southern Lebanon, targeting multiple Hezbollah weapon storage facilities. One of the destroyed facilities was located in a civilian area, prompting accusations that Hezbollah is using civilian infrastructure for military purposes. The IDF stated that these actions are necessary to prevent Hezbollah's military rebuilding efforts, which pose a direct threat to Israel.

On February 1, 2023, the Israeli Defense Forces conducted an airstrike in Southern Lebanon, killing Ali Khakani, a key commander of Hezbollah's air defense unit. Khakani was involved in planning the reconstruction of Hezbollah's military infrastructure. Additionally, another airstrike on February 2 resulted in the death of another armed individual attempting to rebuild military facilities for Hezbollah.

The USS Delbert D. Black, an Aegis-class destroyer of the U.S. Navy, departed from Eilat, Israel on February 1 after a scheduled visit. This visit underscores the strong maritime partnership between the U.S. and Israel. The destroyer is equipped for various military operations, including air defense and anti-submarine warfare.

Iranian officials denied plans for live-fire exercises by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in the Strait of Hormuz on February 1, 2023. They stated that previous reports about such exercises were incorrect. The U.S. Central Command has expressed concerns about Iran's activities in the region, emphasizing the need for safe and professional conduct during any military operations.

The Israeli Defense Forces conducted an airstrike on February 1 in Duweir, southern Lebanon, killing Hezbollah commander Ali Dawoud Amees. Amees was responsible for a division within Hezbollah's engineering department and was accused of rebuilding military infrastructure and planning attacks against Israeli forces.

On February 1, the Deputy Commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Brigadier General Vahidi, stated that Iranian armed forces are now better prepared and mobilized than during the '12-day war' with Israel. He emphasized that all enemy movements are under Iran's comprehensive surveillance and dismissed the U.S. aircraft carrier presence as a psychological tactic, urging calm among regional actors.

Iran's Foreign Minister criticized U.S. military actions near Iranian waters, claiming interference in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' upcoming live-fire exercises in the Strait of Hormuz scheduled for February 1-2. The U.S. Central Command warned against unsafe Iranian actions, emphasizing the need for professionalism during the exercises.