分析与报告

Iranian officials denied plans for live-fire exercises by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in the Strait of Hormuz on February 1, 2023. They stated that previous reports about such exercises were incorrect. The U.S. Central Command has expressed concerns about Iran's activities in the region, emphasizing the need for safe and professional conduct during any military operations.

On February 1, the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Jordan, UAE, Qatar, Indonesia, Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey jointly condemned Israel for repeatedly violating the Gaza ceasefire agreement, resulting in over 1,000 Palestinian casualties. They warned that such actions could escalate tensions and threaten the political process, urging all parties to maintain restraint and support the ceasefire efforts.

The Israeli Defense Forces conducted an airstrike on February 1 in Duweir, southern Lebanon, killing Hezbollah commander Ali Dawoud Amees. Amees was responsible for a division within Hezbollah's engineering department and was accused of rebuilding military infrastructure and planning attacks against Israeli forces.

乌克兰拦截无人机，包括SEEDIS，在阿布扎比的UMEX 2026展览上展示。SEEDIS旨在保护关键空域免受敌方无人机的侵扰，并在网络化空中防御系统内运行。它配备了先进的传感器，能够高精度地打击空中威胁。在持续的俄乌冲突中，拦截无人机的使用越来越普遍，尤其是针对低速空中目标。

Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei issued a stern warning to the United States on February 1, 2023, during a public meeting in Tehran, stating that any provocation could lead to a regional war. He emphasized Iran's readiness to respond to aggression and highlighted the significance of his recent public appearances, which signal his health and control over the domestic situation.

美国海军向约旦的穆瓦法克·萨尔提空军基地部署了六架EA-18G Growler电子战机，以准备对伊朗可能进行的打击。这次部署是在美国空军KC-46A Pegasus加油机的支持下，从弗吉尼亚州的海军航空站奥申娜转运而来。这些Growler旨在增强美国在该地区对先进空中防御系统的能力。

On February 1, the Deputy Commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Brigadier General Vahidi, stated that Iranian armed forces are now better prepared and mobilized than during the '12-day war' with Israel. He emphasized that all enemy movements are under Iran's comprehensive surveillance and dismissed the U.S. aircraft carrier presence as a psychological tactic, urging calm among regional actors.

The U.S. government approved military sales totaling $15.67 billion to Israel and Saudi Arabia on January 30, 2023. This includes 730 Patriot missiles and 30 Apache helicopters for Israel, aimed at enhancing regional security amid escalating tensions with Iran. The sales are part of a broader strategy to support U.S. allies in the Middle East and are linked to ongoing diplomatic efforts to stabilize the region.

The second round of talks between Russia, the U.S., and Ukraine scheduled for February 1 in Abu Dhabi remains uncertain. Ukrainian President Zelensky stated that direct contact with Putin is necessary to address territorial issues. Meanwhile, U.S. and Russian representatives held constructive discussions in Miami regarding a peace plan.

Iran's Foreign Minister criticized U.S. military actions near Iranian waters, claiming interference in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' upcoming live-fire exercises in the Strait of Hormuz scheduled for February 1-2. The U.S. Central Command warned against unsafe Iranian actions, emphasizing the need for professionalism during the exercises.

Houthi forces raised military alert on January 31, 2023, in Yemen due to escalating tensions from potential U.S. military intervention in Iran. They are inspecting missile launch systems along the Red Sea coast as a precautionary measure. A Houthi official warned that U.S. and Israeli military assets in the region would be targeted if conflict escalates.

Pakistani security forces killed 92 terrorists in Balochistan Province on January 31 during operations against multiple terrorist attacks. The assaults resulted in the deaths of 18 civilians, with 15 security personnel also killed in the ensuing firefights. The attacks were attributed to the Balochistan Liberation Army, with intelligence indicating they were orchestrated by leaders based abroad.

On January 31, the Israel Defense Forces conducted an airstrike in Rabtareshin, Southern Lebanon, killing a Hezbollah member involved in rebuilding the group's infrastructure. Earlier that day, a drone strike by the IDF also resulted in the death of a civilian in the same area.

Israeli Defense Forces conducted airstrikes across the Gaza Strip on January 31, resulting in at least 28 fatalities. The strikes targeted various locations, including police stations and residential areas, prompting condemnation from Hamas and other Palestinian factions for violating the ceasefire agreement. The IDF stated the airstrikes aimed at Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad leaders and infrastructure.

美国于1月30日批准了一项价值90亿美元的对外军事销售，向沙特阿拉伯出售730枚PAC-3 MSE拦截导弹。此次销售包括一整套支持设备和服务，旨在增强沙特阿拉伯在地区安全威胁下的空中和导弹防御能力。洛克希德·马丁将成为该项目的主要承包商。

美国国务院于1月30日批准向以色列出售价值19.8亿美元的3250辆联合轻型战术车辆（JLTV）。此次采购旨在增强以色列国防军的机动性和作战能力。此次销售包括各种支持设备和服务，反映了以色列将JLTV整合入其军事结构的持续努力。这些车辆在之前的作战行动中已被使用，表明它们对以色列军事战略的重要性。

Israeli airstrikes on January 31 in the Gaza Strip resulted in at least 12 fatalities, including 6 children. Hamas condemned the strikes as a serious violation of the ceasefire agreement, highlighting that a family of seven was killed in the attack. The incident occurred nearly four months after the ceasefire was established, prompting Hamas to urge international intervention to uphold the agreement and protect civilians.

Israeli forces violated the ceasefire agreement in the Gaza Strip 1450 times since October 10, 2025, resulting in 524 deaths and 1360 injuries. On January 31, 2026, 11 people were killed, including 7 from one family in Khan Younis. The violations included shootings, armored vehicle raids, and airstrikes, with a significant impact on civilians. Humanitarian aid has not met the required levels, exacerbating the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

The U.S. Department of Defense approved a military sales plan to Saudi Arabia on January 30, which includes 730 Patriot missiles valued at $9 billion. This sale aims to enhance the protection of Saudi and U.S. ground forces and supports U.S. diplomatic and national security objectives in the Gulf region. Additionally, a separate arms sale to Israel worth $6.67 billion was confirmed.

Iran's Foreign Minister, Amir-Abdollahian, stated that negotiations are contingent on the removal of threats and warned of a strong response if Iran is attacked. He emphasized the importance of mutual respect in diplomatic discussions and noted the significant role of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard in fighting extremist groups. The current environment does not support serious negotiations.