分析与报告

On the 12th, Russian forces launched large-scale strikes against Ukrainian energy infrastructure and drone production sites. In response, Ukrainian forces targeted a military ammunition depot in Volgograd Oblast and a military-industrial enterprise in Tambov Oblast using Flamingo missiles.

俄罗斯联合航空制造公司向航空航天部队交付了一批新的苏-57隐形战斗机，配备了增强的航空电子设备和武器集成。这次交付是俄罗斯现代化其战术机队努力的一部分，该机队在很大程度上依赖于旧的苏联时代飞机。尽管国际制裁限制了生产，苏-57被认为对在面对北约进展时维持可靠的第五代能力至关重要。

在一月份，罗斯科技向俄罗斯国防部交付了一批升级版的BMP-3步兵战车，交货量超过了计划目标的40%。这些车辆在作战效能和防护方面进行了增强，包括现代电子战系统和改进的装甲。尽管在冲突中有报道称这种车辆类型损失严重，罗斯科技仍在根据乌克兰战争的作战经验继续对BMP-3进行现代化改造。

乌克兰国防军于2月12日使用FP-5 "火烈鸟"巡航导弹袭击了位于伏尔加格勒地区科特卢班的一个主要俄罗斯弹药储存地点。尽管俄罗斯声称拦截了导弹，但此次袭击导致了强烈的爆炸和二次引爆。当地报道确认该设施遭受了重大损坏，并发生了火灾，该设施对俄罗斯军事后勤至关重要。

Russia conducted a large-scale airstrike on multiple Ukrainian cities, including Kyiv, Kharkiv, Dnipro, and Odesa, on February 11-12, 2023. The attack involved 25 missiles and 219 drones, resulting in 2 fatalities and over 10 injuries. Significant damage occurred to energy infrastructure, particularly in Odesa, leaving approximately 300,000 people without water and electricity. Ukrainian air defense managed to intercept most of the incoming threats.

2026年2月9日，在白俄罗斯的克里奇耶夫-6空军基地观察到为“坚果”导弹系统建设基础设施。尽管目前只有3-4个系统可用，俄罗斯武装部队正在为部署4-6个单位做准备。这一发展表明，增强在白俄罗斯的军事存在并向该国发出政治一体化的信号。

Dmitri VolkovThu Feb 12 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces attacked a Russian military ammunition depot in Kotluban on February 12, causing an explosion and fire. The Russian governor reported the incident, indicating a risk of further explosions, leading to the evacuation of nearby residents.

俄罗斯继续将美国视为其主要全球对手，正在进行旨在利用美国政府变动恢复双边关系的谈判。这一战略可能促进俄罗斯的间谍活动和影响力操作，同时削弱美国的国际影响力。爱沙尼亚情报报告强调中俄之间日益加深的合作，将乌克兰冲突框架为与以华盛顿为首的西方的文明斗争。

On November 11, Russian forces conducted strikes on 141 Ukrainian military targets, including energy and transportation infrastructure. Concurrently, Ukrainian forces targeted a Russian oil refinery in Volgograd and military supply depots in Crimea and Zaporizhzhia. Additionally, Russian air defense systems reported the downing of 458 drones.

Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov criticized the U.S. for attempting to involve China in new nuclear arms control negotiations while excluding the UK and France. He emphasized that Russia respects China's self-defense nuclear strategy. The New START treaty expired on October 5, 2023, leaving the U.S. and Russia without a bilateral arms control framework. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio stated that nuclear arms control is now a multilateral issue, implicating China as a key player.

热压武器在美国、俄罗斯和以色列等多个国家的冲突中被广泛使用，包括最近在加沙使用的报道。这些武器以其毁灭性的效果而闻名，从二战时期的设计演变为现代弹药，如GBU-43/B MOAB。美国军方在重要战役中使用了这些武器，而对其针对平民使用的指控则引发了对潜在战争罪的担忧。

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced that Russia will adhere to the New START treaty's restrictions on nuclear weapons if the United States continues to comply. This statement was made during a speech in Moscow on February 11, 2023. The New START treaty, signed in 2010, aims to limit the number of nuclear warheads and delivery systems between the two nations, with an extension valid until February 2026.

俄罗斯的S-500导弹系统旨在针对F-22和F-35等隐形飞机，但在战斗中表现不佳，未能在克里米亚拦截导弹，并遭到乌克兰无人机的攻击。该系统的能力正在向外国买家推销，但其战场表现引发了对其有效性的质疑。

俄罗斯正在重组其军队，专注于无人机战争，并显著增加了弹药生产，而爱沙尼亚则通过新无人机技术增强其防御能力。爱沙尼亚外国情报局报告称，预计俄罗斯在未来两年内不会攻击北约成员国，但正在为未来的冲突做准备。这个波罗的海国家正在投资无人系统，以应对来自俄罗斯日益增长的军事能力的潜在威胁。

卫星图像显示，俄罗斯在哈巴罗夫斯克的兹尤姆吉空军基地集中部署了15架苏-57隐形战斗机，距离中国边境约280公里，图像日期为2024年2月9日。该基地还驻有其他飞机，包括苏-35S战斗机和米格-31BM拦截机。这一部署被认为是为了增强部队保护并支持苏-57的持续技术操作。

俄罗斯在叶卡捷琳堡的第9号工厂扩大了炮管和坦克炮的生产，采用了欧洲机械。这一现代化措施旨在应对乌克兰战斗中炮兵的快速磨损。该设施计划生产152毫米2A88炮兵系统的部件，并预计在2024年和2025年增加迫击炮弹和炮弹的生产。

Russian President Putin emphasized the critical role of diplomacy in ensuring national security during a speech on February 10. He stated that Russia will continue to utilize all diplomatic resources to create a favorable external environment for its development. Putin also highlighted the importance of strengthening relationships with CIS countries and promoting a multipolar world order based on international law.

Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that Russia is willing to seek dialogue to resolve the Ukraine issue during a speech in Moscow on February 10, 2023. He emphasized the importance of building a multipolar world and maintaining strategic partnerships with countries such as China and India.

亚美尼亚从美国获得了V-BAT无人机，这是安全合作的一部分，亚美尼亚总理尼科尔·帕希尼扬在美国副总统J.D.范斯访问期间确认了这一消息。V-BAT系统旨在执行情报、监视和侦察任务，增强亚美尼亚的军事能力。关于无人机数量和合同价值的具体细节未被披露。

斯洛伐克国有防务公司ZŤS Špeciál签署了一份合同，向阿塞拜疆供应约300套AM-120自动120毫米迫击炮系统。该交易价值2.5亿美元，包括首次交付96门迫击炮，生产将立即开始。阿塞拜疆还在探索该系统的本地生产许可证，该系统具有自动装填机制，并安装在重型卡车底盘上，以增强乘员保护。