Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources
Turkish KAAN Aircraft with Saudi Flag at Riyadh Exhibition — Are Riyadh and Ankara Creating an Alternative to Western Weapons or Paying the Price of Independence with Uncalculated Costs?
Turkey and Saudi Arabia signed multiple defense agreements in February 2026, focusing on the joint development of the KAAN fighter jet and other military platforms. The agreements signal a strategic partnership aimed at reducing reliance on Western military supplies. The KAAN jet is still under development, with first deliveries not expected before 2029, while Saudi Arabia aims for 50% localization of defense production by 2030.
Ahmed Al-RashidTue Feb 17 2026Loading...The aircraft carriers Abraham Lincoln and Gerald Ford advance towards the Gulf — Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman urge Washington to avoid war
USS Gerald R. Ford and USS Abraham Lincoln are advancing towards the Gulf in February 2026 amid ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations in Geneva. Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman, are expressing concerns and urging Washington to avoid military conflict. The presence of over 35,000 U.S. troops in the region complicates the security dynamics, as Gulf nations balance their strategic interests with the risks posed by Iran's military capabilities.
Ahmed Al-RashidTue Feb 17 2026Loading...When Intelligence Influence Becomes a Weapon: Egypt and China Encircle the Israeli Mossad in Africa
Egyptian and Chinese intelligence agencies initiated a campaign in early 2026 to counter Israeli Mossad activities across Africa, focusing on Sudan and Libya. This collaboration involves advanced surveillance technologies and military exercises, aiming to diminish Israeli influence in the region. The partnership reflects a strategic alignment between Egypt and China against common threats.
Ahmed Al-RashidMon Feb 16 2026Loading...Gulf States Refuse to Use Their Airspace to Strike Iran but Host American Bases That Will Receive the Response: The Inexplicable Military Contradiction
On February 13, 2026, Gulf countries, including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan, officially refused to allow their airspace to be used for military operations against Iran. Despite this, they host US military bases that would be targeted in any Iranian retaliation. This contradiction highlights the Gulf states' desire to avoid direct involvement in conflict while providing logistical support for US operations.
Ahmed Al-RashidMon Feb 16 2026Loading...When Allies Bomb Each Other in Yemen: Saudi Arabia and the UAE from Coalition to Confrontation
On January 2, 2026, the Saudi Air Force bombed the port of Mukalla in Yemen, targeting an Emirati weapons shipment. This airstrike resulted in the deaths of 20 separatist fighters supported by the UAE. This incident marks a significant escalation in the conflict between Saudi Arabia and the UAE, indicating a shift in regional alliances and military dynamics.
Ahmed Al-RashidSun Feb 15 2026Loading...America Sends Aircraft Carriers to the Gulf in Preparation for Extended Military Operations Against Iran - Can $88 Billion in Gulf Deals Replace the American Umbrella?
The U.S. is deploying the Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier to the Gulf within three weeks as part of preparations for extended military operations against Iran. This deployment will complement the existing Abraham Lincoln carrier in the region, enhancing U.S. military capabilities. U.S. officials indicate that the operations will target Iranian state and security facilities, anticipating a significant response from Iran.
Ahmed Al-RashidSun Feb 15 2026Loading...48 F-35 Fighters for Saudi Arabia Threaten Israeli Military Supremacy: America Between Two Contradictory Promises
Saudi Arabia seeks to acquire 48 F-35A aircraft, raising concerns in Israel about military superiority. Israeli media reports that this acquisition could undermine Israel's qualitative military edge. The U.S. is caught between supporting Saudi Arabia and maintaining its commitment to Israel's military capabilities. The operational readiness of the F-35s is also a concern, as Saudi Arabia may not have enough trained pilots to operate them effectively.
Ahmed Al-RashidSat Feb 14 2026Loading...Iran's Missile Program Is Non-Negotiable: Trump Demands the Impossible While the Gulf Is Stuck in the Middle
Iran declared its missile program as a non-negotiable element of its defense strategy in response to U.S. President Trump's ultimatum. The U.S. Navy increased its military presence in the Middle East with the deployment of two aircraft carriers. Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are investing billions in U.S. defense systems to counter potential Iranian threats.
Ahmed Al-RashidSat Feb 14 2026Loading...World Defense Exhibition 2026 in Riyadh: $88 Billion in Contracts and 25% Localization - Do the Numbers Indicate Real Power?
Saudi Arabia concluded the Global Defense Exhibition 2026 in Riyadh on February 12, 2026, signing 220 agreements, including 60 arms contracts worth 33 billion SAR. The event highlighted the country's ambition to localize 50% of military spending by 2030, with a current localization rate of 25%. The exhibition featured significant international participation, including a notable absence of major Emirati companies, reflecting rising tensions.
Ahmed Al-RashidFri Feb 13 2026Loading...Withdrawal from Al-Tanf and the Mobilization in the Gulf: Redefining the U.S. Military Presence in the Middle East
The U.S. completed its withdrawal from the Tanf base in Syria on February 12, 2026, while simultaneously increasing its military presence in the Gulf region with 36 F-15E Strike Eagles and the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier group. This strategic repositioning aims to deter Iran, as U.S. forces face risks from Iranian missile and drone attacks. Regional allies, particularly Saudi Arabia and the UAE, express concerns about escalating tensions.
Ahmed Al-RashidFri Feb 13 2026Loading...Pakistan Sells Weapons to Saudi Arabia but Cannot Sell Security: The Structural Contradiction in the Defense Partnership
In February 2026, Pakistan faced multiple security incidents, including coordinated attacks in Quetta and a suicide bombing in Islamabad, resulting in 216 militants, 22 security personnel, and 36 civilian deaths. This turmoil raises concerns about Pakistan's capacity to fulfill its security commitments under a recent defense agreement with Saudi Arabia, amidst claims of potential nuclear capabilities in the region. The situation highlights the structural contradictions in Pakistan's defense partnerships.
Ahmed Al-RashidThu Feb 12 2026Loading...Emirati Companies Withdraw from the World Defense Exhibition in Riyadh: When Weapon Platforms Become Political Tools
Emirati defense companies withdrew from the World Defense Exhibition in Riyadh on February 9, 2026, signaling a significant political shift in military relations with Saudi Arabia. This absence, involving around 30 companies, reflects the deteriorating trust and cooperation between the two nations, particularly following military tensions in Yemen. The situation highlights the UAE's strategic use of its defense industry in regional politics.
Ahmed Al-RashidThu Feb 12 2026Loading...Saudi Arabia buys 48 F-35 fighter jets for $148 billion: When weapons become political messages rather than military capabilities
Saudi Arabia is purchasing 48 F-35A fighter jets for $148 billion, with delivery expected after 2027. This acquisition includes training and maintenance, and is part of a broader strategy to enhance its military capabilities. The deal is viewed as a significant geopolitical move, signaling Saudi Arabia's entry into the elite group of fifth-generation fighter operators, while also raising questions about its operational independence due to U.S. control over the aircraft systems.
Ahmed Al-RashidWed Feb 11 2026Loading...More than 80 U.S. military transport flights deploy air defense systems in the Gulf: When the crisis reveals the illusion of defensive independence
Since mid-January 2026, over 80 U.S. military transport flights have deployed air defense systems, including Patriot and THAAD batteries, to bases in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Qatar. This deployment is part of preparations for potential military action against Iran, with F-35A fighters also being sent to the region. Despite significant investments in air defense by Gulf states, the U.S. continues to provide direct military support, highlighting limitations in local capabilities.
Ahmed Al-RashidTue Feb 10 2026Loading...The UAE's Refusal to Use Its Territory Against Iran Reveals a Strategic Shift in the Gulf
The United Arab Emirates announced it will not permit military operations against Iran from its territory, marking a strategic shift in the Gulf. This decision coincided with the arrival of the USS Abraham Lincoln on January 26, 2023. The UAE's stance reflects its desire to maintain independence in foreign policy, especially amid rising tensions with Iran, which has threatened retaliation against US interests in the region.
Ahmed Al-RashidMon Feb 09 2026Loading...F-35 for Saudi Arabia: The American Promise That May Not Become a Deal
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman received a promise from the U.S. for the sale of F-35 fighter jets in November 2025. This potential sale could break Israel's military advantage in the region, but the U.S. has not yet issued a formal notification to Congress. The cost for 48 aircraft could reach 15-20 billion dollars, and Saudi Arabia is also exploring alternatives like the Turkish KAAN fighter.
Ahmed Al-RashidMon Feb 09 2026Loading...Iran insists on uranium enrichment despite US military buildup: the verbal challenge against operational reality
Iran maintains its uranium enrichment program despite significant U.S. military presence in the Gulf, including the USS Abraham Lincoln and over 60 aircraft. U.S. forces have been deployed since January 26, 2026, while Iran has taken cautious military actions, including missile deployments and halting high-level enrichment. Diplomatic efforts are ongoing among Gulf states to address the rising tensions.
Ahmed Al-RashidSun Feb 08 2026Loading...Owning THAAD Does Not Mean the Ability to Use It: Saudi Arabia Between Defensive Independence and Tactical Dependence
The U.S. has deployed additional THAAD and Patriot batteries in the Middle East in response to potential Iranian threats. Saudi Arabia, which has invested $15 billion in THAAD systems, activated its first battery in July 2025 but remains dependent on U.S. military support for effective defense. The complexities of operating advanced systems like THAAD require extensive training and integration with U.S. command structures, limiting Saudi Arabia's independent operational capabilities.
Ahmed Al-RashidSun Feb 08 2026Loading...Emirati Companies Withdraw from Saudi Defense Exhibition: When Weapon Platforms Become Tools for Political Disputes
Several Emirati defense companies withdrew from the World Defense Exhibition in Riyadh on February 5, 2026, signaling a significant political rift between Saudi Arabia and the UAE. This withdrawal, viewed as an insult to the host nation, reflects a broader collapse of a decade-long strategic partnership. The UAE is pursuing defense ties with India, while Saudi Arabia seeks agreements with Turkey and Pakistan, complicating regional military cooperation.
Ahmed Al-RashidSat Feb 07 2026Loading...Withdrawal of Emirati Companies from Saudi Defense Exhibition Reveals Contradictions in Gulf Security
Several Emirati companies withdrew from a major defense exhibition in Saudi Arabia this week, highlighting growing tensions between the UAE and Saudi Arabia. This withdrawal reflects a shift in defense partnerships, with the UAE favoring relationships with countries like France and Israel over strategic cooperation with Riyadh. The ongoing geopolitical rift undermines collective Gulf security, especially in the face of regional threats from Iran and armed groups.
Ahmed Al-RashidSat Feb 07 2026Loading...
