Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Corvette "Boiky" near Kronstadt shows 1100 kilometers of the Ukrainian War 2026

Corvette "Boiky" near Kronstadt shows 1100 kilometers of the Ukrainian War 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Ukrainian drones attacked military and infrastructure targets in Kronstadt and St. Petersburg on June 3, 2026, striking the oil terminal and a corvette in dry dock. The operation demonstrated Ukraine's capability to reach deep into Russian territory, with the drones reportedly traveling approximately 1100 kilometers. This attack coincided with the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, highlighting its strategic timing and implications for Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jun 03 2026
205 kilometers to Izvarino changes the logic of the Russian war in Luhansk

205 kilometers to Izvarino changes the logic of the Russian war in Luhansk

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces have expanded their strikes on Russian logistics, targeting key nodes in Luhansk and disrupting supply routes. The 3rd Army Corps has taken control of areas such as Izvarino, significantly impacting Russian operational capabilities. This strategy, termed 'Logistical Lockdown', aims to weaken Russian supply chains and has already led to confirmed losses in personnel and equipment for Russian forces.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jun 01 2026
216 drones over Russia show the limits of territorial air defense in 2026

216 drones over Russia show the limits of territorial air defense in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian drones struck the Saratov Oil Refinery and fuel storage facilities in Rostov Oblast on May 31, 2026, resulting in significant damage. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported intercepting 216 drones, but the strikes have led to fuel rationing in Crimea, indicating a serious impact on Russian logistics. This marks a strategic shift in Ukrainian operations, targeting critical energy infrastructure further from the front lines.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun May 31 2026
229 drones in one night reveal the limits of the Russian doctrine of exhausting Ukraine

229 drones in one night reveal the limits of the Russian doctrine of exhausting Ukraine

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Russian forces launched 229 drones in a coordinated attack on the night of May 30-31, 2026, targeting Ukraine from multiple locations including Oryol and Crimea. Ukrainian air defense successfully intercepted 212 of these drones, indicating a significant engagement. This operation reflects a shift in Russian tactics towards mass drone deployment to exert pressure on Ukrainian defenses.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun May 31 2026
Strike on Taganrog on May 30 brought Tu-142 and Iskander out of safe rear.

Strike on Taganrog on May 30 brought Tu-142 and Iskander out of safe rear.

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Ukrainian drone forces struck and destroyed two Tu-142 aircraft and an Iskander launcher in Taganrog on May 30, 2026. The attack was confirmed by regional authorities, who acknowledged damage to port and oil infrastructure. This incident highlights the increasing vulnerability of Russian military assets, as the loss of the Tu-142 impacts strategic reconnaissance capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat May 30 2026
Plates from 2004 to 2014 in "Oreshnik" Reveal the Belarusian Trace of Russian Missile Blackmail

Plates from 2004 to 2014 in "Oreshnik" Reveal the Belarusian Trace of Russian Missile Blackmail

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

On May 24, 2023, Russian forces launched a mixed package of 90 missiles and 600 drones against Ukraine, targeting areas including Kyiv and Belaya Tserkov. Ukrainian air defense intercepted 55 missiles and 549 drones, resulting in at least two deaths and multiple injuries. The Oreshnik missile, identified as containing outdated Russian and Belarusian components, raised concerns about its effectiveness as a strategic weapon.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu May 28 2026
The Law on Banking Air Defense in Russia Shows a Deficit in Counter-Drone Defense 2026

The Law on Banking Air Defense in Russia Shows a Deficit in Counter-Drone Defense 2026

Political-MilitaryWeapons & EquipmentStrategic

On May 26, 2026, the State Duma passed a law enabling the Bank of Russia, Sberbank, and Rosinkas to independently suppress drone operations at protected sites. This legislative change reflects the inadequacies of centralized air defense in Russia and shifts some military responsibilities to civilian banks, which can now engage in electronic warfare against drones. The law aims to enhance the coverage of drone defense across various locations in Russia, particularly in urban areas.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed May 27 2026

13 Oil Facilities in 23 Days Reveal a New Vulnerability in the Russian Rear

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian drones attacked 13 major Russian oil facilities in May 2026, including the Sheskharis terminal in Novorossiysk, causing significant operational disruptions. The strikes resulted in a fire and injuries, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian logistical infrastructure. Reports indicate that six of the ten largest Russian oil refineries halted operations following these attacks, marking a strategic shift in Ukraine's military approach.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun May 24 2026
Under Oreshnik Alert, Russia's Hypersonic Retaliation Readiness Pushes Russo-Ukrainian Long-Range Strikes into a New Phase

Under Oreshnik Alert, Russia's Hypersonic Retaliation Readiness Pushes Russo-Ukrainian Long-Range Strikes into a New Phase

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Russia is preparing to launch Oreshnik hypersonic missiles against Ukraine, with potential targets including Kyiv and Lviv, as part of a combined strike. This warning follows recent drone attacks on Russian positions in Starobilsk, prompting a call for retaliation from President Putin. The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv has also issued alerts about possible significant airstrikes within the next 24 hours, indicating a high-risk situation for Ukraine.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026

64 thousand troops in Russia and Belarus' nuclear exercises demonstrate the limits of deterrence 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Russian and Belarusian forces conducted nuclear exercises from May 19 to 21, 2026, involving 64,000 personnel and various missile systems. The exercises aimed to prepare nuclear forces for potential aggression, with significant participation from the Russian Northern and Pacific Fleets. Belarusian units trained on the handling of Russian nuclear munitions, indicating a shift in the strategic role of Belarus in the region.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026
The defeat of "Cloud" in Kaspiysk deprives the Russian fleet of a safe rear for "Kalibr" 2026

The defeat of "Cloud" in Kaspiysk deprives the Russian fleet of a safe rear for "Kalibr" 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

The missile ship 'Tucha' of the Russian Navy was reportedly destroyed or heavily damaged in Kaspiysk on May 22, 2023, following a Ukrainian strike. This incident significantly undermines the operational security of the Caspian Flotilla, which has been considered a safe base for missile carriers. The loss of 'Tucha' raises concerns about the vulnerability of Russian naval assets to further attacks.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri May 22 2026

Four Hangars in Chkalovsk Showcase the New Defense of Russian Aviation in 2026

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

Four hangars are being constructed at the Chkalovsk naval air base in Kaliningrad Oblast since late April 2026, reflecting a shift in Russian military strategy towards enhancing aircraft protection. This move is in response to increased threats from Ukrainian strikes, indicating a recognition of vulnerabilities in Russian aviation infrastructure. The hangars aim to provide passive defense against drone attacks and other threats, showcasing a change in resource allocation within the Russian Armed Forces.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri May 22 2026
64,000 troops in Russia's nuclear exercises send a signal not to Kyiv, but to NATO

64,000 troops in Russia's nuclear exercises send a signal not to Kyiv, but to NATO

Military OperationsPolitical-MilitaryOperational

Russia conducted nuclear exercises involving 64,000 troops in May 2026, signaling to NATO and European capitals. The exercises included over 200 missile launchers, 140 aircraft, and 13 submarines, demonstrating military readiness. This event is framed as a response to Western support for Ukraine and coincides with President Putin's visit to China, emphasizing strategic partnerships.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue May 19 2026
The 25-Kilometer Death Zone Near Pokrovsk Shows a New Mechanism of Russian Infantry Warfare

The 25-Kilometer Death Zone Near Pokrovsk Shows a New Mechanism of Russian Infantry Warfare

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russian forces maintain control over Pokrovsk and Mirnograd, employing drones and artillery to suppress Ukrainian positions and logistics. A 25-kilometer kill zone has been established, complicating Ukrainian operations. The report highlights the effective coordination of Russian infantry, drones, and artillery, indicating a shift in tactics. Logistical challenges are significant for both sides, particularly affecting Ukrainian capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue May 19 2026
400 Closed Wells Show the Limits of the Russian Military Economy in 2026

400 Closed Wells Show the Limits of the Russian Military Economy in 2026

LogisticsStrategic AssessmentOperational

In 2026, the Russian military faces significant economic challenges as 400 oil wells have been closed, leading to a 10% reduction in oil processing. This decline is contributing to a federal budget deficit nearing $80 billion and labor shortages impacting military production. Ukrainian strikes on oil infrastructure are altering the cost dynamics of the ongoing conflict, indicating that the sustainability of the Russian military economy is under pressure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue May 19 2026
524 Russian drones and 22 missiles open a new phase of long-range strikes on Ukraine in 2026

524 Russian drones and 22 missiles open a new phase of long-range strikes on Ukraine in 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On May 18, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched a large-scale attack involving 524 drones and 22 missiles targeting Ukraine, particularly affecting Dnipro and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. The assault resulted in injuries to over 24 civilians, including children, and is part of an ongoing series of escalated strikes between the two nations. This operation highlights the increasing pressure on Ukrainian air defense systems.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon May 18 2026

A Strike on "Angstrom" in Zelenograd Shows the Vulnerability of Russian Microelectronics for the War in Ukraine

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on the Angstrom plant in Zelenograd on May 16-17, 2023, targeting critical microelectronics production for precision weapons. This operation reflects a strategic shift towards disrupting Russian military logistics and industrial capabilities. Russian defense officials reported intercepting numerous drones, but the effectiveness of the strikes on high-value targets remains significant.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon May 18 2026

556 Ukrainian Drones Over Russia Turn Moscow's Air Defense into an Economic Challenge

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Ukrainian drones conducted a large-scale attack on Russian territory, with 556 drones intercepted and destroyed by Russian air defenses over a nine-hour period. The strikes targeted critical infrastructure around Moscow, resulting in at least four fatalities and twelve injuries. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy described the attacks as a justified response to recent Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun May 17 2026
Death toll in Kyiv residential building rises to 24: Escalation spiral after the largest two-day airstrikes by Russian forces

Death toll in Kyiv residential building rises to 24: Escalation spiral after the largest two-day airstrikes by Russian forces

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

Russian forces conducted a large-scale airstrike on a residential building in Kyiv on May 14-15, 2026, killing at least 24 people, including children. In response, Ukraine launched drone strikes targeting Russian infrastructure, including an oil refinery in Ryazan, resulting in additional casualties. This escalation marks a significant increase in military operations and complicates ongoing diplomatic efforts for peace negotiations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri May 15 2026
The Ceasefire That Wasn't: Russia's Post-Victory Day Escalation and the Deepening Crisis of Air Defense

The Ceasefire That Wasn't: Russia's Post-Victory Day Escalation and the Deepening Crisis of Air Defense

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On May 13, 2026, Russian forces launched over 200 one-way attack drones across Ukraine, targeting residential areas and energy infrastructure, resulting in civilian casualties. The strikes occurred in multiple regions, including Dnipropetrovsk and Kyiv, following the collapse of a ceasefire. Ukrainian forces simultaneously executed deep-strike operations against Russian oil facilities, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russia's air defense.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed May 13 2026