Analysis & Reports

Russian military expenditures reached 5.9 trillion rubles in the first quarter of 2026, accounting for nearly two-thirds of federal revenue. The increase in spending, primarily on military operations and procurement, reflects a significant shift in budget priorities, with classified military expenditures rising sharply. The federal budget is facing a deficit of 6.01 trillion rubles, indicating economic strain as civilian sectors decline under the weight of military funding demands.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jun 14 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces struck the Tolyatti chemical plant and two oil refineries in Nizhnekamsk, Tatarstan, on June 12, 2026, causing confirmed fires at all locations. This operation reflects a strategic shift in Ukraine's military approach, targeting critical industrial infrastructure deep within Russia. The strikes are anticipated to complicate Russian military logistics and increase operational costs.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jun 13 2026Loading...

On June 12, the Ukrainian Air Force reported a high probability of a medium-range ballistic missile launch from Kapustin Yar, likely involving the Oreshnik missile. This missile has been previously used by Russia and is viewed as a political tool to exert psychological pressure amid military challenges. The situation reflects Russia's attempt to maintain an escalation initiative in the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jun 13 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on Russian fuel infrastructure in Crimea, leading to a severe fuel crisis. Key locations affected include Sevastopol and Yevpatoria, where fuel distribution has been disrupted. Ukrainian drones targeted supply routes, significantly impacting Russian military logistics. Russian authorities confirmed the attacks, indicating a 71% decrease in military cargo movement on the R-280 route, which is crucial for supplying troops in the region.

Dmitri VolkovFri Jun 12 2026Loading...

Ukrainian medium strike drones are disrupting Russian military logistics along the R-280 route, with a reported 71% decrease in cargo traffic. These drones utilize AI for navigation and target recognition, creating a new layer of warfare that complicates Russian supply operations. As a result, Russian forces are forced to adapt their logistics strategies, leading to increased operational costs and risks.

Dmitri VolkovFri Jun 12 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces launched an attack using FP-5 Flamingo missiles against the VNIIR-Progres military-industrial facility in Cheboksary on June 10, 2026. This strike, occurring over 900 kilometers from the front line, targeted critical navigation systems for military applications. Russia reported intercepting 326 drones but did not confirm any missile interceptions or damage to strategic sites, indicating a significant shift in Ukrainian military strategy towards targeting industrial nodes essential for Russian military operations.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 11 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted long-range strikes on military and industrial targets in Cheboksary and other locations on June 9-10, 2026. The strikes targeted a factory producing navigation components, crucial for Russian military operations. This action reflects a strategic shift by Ukraine to exert operational pressure on Russian logistics and infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 11 2026Loading...

On June 5, 2023, Ukrainian air defense shot down 198 out of 216 Russian drones and missiles, marking a significant operational success. This event highlights a shift in the dynamics of aerial warfare, as Ukraine adapts its interception strategies against Russian drone attacks. The report indicates that while Russia continues to deploy drones, the effectiveness of its strategy is diminishing due to Ukraine's improved capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jun 06 2026Loading...

Russia conducted missile tests in June 2026, with one Oreshnik missile reportedly missing its target and hitting Yasynuvata in Donetsk Oblast. President Putin characterized these strikes as tests rather than combat actions, raising questions about the accuracy and effectiveness of Russian missile systems. The Oreshnik is utilized as a political tool to convey threats to Europe and maintain a perception of military superiority.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jun 06 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones attacked military and infrastructure targets in St. Petersburg and Kronstadt on June 3, 2026, resulting in the downing of 59 drones. The strikes targeted a fuel terminal and a military facility, coinciding with the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum. This operation highlights the increasing military pressure on Russian strategic assets in the region.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 04 2026Loading...

On June 2, 2026, the Russian Armed Forces launched a massive airstrike against Ukraine, deploying 73 missiles and 656 drones. The attack included Iskander-M and Zircon missiles, with Ukrainian air defense reportedly intercepting 642 targets. This strike coincided with a Ukrainian drone attack on Saint Petersburg, targeting oil infrastructure. The report highlights the ongoing military capabilities of Russia despite limited territorial gains.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 04 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones attacked military and infrastructure targets in Kronstadt and St. Petersburg on June 3, 2026, striking the oil terminal and a corvette in dry dock. The operation demonstrated Ukraine's capability to reach deep into Russian territory, with the drones reportedly traveling approximately 1100 kilometers. This attack coincided with the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, highlighting its strategic timing and implications for Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jun 03 2026Loading...

Russian forces occupied only 14 additional square kilometers in Ukraine during May 2026, reflecting a drastic decline in territorial gains. From December 2025 to May 2026, they advanced just 40.64 square kilometers, compared to over 500 square kilometers in the same timeframe the previous year. The report highlights a shift in tactics towards infiltration amid increasing Ukrainian counterattacks and logistical challenges.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jun 03 2026Loading...

On June 1-2, 2023, Russian Armed Forces launched a large-scale attack against Ukraine, deploying 73 missiles and 656 drones targeting military and civilian infrastructure in cities including Kyiv and Kharkiv. The operation involved 33 Iskander-M and 8 Zircon missiles, with Ukrainian forces claiming to have intercepted 11 Iskander-M missiles. The assault resulted in significant civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jun 02 2026Loading...

On June 2, 2026, the Russian Armed Forces launched a large-scale aerial attack against Ukraine, deploying 729 aerial attack vehicles, including 73 missiles and 656 drones. Ukrainian forces reported intercepting or suppressing 40 missiles and 602 drones. This operation reflects a shift in Russian military strategy, emphasizing the use of drones to overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jun 02 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces have expanded their strikes on Russian logistics, targeting key nodes in Luhansk and disrupting supply routes. The 3rd Army Corps has taken control of areas such as Izvarino, significantly impacting Russian operational capabilities. This strategy, termed 'Logistical Lockdown', aims to weaken Russian supply chains and has already led to confirmed losses in personnel and equipment for Russian forces.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jun 01 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones struck the Saratov Oil Refinery and fuel storage facilities in Rostov Oblast on May 31, 2026, resulting in significant damage. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported intercepting 216 drones, but the strikes have led to fuel rationing in Crimea, indicating a serious impact on Russian logistics. This marks a strategic shift in Ukrainian operations, targeting critical energy infrastructure further from the front lines.

Dmitri VolkovSun May 31 2026Loading...

Russian forces launched 229 drones in a coordinated attack on the night of May 30-31, 2026, targeting Ukraine from multiple locations including Oryol and Crimea. Ukrainian air defense successfully intercepted 212 of these drones, indicating a significant engagement. This operation reflects a shift in Russian tactics towards mass drone deployment to exert pressure on Ukrainian defenses.

Dmitri VolkovSun May 31 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drone forces struck and destroyed two Tu-142 aircraft and an Iskander launcher in Taganrog on May 30, 2026. The attack was confirmed by regional authorities, who acknowledged damage to port and oil infrastructure. This incident highlights the increasing vulnerability of Russian military assets, as the loss of the Tu-142 impacts strategic reconnaissance capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovSat May 30 2026Loading...

On May 30, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched a night attack involving 290 drones and missiles against Ukrainian air defenses. Ukrainian forces reported intercepting 279 of these threats, including 1 Iskander-M ballistic missile and 6 X-101 cruise missiles. This operation highlights a shift in Russian tactics towards saturation attacks, aiming to pressure Ukrainian defenses and maintain operational tempo.

Dmitri VolkovSat May 30 2026Loading...