Analysis & Reports

Russian forces are preparing Slavyansk for a siege in autumn 2026, employing Tornado-S systems and FAB-500 bombs to disrupt logistics and exhaust Ukrainian defenses. This strategy aims to weaken the supply routes and morale of Ukrainian forces rather than achieve immediate territorial gains. The focus is on creating a state of logistical distress in the region, indicating a shift in Russian military tactics towards prolonged engagements.

Dmitri VolkovThu Aug 27 2026Loading...

On August 25, 2026, the Russian Navy targeted five ships in the ports of Odessa and Pivdenny, marking a strategic shift towards an air blockade against Ukraine. This operation aims to disrupt Ukrainian agricultural exports and create a climate of fear among shipping companies. The attacks are part of a broader strategy to weaken Ukraine's economy without occupying new territory.

Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 26 2026Loading...

Russian forces conducted strikes on border crossings with Moldova from late July to August 2023, targeting infrastructure to disrupt Ukrainian logistics. This campaign aims to increase costs for Ukrainian exports and instill a sense of constant border threat for Moldova and Romania. The strikes are part of a broader strategy to weaken Ukraine's economic ties with Europe and demonstrate the risks associated with supporting Ukraine.

Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 26 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones targeted at least four Ozon logistics facilities and a chemical plant in Kamen, Rostov Oblast, on August 23-24, 2023. Ozon confirmed the incapacitation of its logistics hubs, impacting supply chains. The strikes are part of a broader campaign to disrupt Russian logistics, with reports of civilian casualties complicating the situation for Moscow.

Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 24 2026Loading...

In August 2026, only 28% of Russian gas stations had gasoline available, indicating a significant shortage. The Russian government is importing gasoline from India to address this issue, which is affecting military logistics and political stability. President Putin acknowledged the impact of Ukrainian strikes on Russian infrastructure, linking it to the ongoing gasoline crisis. This shortage coincides with an election cycle, raising concerns for the Kremlin regarding public dissatisfaction.

Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 23 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted drone strikes on the TANeko oil refinery in Nizhnekamsk on August 19-20, 2023, resulting in significant damage and at least 12 fatalities. Despite intercepting 726 drones, Russian air defenses were unable to prevent the attack, highlighting vulnerabilities in protecting critical infrastructure. This incident marks the second strike on TANeko within ten days, indicating a systematic targeting of Russian energy assets.

Dmitri VolkovThu Aug 20 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on Novorossiysk, damaging four warships and grain terminals on August 12. In retaliation, Russian strikes hit Izmail and Odesa, injuring civilians and damaging infrastructure. This mutual targeting of grain ports marks a significant escalation in the conflict, impacting both military operations and logistics.

Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 17 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces struck the Kamensky plant in Rostov Oblast on August 16, 2026, causing a significant fire after the fourth attack on this strategic facility. The plant is vital for producing solid rocket fuel for Russian artillery systems, including the Iskander missile. The Ukrainian General Staff confirmed the strike, and NASA FIRMS reported a thermal anomaly at the site. Additionally, 150 drones were reportedly shot down over the region during the operation.

Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 16 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones targeted and struck over 20 logistics centers of Wildberries from July 7 to August 14, 2026, causing significant damage and casualties. The strikes incapacitated eight major hubs and resulted in the destruction of approximately 1.18 million square meters of warehouse space. At least 13 employees were killed, and the company's turnover fell by about 25% due to the loss of logistics capacity.

Dmitri VolkovSat Aug 15 2026Loading...

Ukraine conducted strikes on the Sheskharis terminal and a naval base in Novorossiysk on August 14, 2023, disrupting Russian oil exports and military logistics. The Sheskharis terminal, processing 700,000 barrels of oil daily, ceased operations, leading to fuel rationing in several Russian regions. President Zelensky emphasized the connection between sanctions and military operations, indicating a strategic approach to weaken Russia's military capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovFri Aug 14 2026Loading...

Ukrainian Armed Forces struck four ships of the Black Sea Fleet in Novorossiysk on August 12, causing significant damage to naval vessels and military infrastructure. The operation utilized Palianytsia drones and Neptune missiles, resulting in three fatalities and 24 injuries. This attack disrupted operations at major grain terminals, indicating a shift in the operational capacity of the Black Sea Fleet.

Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 12 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones attacked the ZapSibNeftekhim complex in Tobolsk and the Lukoil refinery in Uhta on August 10, 2023, marking a significant escalation in the conflict by striking over 2000 kilometers behind Russian lines. The operations targeted critical infrastructure, including military supply chains, and were executed by Ukrainian special operations units in coordination with internal resistance movements. This represents a shift in the operational landscape, challenging traditional notions of Russia's strategic depth.

Dmitri VolkovTue Aug 11 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones destroyed an S-400 air defense system in Gelendzhik on the night of August 9, along with four other Russian air defense systems and three vessels in the Black Sea. This operation marks a significant escalation in Ukraine's campaign against Russian air defenses, targeting critical military assets deep within Russian-held territory. The attacks included the destruction of radar systems essential for the operation of the S-400, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's military capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 09 2026Loading...

Rostec Corporation reported a 42% decline in net profit in 2026, limiting its production of Iskander missiles and T-90M tanks. The company, which produces around 80% of military equipment used in the Ukraine conflict, is facing significant financial challenges, impacting its ability to meet defense orders. Various subsidiaries have also reported losses, indicating a broader issue within the Russian defense industry regarding production costs and profitability.

Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 03 2026Loading...

Russia launched 133 drone strikes against Ukrainian ports on August 2, 2026, primarily using new munitions called 'Banderol'. These strikes, which targeted Odessa, indicate a strategic shift towards specialized attacks on Ukraine's war economy infrastructure. The upgraded 'Geran-4 Seeker' drones are now equipped with optical guidance systems, enhancing their effectiveness against Ukrainian defenses.

Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 03 2026Loading...

Russian forces launched a significant strike on Kyiv from July 31 to August 1, 2026, using 35 missiles, including 27 ballistic missiles, and 185 drones. The attack resulted in civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure, highlighting a shift in Russian military strategy. Concurrently, Ukraine continued its campaign against Russian fuel infrastructure, indicating a broader conflict dynamic.

Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 02 2026Loading...

Ukrainian FP-1 drones attacked the Lukoil-Volgograd oil refinery and logistical targets in Krasnodar Krai and Crimea on July 31, 2023. This operation threatens 15 million tons of annual oil processing and highlights the vulnerability of Russian logistics. The strikes demonstrate Ukraine's ability to reach significant targets deep within Russian territory, impacting military supply chains.

Dmitri VolkovFri Jul 31 2026Loading...

In July 2026, the Russian Armed Forces deployed 24 Pantsir air defense systems around Moscow in response to increased drone threats from Ukraine. This deployment includes additional Pantsir-SMD systems and S-400 systems, indicating a strategic shift in protecting critical infrastructure. Ukrainian drone strikes targeted various locations, including Rostov and Sarapul, prompting this military adaptation.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 29 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted a drone strike on the Iranian cargo ship Anna in the Caspian Sea on July 25, 2023, resulting in one sailor's death and damage to several vessels. This incident exposed vulnerabilities in the military logistics between Russia and Iran, as Ukraine asserts the ship was linked to military cargo transport. The strike signifies an expansion of Ukraine's operational reach, challenging Russian supply lines.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 29 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces struck the Iranian vessel Anna in the Caspian Sea on 27-28 July 2023, targeting a supply route for drones between Russia and Iran. This operation is part of Ukraine's broader strategy to disrupt Russian logistics and military supply chains. Iranian officials reported casualties among the crew, indicating the strike's impact on the ongoing military cooperation between Russia and Iran.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jul 28 2026Loading...