Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

24 New Pantsir Towers Around Moscow Show a New Geography of the Russian War

24 New Pantsir Towers Around Moscow Show a New Geography of the Russian War

Weapons & EquipmentLogisticsOperational

Twenty-four new Pantsir air defense systems were deployed around Moscow in July 2026, indicating a shift in Russian military strategy towards domestic defense. This deployment coincided with an increase in military personnel to 2,426,130, as President Putin recognized the need for enhanced internal security. Ukrainian forces continued to target Russian infrastructure, highlighting the evolving nature of the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jul 28 2026
The canceled Navy parade in St. Petersburg shows the cost of Ukrainian strikes at 3000 kilometers

The canceled Navy parade in St. Petersburg shows the cost of Ukrainian strikes at 3000 kilometers

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

The Russian Navy canceled the Navy Day parade in St. Petersburg in July 2026 due to security concerns stemming from Ukrainian long-range strikes. President Zelensky announced Ukraine's capability to target locations over 3000 kilometers away, prompting a reassessment of Russian military logistics and air defense. This cancellation reflects a significant shift in the operational environment, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian defenses and the impact of Ukrainian drone operations on Russian military activities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 27 2026
Russia's ballistic missiles consume a month's production stock in July 2026

Russia's ballistic missiles consume a month's production stock in July 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

In July 2026, Russian forces launched over 25 ballistic missiles and 125 drones against Ukraine, exceeding their monthly production capacity. Despite the extensive use of these weapons, the operations have not achieved a decisive breakthrough on the front lines. Ukrainian forces reported successful interceptions of many of these attacks, while also conducting strikes on Russian logistics and military targets.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 25 2026
223 drones on refineries and Wildberries — Ukraine pressures Russian military logistics in 2026

223 drones on refineries and Wildberries — Ukraine pressures Russian military logistics in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on July 23, 2026, targeting a refinery in Ulyanovsk, a pumping station in Bashkortostan, and logistics centers in Voronezh. These operations involved 223 drones and aimed to disrupt Russian military logistics. The attacks have prompted evacuations and raised concerns about the vulnerability of Russian supply chains.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 23 2026
13 shadow fleet ships in two days reveal a new vulnerability for Russia in the Black Sea

13 shadow fleet ships in two days reveal a new vulnerability for Russia in the Black Sea

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces targeted and reported damage to 13 Russian vessels in the Black and Azov Seas on July 21-22, 2026. The operation included 10 cargo ships, 2 tugboats, and 1 tanker, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's naval engagement. This campaign aims to disrupt Russian maritime logistics, highlighting vulnerabilities in their supply chain.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 22 2026
216 "Shaheds" and decoys show the new economy of Russian strikes on Ukraine in 2026

216 "Shaheds" and decoys show the new economy of Russian strikes on Ukraine in 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russia launched a nighttime strike involving 216 drones and 4 missiles, targeting civilian infrastructure in Kyiv and Odesa on July 21-22, 2026. Ukrainian forces reported intercepting 204 drones and 3 missiles, but damage occurred to residential buildings and gas pipelines. This operation illustrates a shift in Russian tactics, emphasizing mass drone deployment to exert pressure on Ukrainian air defenses.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 22 2026

The Black Sea Strike Cycle Is Moving From Ports to Ships

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

On July 20, 2023, Ukrainian forces launched around 400 drones toward Moscow, while Russian forces struck a corn ship near Odesa, resulting in ten fatalities. This incident signifies a shift in military operations from targeting port infrastructure to attacking commercial vessels, raising concerns about maritime security. The ongoing conflict has escalated, with both sides engaging in long-range strikes affecting civilian and military targets.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 20 2026

A Strike on Wildberries Warehouses 700 Kilometers Away Changes the Price of Russian Logistics

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian drones struck two major logistics facilities of Wildberries in Elektrostal and Kotovo on the night of July 17-18, resulting in multiple casualties. The attacks underscore the vulnerability of Russian logistics infrastructure, with damage estimates suggesting significant economic impact. This incident may compel Russia to reassess its air defense priorities as the conflict expands beyond traditional military targets.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 20 2026
Tu-95 at Engels Base Shows the Price of Russian Strategic Aviation in 2026

Tu-95 at Engels Base Shows the Price of Russian Strategic Aviation in 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

A Tu-95MS was reportedly destroyed at Engels airbase on July 19, 2026, indicating vulnerabilities in Russian strategic aviation. This incident reflects Ukraine's expanding operational capabilities to target Russian military infrastructure. The loss of the aircraft may lead to increased security measures at Russian airbases, impacting their operational effectiveness.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 19 2026
172 ships in 13 days force Russia to withdraw drone units from the front.

172 ships in 13 days force Russia to withdraw drone units from the front.

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces struck 172 Russian maritime vessels over 13 days, prompting the withdrawal of up to 200 drone units from the front lines to protect logistics. This operation targeted key maritime assets in the Black and Azov Seas, impacting Russian supply chains. Concurrently, Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure in occupied territories further strained Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 19 2026
8 thousand UAV operators do not return the maneuver of the Russian army in Ukraine

8 thousand UAV operators do not return the maneuver of the Russian army in Ukraine

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

The Russian Army has trained 8,000 UAV operators in the first half of 2026, reflecting a shift in military strategy towards small mobile groups and UAV operations in Ukraine. The deployment of UAVs has more than doubled compared to 2025, indicating a focus on logistics and positional warfare rather than traditional mechanized maneuvers. Economic challenges are also affecting military capabilities and operational effectiveness.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 18 2026

Noginsk Oil Depot After Drone Attack Shows Limits of Moscow's Air Defense in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

UAV attacks on July 18, 2026, resulted in seven deaths and 25 injuries in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, as drones targeted sensitive infrastructure, including an oil depot in Noginsk. The attacks prompted evacuations and highlighted vulnerabilities in Moscow's air defense system, with 28 drones intercepted before reaching their targets. Ukrainian forces continue to focus on disrupting Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 18 2026
Drones "Lightning" and "Lancet" elevate Russian war logistics to refueling levels of 2026

Drones "Lightning" and "Lancet" elevate Russian war logistics to refueling levels of 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

The Russian army is intensifying drone strikes on fuel stations, buses, and trucks in Ukraine as part of a logistics campaign. This operation, led by the elite Rubicon drone unit, aims to disrupt Ukrainian supply lines by targeting civilian logistics. The drones involved include Lightning and Lancet models, which are capable of real-time targeting. This shift in tactics is a response to Ukrainian strikes on Russian fuel infrastructure, increasing the operational costs for Ukrainian forces.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 17 2026
20 ships overnight change the Russian war against Odessa ports

20 ships overnight change the Russian war against Odessa ports

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted drone operations on July 15, 2023, targeting 20 vessels in the Black Sea, including oil tankers and a tugboat. This operation is part of a larger campaign against Russian maritime logistics, which has seen intensified strikes on Odessa and surrounding areas. The Ukrainian military aims to disrupt Russian shipping and oil transport, reflecting a shift in the maritime conflict dynamics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 16 2026
136 ships in ten days — Ukrainian sea drones are breaking Russian logistics

136 ships in ten days — Ukrainian sea drones are breaking Russian logistics

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian naval drones targeted 136 Russian vessels between July 6 and 15, 2026, disrupting logistics in the Azov and Black Seas. This operation included attacks on oil tankers and gas carriers, indicating a shift in Ukrainian tactics to undermine Russian supply lines. In response, Russia is contemplating changes to its cargo routes due to the increased frequency of these attacks.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 15 2026
22 Russian Refineries Under Attack from Ukraine in 2026 Change the War for Fuel

22 Russian Refineries Under Attack from Ukraine in 2026 Change the War for Fuel

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on 22 Russian oil refineries and related infrastructure from January to June 2026, impacting fuel logistics. The strikes targeted facilities in Tver, Stavropol Krai, Ufa, Rostov Oblast, Yaroslavl, Ust-Luga, and Omsk. As a result, fuel shortages have emerged in 78 of 83 Russian regions, complicating military supply chains and operations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 13 2026
14 ships overnight at the Kerch Strait show a new limit of Russian military logistics 2026

14 ships overnight at the Kerch Strait show a new limit of Russian military logistics 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces targeted 14 vessels in the Kerch Strait overnight, including 10 tankers and 4 ferries, disrupting Russian military logistics. This operation reflects a strategic effort to undermine the supply routes critical for Russian operations in the region. The attacks are part of a broader campaign against the Russian shadow fleet, which is essential for transporting oil and fuel.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 13 2026

178 Drones and a Strike on Syzran Show the New Cost of Russian Logistics

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces attacked the Syzran oil refinery and maritime logistics elements on July 11-12, 2026, while Russian air defense intercepted 178 Ukrainian drones. Reports indicate that ten Russian tankers and four ferries were also struck in the Azov Sea, highlighting a significant impact on Russian logistical capabilities. This marks a strategic shift in Ukrainian operations aimed at disrupting fuel and transport systems supporting Russian military efforts.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 12 2026

76 Ships in the Sea of Azov Change Russian Military Logistics of 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces struck 76 vessels, including tankers and the Syzran oil refinery, in the Sea of Azov between July 6-11, 2026. This has significantly impacted Russian military logistics, as evidenced by a sharp decline in active AIS signals and rising fuel prices in Russia. The strikes indicate a shift in operational behavior among Russian transporters, affecting supply routes and military operations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 12 2026
65 percent of gasoline demand shows the price of Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries in 2026

65 percent of gasoline demand shows the price of Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries in 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries in July 2026 have reduced Russian gasoline production to 65% of domestic demand, causing significant fuel shortages. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have targeted 22 refineries, leading to operational disruptions and prompting Russian authorities to impose restrictions on fuel sales. This situation reflects a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach, aiming to systematically impact Russia's war economy.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 11 2026