Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources
Victorious Report Against the Backdrop of Retreat — Kryvoruchko, Starlink, and the Information War in the Heat of Geneva
Ukrainian forces reclaimed 201 square kilometers from Russian control between February 12-16, 2026, during a period of reported communication disruptions for Russian troops due to Starlink outages. Deputy Defense Minister Alexey Krivoruchko claimed these outages did not affect operations, while Ukrainian officials noted significant impacts. The situation unfolded against the backdrop of tense negotiations in Geneva between Russia, Ukraine, and the U.S.
Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026Loading...
B-52 Stratofortress vs Tu-95 Bear vs B-2 Spirit: Cold War Giants and Stealth Revolution
The B-52H Stratofortress, Tu-95MS Bear, and B-2 Spirit are actively utilized in military operations as of 2026, with the B-52H serving as a versatile platform for standoff strikes. The Tu-95MS has been employed in Russia's strategic air campaign against Ukraine, launching Kh-101 missiles from a distance. The B-2 Spirit remains the only aircraft capable of penetrating advanced air defenses, underscoring its critical role in nuclear deterrence.
Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026Loading...Russia Goes to Geneva with an Exhausted Army — What Lies Behind the Kremlin's Negotiating Position
Russia is advancing with a depleted 127th Motorized Rifle Regiment in Zybyne, Kharkiv Oblast, as of February 2026. The Kremlin announced that Vladimir Medinsky will lead negotiations in Geneva starting February 17, aiming for terms that suggest the capitulation of Ukraine. Despite capturing territory, the Russian army operates at only 40% personnel strength, indicating systemic exhaustion. Concurrently, Ukraine has reported extensive damage to its energy infrastructure.
Dmitri VolkovTue Feb 17 2026Loading...Where Will Russia Find People for War in 2026 — Budget Crisis and Shift to Coercion
By 2026, the Russian Army will transition to coercive recruitment methods due to budget constraints, requiring 25,000 to 40,000 new contract soldiers monthly. Regions such as Buryatia and Tatarstan will likely face increased recruitment pressures, while Moscow and Saint Petersburg remain relatively insulated. The reliance on financial incentives has diminished, leading to a potential second wave of mobilization as military losses continue to rise.
Dmitri VolkovFri Feb 13 2026Loading...Trump Wants Ukraine Peace by June—Before Americans Vote in November
The U.S. administration has set a June deadline for Ukraine and Russia to negotiate a peace deal, with talks scheduled in Miami. President Zelenskyy expressed skepticism about the feasibility of the proposed terms, particularly regarding the Donbas region. The negotiations are seen as influenced by U.S. domestic politics ahead of the midterm elections, sidelining European leaders in the process.
Dmitri VolkovSun Feb 08 2026Loading...Unmanned Systems Forces as the Sixth Branch of the Military: Organizational Revolution or Bureaucratic Trap
The Russian Armed Forces plan to establish a new branch, the Unmanned Systems Troops (ВБС), comprising 87,000 personnel by February 2026. This formation will include one brigade, four regiments, and numerous battalions and companies, focusing on drone operations. However, concerns arise regarding the bureaucratic structure and the ability to recruit qualified personnel amidst existing shortages in the defense industry.
Dmitri VolkovSat Feb 07 2026Loading...Russian Defense Industry Under Sanctions: Growth Limits and 2026 Prospects
The Russian defense industry is experiencing significant mobilization dynamics amid ongoing sanctions, with military spending projected to reach 13.5 trillion rubles by 2025. Despite employing 3.8 million workers, the sector faces structural challenges, including a decline in dual-use imports and financial difficulties. Plans for 2026 include the introduction of advanced systems like the Su-75 fighter and Sarmat ICBM, but the industry's long-term sustainability is in question due to component shortages and corruption issues.
Dmitri VolkovFri Feb 06 2026Loading...Russia's Strategy in Military-Technical Cooperation for 2026: Strengthening Positions in the Post-Soviet Space and Beyond
Russia is enhancing its military-technical cooperation, exporting military products to over 30 countries and generating over $15 billion in 2025. A military cooperation plan with Kyrgyzstan was signed for 2026, and CSTO exercises are scheduled in Belarus. The focus remains on strengthening ties with CSTO partners and expanding influence in Africa.
Dmitri VolkovFri Feb 06 2026Loading...
