Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Strike on Taganrog on May 30 brought Tu-142 and Iskander out of safe rear.
Ukrainian drone forces struck and destroyed two Tu-142 aircraft and an Iskander launcher in Taganrog on May 30, 2026. The attack was confirmed by regional authorities, who acknowledged damage to port and oil infrastructure. This incident highlights the increasing vulnerability of Russian military assets, as the loss of the Tu-142 impacts strategic reconnaissance capabilities.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 30 2026Loading...
Plates from 2004 to 2014 in "Oreshnik" Reveal the Belarusian Trace of Russian Missile Blackmail
On May 24, 2023, Russian forces launched a mixed package of 90 missiles and 600 drones against Ukraine, targeting areas including Kyiv and Belaya Tserkov. Ukrainian air defense intercepted 55 missiles and 549 drones, resulting in at least two deaths and multiple injuries. The Oreshnik missile, identified as containing outdated Russian and Belarusian components, raised concerns about its effectiveness as a strategic weapon.
Dmitri VolkovThu May 28 2026Loading...
The Law on Banking Air Defense in Russia Shows a Deficit in Counter-Drone Defense 2026
On May 26, 2026, the State Duma passed a law enabling the Bank of Russia, Sberbank, and Rosinkas to independently suppress drone operations at protected sites. This legislative change reflects the inadequacies of centralized air defense in Russia and shifts some military responsibilities to civilian banks, which can now engage in electronic warfare against drones. The law aims to enhance the coverage of drone defense across various locations in Russia, particularly in urban areas.
Dmitri VolkovWed May 27 2026Loading...13 Oil Facilities in 23 Days Reveal a New Vulnerability in the Russian Rear
Ukrainian drones attacked 13 major Russian oil facilities in May 2026, including the Sheskharis terminal in Novorossiysk, causing significant operational disruptions. The strikes resulted in a fire and injuries, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian logistical infrastructure. Reports indicate that six of the ten largest Russian oil refineries halted operations following these attacks, marking a strategic shift in Ukraine's military approach.
Dmitri VolkovSun May 24 2026Loading...
Under Oreshnik Alert, Russia's Hypersonic Retaliation Readiness Pushes Russo-Ukrainian Long-Range Strikes into a New Phase
Russia is preparing to launch Oreshnik hypersonic missiles against Ukraine, with potential targets including Kyiv and Lviv, as part of a combined strike. This warning follows recent drone attacks on Russian positions in Starobilsk, prompting a call for retaliation from President Putin. The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv has also issued alerts about possible significant airstrikes within the next 24 hours, indicating a high-risk situation for Ukraine.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026Loading...64 thousand troops in Russia and Belarus' nuclear exercises demonstrate the limits of deterrence 2026
Russian and Belarusian forces conducted nuclear exercises from May 19 to 21, 2026, involving 64,000 personnel and various missile systems. The exercises aimed to prepare nuclear forces for potential aggression, with significant participation from the Russian Northern and Pacific Fleets. Belarusian units trained on the handling of Russian nuclear munitions, indicating a shift in the strategic role of Belarus in the region.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026Loading...
The defeat of "Cloud" in Kaspiysk deprives the Russian fleet of a safe rear for "Kalibr" 2026
The missile ship 'Tucha' of the Russian Navy was reportedly destroyed or heavily damaged in Kaspiysk on May 22, 2023, following a Ukrainian strike. This incident significantly undermines the operational security of the Caspian Flotilla, which has been considered a safe base for missile carriers. The loss of 'Tucha' raises concerns about the vulnerability of Russian naval assets to further attacks.
Dmitri VolkovFri May 22 2026Loading...Four Hangars in Chkalovsk Showcase the New Defense of Russian Aviation in 2026
Four hangars are being constructed at the Chkalovsk naval air base in Kaliningrad Oblast since late April 2026, reflecting a shift in Russian military strategy towards enhancing aircraft protection. This move is in response to increased threats from Ukrainian strikes, indicating a recognition of vulnerabilities in Russian aviation infrastructure. The hangars aim to provide passive defense against drone attacks and other threats, showcasing a change in resource allocation within the Russian Armed Forces.
Dmitri VolkovFri May 22 2026Loading...
64,000 troops in Russia's nuclear exercises send a signal not to Kyiv, but to NATO
Russia conducted nuclear exercises involving 64,000 troops in May 2026, signaling to NATO and European capitals. The exercises included over 200 missile launchers, 140 aircraft, and 13 submarines, demonstrating military readiness. This event is framed as a response to Western support for Ukraine and coincides with President Putin's visit to China, emphasizing strategic partnerships.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 19 2026Loading...
The 25-Kilometer Death Zone Near Pokrovsk Shows a New Mechanism of Russian Infantry Warfare
Russian forces maintain control over Pokrovsk and Mirnograd, employing drones and artillery to suppress Ukrainian positions and logistics. A 25-kilometer kill zone has been established, complicating Ukrainian operations. The report highlights the effective coordination of Russian infantry, drones, and artillery, indicating a shift in tactics. Logistical challenges are significant for both sides, particularly affecting Ukrainian capabilities.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 19 2026Loading...
400 Closed Wells Show the Limits of the Russian Military Economy in 2026
In 2026, the Russian military faces significant economic challenges as 400 oil wells have been closed, leading to a 10% reduction in oil processing. This decline is contributing to a federal budget deficit nearing $80 billion and labor shortages impacting military production. Ukrainian strikes on oil infrastructure are altering the cost dynamics of the ongoing conflict, indicating that the sustainability of the Russian military economy is under pressure.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 19 2026Loading...
524 Russian drones and 22 missiles open a new phase of long-range strikes on Ukraine in 2026
On May 18, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched a large-scale attack involving 524 drones and 22 missiles targeting Ukraine, particularly affecting Dnipro and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. The assault resulted in injuries to over 24 civilians, including children, and is part of an ongoing series of escalated strikes between the two nations. This operation highlights the increasing pressure on Ukrainian air defense systems.
Dmitri VolkovMon May 18 2026Loading...A Strike on "Angstrom" in Zelenograd Shows the Vulnerability of Russian Microelectronics for the War in Ukraine
Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on the Angstrom plant in Zelenograd on May 16-17, 2023, targeting critical microelectronics production for precision weapons. This operation reflects a strategic shift towards disrupting Russian military logistics and industrial capabilities. Russian defense officials reported intercepting numerous drones, but the effectiveness of the strikes on high-value targets remains significant.
Dmitri VolkovMon May 18 2026Loading...556 Ukrainian Drones Over Russia Turn Moscow's Air Defense into an Economic Challenge
Ukrainian drones conducted a large-scale attack on Russian territory, with 556 drones intercepted and destroyed by Russian air defenses over a nine-hour period. The strikes targeted critical infrastructure around Moscow, resulting in at least four fatalities and twelve injuries. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy described the attacks as a justified response to recent Russian strikes on Ukrainian cities.
Dmitri VolkovSun May 17 2026Loading...
Death toll in Kyiv residential building rises to 24: Escalation spiral after the largest two-day airstrikes by Russian forces
Russian forces conducted a large-scale airstrike on a residential building in Kyiv on May 14-15, 2026, killing at least 24 people, including children. In response, Ukraine launched drone strikes targeting Russian infrastructure, including an oil refinery in Ryazan, resulting in additional casualties. This escalation marks a significant increase in military operations and complicates ongoing diplomatic efforts for peace negotiations.
Dmitri VolkovFri May 15 2026Loading...
The Ceasefire That Wasn't: Russia's Post-Victory Day Escalation and the Deepening Crisis of Air Defense
On May 13, 2026, Russian forces launched over 200 one-way attack drones across Ukraine, targeting residential areas and energy infrastructure, resulting in civilian casualties. The strikes occurred in multiple regions, including Dnipropetrovsk and Kyiv, following the collapse of a ceasefire. Ukrainian forces simultaneously executed deep-strike operations against Russian oil facilities, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russia's air defense.
Dmitri VolkovWed May 13 2026Loading...
The Broken Truce: How the Victory Day Ceasefire Collapse Exposes the Fragility of US-Led Mediation and Accelerates Europe's Defense Reckoning
On May 9, 2026, a US-mediated ceasefire began but quickly unraveled, with both Russia and Ukraine reporting numerous violations. By May 12, Russia launched 216 attack drones at Ukraine, resulting in civilian casualties, while Ukraine retaliated with drone strikes deep into Russian territory. The EU responded with new sanctions against Russia, highlighting the ongoing conflict's escalation and the failure of diplomatic efforts to achieve lasting peace.
Dmitri VolkovWed May 13 2026Loading...The Ceasefire Mirage: What the May 2026 Truce Violations Reveal About Russia's Strategic Position
Russian forces conducted 150 assaults and over 100 artillery shelling incidents during a ceasefire from May 9-11, 2026, revealing a significant military operation despite diplomatic efforts. The Russian military's territorial losses and reliance on infiltration tactics indicate a decline in offensive capabilities. Concurrently, Germany strengthened defense ties with Ukraine, signaling a shift in European military support. The overall strategic situation increasingly favors the defender, with Russia's operational challenges becoming more pronounced.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 12 2026Loading...
The Ceasefire Paradox: Putin Declares the War Nearing Its End as Battlefield Intensity Holds Steady
Russian forces conducted extensive drone and artillery attacks against Ukrainian positions from May 9 to 11, 2026, resulting in 180 combat engagements and significant losses for both sides. President Putin claimed the war was nearing its end, despite ongoing military operations and a recent three-day ceasefire brokered by U.S. President Trump. Notably, drones from Russian territory crashed in Latvia, highlighting the conflict's regional implications.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 12 2026Loading...
The Ceasefire Paradox: How Moscow's Victory Day Truce Masked an Escalating Cross-Border Drone War
Russian forces launched 78 airstrikes and 9,317 kamikaze drones against Ukrainian positions on May 7, 2026. Ukrainian drones struck the Mosfilm Tower in Moscow, while two drones crashed in Latvia, damaging an oil facility. Total Russian military losses reached approximately 1,342,030 personnel. Three ceasefire proposals were made within a week, but combat operations continued unabated.
Dmitri VolkovMon May 11 2026Loading...





