Analysis & Reports

A Russian drone violated Moldovan airspace three times on September 30, 2026, with one drone crashing and exploding near Hârbovăț. This incident occurred during a significant Russian strike against Ukraine, involving 188 strike drones and ballistic missiles. The repeated violations highlight a military risk for Moldova, which lacks robust air defense capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovThu Oct 01 2026Loading...

A Russian Mi-8 helicopter crossed into Polish airspace for 42 seconds on September 23, 2026, approximately 300 meters north of Braniewo. In response, Polish fighter jets were scrambled, and ground forces were put on heightened alert. This incident is interpreted as a test of Poland's air defense capabilities amid ongoing tensions in the region.

Dmitri VolkovThu Sep 24 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces struck the control point of the Orion drone in Crimea on September 18, 2026, targeting associated launch sites and storage facilities. This operation aims to disrupt Russian military command and control capabilities in the region, reflecting a strategic shift in Ukrainian tactics. The effectiveness of the strike and the extent of damage remain to be independently verified.

Dmitri VolkovSat Sep 19 2026Loading...

NATO fighters shot down a Russian drone over Lithuania on September 15, 2026, amid a growing threat from Russian drone operations to NATO's eastern flank. The incident prompted Poland to scramble its aircraft in a preventive operation against a new Russian air attack on Ukraine. The use of Shahed drones by Russia complicates air defense strategies for NATO, highlighting the need for improved coordination and response protocols among member states.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 15 2026Loading...

Eighteen out of thirty-six Rassvet satellites failed to reach orbit, hindering Russian military communication capabilities in 2026. This failure impacts the operational effectiveness of Russian drones in Ukraine, as reliable communication is essential for real-time control and targeting. Additionally, Russian forces are reportedly enhancing the capabilities of Geran drones for precision strikes, indicating a shift in their operational strategy despite technological setbacks.

Dmitri VolkovSat Sep 05 2026Loading...

NATO conducted large-scale air exercises near Kaliningrad on August 18, 2026, involving 25 aircraft, including E-3A Sentry and AH-64E Apache. The unannounced exercises aimed to test Russian A2/AD capabilities and involved electronic warfare and reconnaissance operations. This sudden military activity reflects a shift in NATO's approach to readiness and deterrence in the region.

Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 19 2026Loading...