Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources
Two Cargo Ships Under Attack in the Black Sea Return Russia's Strategy of Maritime Strangulation of Ukraine
Russian forces attacked two cargo ships in the Black Sea, aiming to disrupt Ukraine's maritime logistics. This action is part of a broader strategy to economically isolate Ukraine by making access to its ports increasingly risky. In response, Ukraine has targeted Russian port and energy infrastructure, indicating a shift in the conflict towards mutual attacks on logistics. The situation is evolving as both sides adapt their strategies to exert pressure on each other.
Dmitri VolkovFri Sep 04 2026Loading...
"130 UAVs in One Night and Strikes on Yeisk and Kirishi Change the Russian Rear in 2026"
Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on August 30, 2026, targeting Russian military infrastructure in Yeysk, Millerovo, and Kirish. The attacks involved 130 drones and 2 ballistic missiles, aiming to disrupt Russian logistics and military operations. Key assets, including radar systems and ammunition depots, were hit, reflecting a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach to the conflict.
Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 31 2026Loading...
Geranium-2 and Iskander-M Restore Russia's Winter Strategy for Pressuring Ukraine's Energy System
Russia is resuming its winter strategy of targeting Ukraine's energy infrastructure with nearly 2000 drones and over 1600 bombs deployed in recent weeks. This approach aims to systematically exhaust Ukraine's resources and create political pressure as winter approaches. Concurrently, Ukraine is increasing its strikes on Russian airfields and drone launch positions, indicating a response to the ongoing military operations.
Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 31 2026Loading...
The strike by "Geran-4" on a warehouse near Kyiv killed 37 people and revealed Moscow's strategy.
A Russian drone strike using a Geran-4 targeted an ammunition depot in Myla, Kyiv Oblast, on August 29, 2026, resulting in 37 fatalities and 42 injuries. The attack caused extensive damage to at least 130 residential buildings and led to the evacuation of 381 individuals, including 59 children. This incident highlights the effectiveness of Russian tactics in disrupting Ukrainian logistics and civilian safety.
Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 30 2026Loading...
Tornado-S and FAB-500 Prepare Slavyansk for Siege in Donbas in Autumn 2026
Russian forces are preparing Slavyansk for a siege in autumn 2026, employing Tornado-S systems and FAB-500 bombs to disrupt logistics and exhaust Ukrainian defenses. This strategy aims to weaken the supply routes and morale of Ukrainian forces rather than achieve immediate territorial gains. The focus is on creating a state of logistical distress in the region, indicating a shift in Russian military tactics towards prolonged engagements.
Dmitri VolkovThu Aug 27 2026Loading...
Five Ships in the Ports of Odessa Show How Russia Turns the Black Sea into an Air Blockade of Ukraine in 2026
On August 25, 2026, the Russian Navy targeted five ships in the ports of Odessa and Pivdenny, marking a strategic shift towards an air blockade against Ukraine. This operation aims to disrupt Ukrainian agricultural exports and create a climate of fear among shipping companies. The attacks are part of a broader strategy to weaken Ukraine's economy without occupying new territory.
Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 26 2026Loading...
Strikes on border crossings with Moldova are changing the economic logic of the war against Ukraine
Russian forces conducted strikes on border crossings with Moldova from late July to August 2023, targeting infrastructure to disrupt Ukrainian logistics. This campaign aims to increase costs for Ukrainian exports and instill a sense of constant border threat for Moldova and Romania. The strikes are part of a broader strategy to weaken Ukraine's economic ties with Europe and demonstrate the risks associated with supporting Ukraine.
Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 26 2026Loading...
Four Ozon Warehouses and the Kamensky Plant Expose a New Vulnerability in the Russian Rear
Ukrainian drones targeted at least four Ozon logistics facilities and a chemical plant in Kamen, Rostov Oblast, on August 23-24, 2023. Ozon confirmed the incapacitation of its logistics hubs, impacting supply chains. The strikes are part of a broader campaign to disrupt Russian logistics, with reports of civilian casualties complicating the situation for Moscow.
Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 24 2026Loading...
A Second Blow to TANEKO — 726 Intercepted Drones Did Not Save Russia's Oil Treasury
Ukrainian forces conducted drone strikes on the TANeko oil refinery in Nizhnekamsk on August 19-20, 2023, resulting in significant damage and at least 12 fatalities. Despite intercepting 726 drones, Russian air defenses were unable to prevent the attack, highlighting vulnerabilities in protecting critical infrastructure. This incident marks the second strike on TANeko within ten days, indicating a systematic targeting of Russian energy assets.
Dmitri VolkovThu Aug 20 2026Loading...Grain War in the Black Sea — Strikes on Izmail and Novorossiysk Reshape Export Logistics
Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on Novorossiysk, damaging four warships and grain terminals on August 12. In retaliation, Russian strikes hit Izmail and Odesa, injuring civilians and damaging infrastructure. This mutual targeting of grain ports marks a significant escalation in the conflict, impacting both military operations and logistics.
Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 17 2026Loading...
More than 20 Wildberries warehouses in a month — drones are bringing the war to the economy of the Russian rear
Ukrainian drones targeted and struck over 20 logistics centers of Wildberries from July 7 to August 14, 2026, causing significant damage and casualties. The strikes incapacitated eight major hubs and resulted in the destruction of approximately 1.18 million square meters of warehouse space. At least 13 employees were killed, and the company's turnover fell by about 25% due to the loss of logistics capacity.
Dmitri VolkovSat Aug 15 2026Loading...Sheshkaris Stood Up After the Blow — 700 Thousand Barrels and a New Price of the Oil War
Ukraine conducted strikes on the Sheskharis terminal and a naval base in Novorossiysk on August 14, 2023, disrupting Russian oil exports and military logistics. The Sheskharis terminal, processing 700,000 barrels of oil daily, ceased operations, leading to fuel rationing in several Russian regions. President Zelensky emphasized the connection between sanctions and military operations, indicating a strategic approach to weaken Russia's military capabilities.
Dmitri VolkovFri Aug 14 2026Loading...
4 Black Sea Fleet ships damaged in Novorossiysk and the base is no longer a rear area
Ukrainian Armed Forces struck four ships of the Black Sea Fleet in Novorossiysk on August 12, causing significant damage to naval vessels and military infrastructure. The operation utilized Palianytsia drones and Neptune missiles, resulting in three fatalities and 24 injuries. This attack disrupted operations at major grain terminals, indicating a shift in the operational capacity of the Black Sea Fleet.
Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 12 2026Loading...
S-400 near Gelendzhik destroyed by drones — five Russian air defense systems burned in one night
Ukrainian drones destroyed an S-400 air defense system in Gelendzhik on the night of August 9, along with four other Russian air defense systems and three vessels in the Black Sea. This operation marks a significant escalation in Ukraine's campaign against Russian air defenses, targeting critical military assets deep within Russian-held territory. The attacks included the destruction of radar systems essential for the operation of the S-400, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's military capabilities.
Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 09 2026Loading...
Geranium-4 Seeker and Banderolet Change the Russian Campaign of Strikes on Ukraine's Ports in 2026
Russia launched 133 drone strikes against Ukrainian ports on August 2, 2026, primarily using new munitions called 'Banderol'. These strikes, which targeted Odessa, indicate a strategic shift towards specialized attacks on Ukraine's war economy infrastructure. The upgraded 'Geran-4 Seeker' drones are now equipped with optical guidance systems, enhancing their effectiveness against Ukrainian defenses.
Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 03 2026Loading...
35 missiles and 185 drones over Kyiv revealed the Russian doctrine of fuel pressure 2026
Russian forces launched a significant strike on Kyiv from July 31 to August 1, 2026, using 35 missiles, including 27 ballistic missiles, and 185 drones. The attack resulted in civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure, highlighting a shift in Russian military strategy. Concurrently, Ukraine continued its campaign against Russian fuel infrastructure, indicating a broader conflict dynamic.
Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 02 2026Loading...
Ukrainian FP-1 Strikes Volgograd — 15 Million Tons of Processing at Risk
Ukrainian FP-1 drones attacked the Lukoil-Volgograd oil refinery and logistical targets in Krasnodar Krai and Crimea on July 31, 2023. This operation threatens 15 million tons of annual oil processing and highlights the vulnerability of Russian logistics. The strikes demonstrate Ukraine's ability to reach significant targets deep within Russian territory, impacting military supply chains.
Dmitri VolkovFri Jul 31 2026Loading...
24 "Pantsir" Towers Around Moscow in 2026 Show the Cost of Long-Range Strikes
In July 2026, the Russian Armed Forces deployed 24 Pantsir air defense systems around Moscow in response to increased drone threats from Ukraine. This deployment includes additional Pantsir-SMD systems and S-400 systems, indicating a strategic shift in protecting critical infrastructure. Ukrainian drone strikes targeted various locations, including Rostov and Sarapul, prompting this military adaptation.
Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 29 2026Loading...24 New Pantsir Towers Around Moscow Show a New Geography of the Russian War
Twenty-four new Pantsir air defense systems were deployed around Moscow in July 2026, indicating a shift in Russian military strategy towards domestic defense. This deployment coincided with an increase in military personnel to 2,426,130, as President Putin recognized the need for enhanced internal security. Ukrainian forces continued to target Russian infrastructure, highlighting the evolving nature of the conflict.
Dmitri VolkovTue Jul 28 2026Loading...
The canceled Navy parade in St. Petersburg shows the cost of Ukrainian strikes at 3000 kilometers
The Russian Navy canceled the Navy Day parade in St. Petersburg in July 2026 due to security concerns stemming from Ukrainian long-range strikes. President Zelensky announced Ukraine's capability to target locations over 3000 kilometers away, prompting a reassessment of Russian military logistics and air defense. This cancellation reflects a significant shift in the operational environment, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian defenses and the impact of Ukrainian drone operations on Russian military activities.
Dmitri VolkovMon Jul 27 2026Loading...
