Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Abu Dhabi Opens a Security Channel as Russia’s Target List Expands to Dnipro Bridges

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesPolitical-MilitaryHybrid

Ukrainian President Zelensky warned of imminent Russian strikes on Dnipro bridges and energy infrastructure on 6 November 2026. The death toll from a recent attack in Komyshuvakha rose to 53, highlighting ongoing military casualties. Rustem Umerov is set to lead Ukraine's delegation in upcoming negotiations in Abu Dhabi, aimed at addressing security concerns amid escalating tensions.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Nov 06 2026
Russia and Belarus Accelerate Military Supplies — New Order Changes the Balance of Eastern Europe in 2026

Russia and Belarus Accelerate Military Supplies — New Order Changes the Balance of Eastern Europe in 2026

Political-MilitaryLogisticsStrategic

On November 3, 2026, Russia and Belarus accelerated military supplies through a new decree signed by Putin, streamlining military-technical cooperation. This change allows Belarus to access Russian military components more predictably and enhances the operational capabilities of its armed forces. The integration of military supplies signifies a shift in logistics and cooperation, reflecting the evolving military relationship between the two nations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Nov 04 2026

Russian Air Defense Loses Depth — S-400 and "Pantsir" Systems Do Not Cover the Rear in 2026

Strategic AssessmentWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsStrategic

Russian air defense systems are increasingly unable to protect rear areas, as highlighted by the Institute for the Study of War in October 2026. The focus on immediate combat zones has left critical infrastructure vulnerable. This shift in strategy reflects a prioritization of key assets over comprehensive territorial defense, exacerbated by sanctions affecting the quality of military components.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Oct 30 2026

27 Ugandan citizens died in the Russian army — the African reserve does not solve Moscow's staffing problem

Casualties & LossesPolitical-MilitaryOperational

Twenty-seven Ugandan citizens were reported killed or missing after enlisting in the Russian army for the war in Ukraine. This information was communicated by the Ugandan embassy in Moscow to Uganda's foreign ministry. The incident underscores Russia's ongoing recruitment of foreign nationals to address personnel shortages, raising diplomatic concerns for Uganda regarding its citizens' involvement in the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Oct 29 2026

9M534 and Feilong 60A Bring Russian and Chinese Military Industries Closer Together in 2026

Political-MilitaryWeapons & EquipmentStrategic

Increased cooperation between Russian and Chinese military industries is evident through 86 joint publications on drone technology from 2022 to 2026. The Russian Central Aerohydrodynamic Institute conducted tests on Chinese aircraft models, while Norinco developed the Feilong 60A drone. Russia is transferring critical manufacturing operations to China, and a joint educational institute has been established to enhance collaboration in military technology.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Oct 27 2026

Russian rocket "Filin" with a range of 1200 kilometers reveals the limits of military adaptation in 2026

Weapons & EquipmentStrategic AssessmentOperational

The Russian Armed Forces introduced the 'Filin' missile with a range of 1200 kilometers on October 22, 2026. This missile features a mix of Chinese, Russian, and American components, indicating a complex supply chain under sanctions. Its deployment is expected to enhance Russia's operational pressure on Ukraine by targeting supply lines and infrastructure beyond the front lines.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Oct 22 2026

46 thousand foreigners in the Russian army are changing the personnel strategy of the war against Ukraine in 2026

Political-MilitaryForce MovementStrategic

Russia is implementing a recruitment strategy to incorporate 46,000 foreign nationals into its military by 2026, aiming to maintain troop levels without general mobilization. This approach allows the Russian Army to replenish its forces while managing demographic challenges. The foreign recruits, coming from various countries, may serve in different capacities, including logistics and support roles, rather than as front-line combatants.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Oct 20 2026
The EU imposes record sanctions against the Russian defense industry — 1600 targets change the price of war in 2026

The EU imposes record sanctions against the Russian defense industry — 1600 targets change the price of war in 2026

Political-MilitaryLogisticsStrategic

The European Union imposed record sanctions on 1600 entities within the Russian defense industry on October 12, 2026. These sanctions aim to disrupt the entire production ecosystem, affecting suppliers and intermediaries, rather than just targeting individual companies. The sanctions are expected to increase costs and reduce the quality of military equipment, while Russia may turn to countries like China and Iran for support.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Oct 13 2026
EU Sanctions 2026 Expand Pressure on the Russian Rocket Industry

EU Sanctions 2026 Expand Pressure on the Russian Rocket Industry

Political-MilitaryWeapons & EquipmentStrategic

The European Union has approved a sanctions package targeting 1646 individuals and organizations linked to the Russian missile industry in October 2026. These sanctions aim to disrupt the supply chain and increase costs associated with missile production. The measures are designed to impact not only manufacturers but also suppliers and intermediaries, thereby affecting Russia's military capabilities. Despite these sanctions, Russia is expected to maintain its missile strike capabilities while facing increased operational costs.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Oct 08 2026

The Center-2026 Exercises Show a New Model of Russian Warfare from the Urals to Central Asia

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentPolitical-MilitaryHybrid

Russian Armed Forces conducted military exercises named 'Center-2026' in the Ural region in October 2026, involving 47,000 personnel and showcasing advanced technologies such as drones and laser systems. The exercises included participation from Chinese forces, indicating a military collaboration. Central Asian nations viewed the maneuvers as a demonstration of Russia's regional military influence and commitment to defense cooperation.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Oct 05 2026
The "Center-2026" Exercises Bring Russia and China Closer and Change Calculations in Central Asia

The "Center-2026" Exercises Bring Russia and China Closer and Change Calculations in Central Asia

Military OperationsPolitical-MilitaryOperational

On October 3, 2026, Russia and China conducted joint military exercises named 'Tsentr-2026' involving 47,000 troops. The exercises focused on modern warfare tactics, including the use of Type 99A tanks and drones. The scenario included discussions on establishing a 'security zone' beyond Russian territory, which has implications for Central Asian nations. This collaboration highlights the evolving military relationship between Russia and China.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Oct 03 2026

Drones and Robots of Russia at Center-2026 Form the Chinese School of War 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentPolitical-MilitaryHybrid

Russia conducted strategic exercises Center-2026 in Chelyabinsk in October 2026, involving approximately 700 units of equipment, over 600 drones, and more than 60 ground robotic complexes. The Chinese military actively participated, gaining insights into the integration of drones and robotic systems in warfare. This collaboration marks a shift in military cooperation, with Russia focusing on sharing combat experience rather than traditional weaponry.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Oct 03 2026

The Russian Army Receives 15,000 Personnel and 27 Percent of the Budget — The Cost of War in 2027

Political-MilitaryForce MovementStrategic

Russia plans to increase its military personnel by 15,000, reaching a total of 1.5 million by 2027, alongside a 27% rise in military budget. The autumn draft will call up approximately 120,000 conscripts. This expansion reflects ongoing military operations and the challenges of maintaining a capable force amid rising costs and personnel shortages.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Oct 01 2026

The Russian Army Receives 15,500 New Positions Amid Prolonged War and North Korean Reinforcements

Political-MilitaryForce MovementStrategic

The Russian Armed Forces are expanding their personnel structure by 15,500 new positions amid ongoing military operations and support from North Korea. This expansion reflects a total increase of 47,860 positions since March 2026, indicating a shift towards a prolonged military mobilization. Reports suggest that North Korea is sending an additional 10,000 soldiers to assist Russia, which is facing significant personnel losses in the ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Sep 30 2026
Putin's Decree on 1.55 Million Military Personnel Shows the Cost of a Prolonged War for Russia

Putin's Decree on 1.55 Million Military Personnel Shows the Cost of a Prolonged War for Russia

Political-MilitaryLogisticsStrategic

On September 29, 2026, President Putin announced an increase in the Russian Armed Forces to 1.55 million personnel, marking the fourth adjustment in 2026. This decision coincides with plans to raise defense spending by about 27% in 2027. Reports also suggest North Korea may prepare to send 10,000 troops to assist Russia, highlighting the ongoing personnel challenges faced by the Russian military.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Sep 29 2026
The Russian Army is gaining 15,500 personnel — the fourth expansion of staff in 2026

The Russian Army is gaining 15,500 personnel — the fourth expansion of staff in 2026

Political-MilitaryForce MovementStrategic

On September 28, 2026, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree to increase the military personnel by 15,500, raising the total to 2,441,630. This marks the fourth expansion of military personnel in 2026, reflecting ongoing military needs amid a protracted conflict. The increase is part of a strategy to manage personnel shortages and maintain military readiness, while also indicating a shift in Russia's approach to the war.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Sep 29 2026
Geraniums and Mobilization in Russia After the 2026 Elections — War Approaches NATO's Borders

Geraniums and Mobilization in Russia After the 2026 Elections — War Approaches NATO's Borders

Political-MilitaryForce MovementWeapons & EquipmentStrategic

Russia is denying plans for mobilization while facing high casualty rates that exceed recruitment, particularly after the parliamentary elections in September 2026. The Kremlin aims to maintain a sense of control as the front lines demand more personnel. Poland has increased its air patrols in response to potential drone threats from Russia, indicating heightened military readiness in the region.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Sep 19 2026
Ukrainian Drones Attack Russia in the 2026 Elections — 350 Devices Change the Logic of War

Ukrainian Drones Attack Russia in the 2026 Elections — 350 Devices Change the Logic of War

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentPolitical-MilitaryHybrid

Ukrainian drones attacked Moscow on September 18, 2026, coinciding with the start of parliamentary elections, with over 350 drones involved. The attack included strikes on a refinery in Yaroslavl and a military airfield in Rostov. Ukrainian forces aim to increase the political cost of the ongoing war for Russia, while the Russian military adapts its defenses and missile capabilities in response to these drone threats.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Sep 18 2026

The Russian Army Attracts Foreigners from 40 Countries Amid Recruitment Crisis

Political-MilitaryForce MovementStrategic

The Russian Army is recruiting foreign nationals from approximately 40 countries to address personnel shortages, as reported by Amnesty International. This recruitment process has been linked to human trafficking practices, with around 28,000 foreign nationals currently serving in the military. The methods used include misleading job offers and coercion, leading to significant challenges for the recruits on the battlefield.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Sep 11 2026

UAV "Geranium" and Iranian Engineers Form a Russian-Iranian Military Technology Framework in 2026

Political-MilitaryWeapons & EquipmentStrategic

Iranian engineers are collaborating with Russian military technology sectors, focusing on UAVs and navigation systems as of 2026. Nearly 10,000 Iranian specialists are being trained in Russia, enhancing Iran's military capabilities. This partnership allows Iran to access advanced technologies while providing Russia with expertise in circumventing sanctions. The collaboration emphasizes dual-use technologies and the evolution of military systems.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Sep 10 2026