Analysis & Reports

A Russian Mi-8 helicopter crossed into Polish airspace for 42 seconds on September 23, 2026, approximately 300 meters north of Braniewo. In response, Polish fighter jets were scrambled, and ground forces were put on heightened alert. This incident is interpreted as a test of Poland's air defense capabilities amid ongoing tensions in the region.

Dmitri VolkovThu Sep 24 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces struck the control point of the Orion drone in Crimea on September 18, 2026, targeting associated launch sites and storage facilities. This operation aims to disrupt Russian military command and control capabilities in the region, reflecting a strategic shift in Ukrainian tactics. The effectiveness of the strike and the extent of damage remain to be independently verified.

Dmitri VolkovSat Sep 19 2026Loading...

NATO fighters shot down a Russian drone over Lithuania on September 15, 2026, amid a growing threat from Russian drone operations to NATO's eastern flank. The incident prompted Poland to scramble its aircraft in a preventive operation against a new Russian air attack on Ukraine. The use of Shahed drones by Russia complicates air defense strategies for NATO, highlighting the need for improved coordination and response protocols among member states.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 15 2026Loading...

Eighteen out of thirty-six Rassvet satellites failed to reach orbit, hindering Russian military communication capabilities in 2026. This failure impacts the operational effectiveness of Russian drones in Ukraine, as reliable communication is essential for real-time control and targeting. Additionally, Russian forces are reportedly enhancing the capabilities of Geran drones for precision strikes, indicating a shift in their operational strategy despite technological setbacks.

Dmitri VolkovSat Sep 05 2026Loading...

NATO conducted large-scale air exercises near Kaliningrad on August 18, 2026, involving 25 aircraft, including E-3A Sentry and AH-64E Apache. The unannounced exercises aimed to test Russian A2/AD capabilities and involved electronic warfare and reconnaissance operations. This sudden military activity reflects a shift in NATO's approach to readiness and deterrence in the region.

Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 19 2026Loading...

A-50U aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces transitioned to daily operational duty in response to increased Ukrainian missile threats, conducting reconnaissance over Ulyanovsk and Samara from June 23, 2023. Significant activity included a crucial role in countering a missile attack on July 4, with four aircraft simultaneously deployed on July 7. The operational fleet is limited to about 10 aircraft, highlighting the strategic importance and vulnerability of these assets.

Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 16 2026Loading...

Four A-50U aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces returned to daily duty on July 7, 2026, following increased operational activity due to Ukrainian strikes. The aircraft had conducted approximately 60 flights over the summer, primarily from bases in Ivanovo and Ulyanovsk. This operational shift reflects a response to the need for enhanced air surveillance and early warning capabilities amid ongoing military engagements.

Dmitri VolkovTue Aug 04 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones attacked the Dubna space communication center on June 30, 2026, marking the second strike on this facility within a week. The center, crucial for Russian satellite communications, has been targeted as part of Ukraine's evolving military strategy to disrupt Russian command and control capabilities. The repeated attacks suggest vulnerabilities in Russian air defense systems, which are struggling to protect multiple critical sites simultaneously.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jun 30 2026Loading...