Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Nigeria establishes itself as a leader in military modernization in West Africa

Nigeria establishes itself as a leader in military modernization in West Africa

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsPolitical-MilitaryHybrid

Nigeria is leading military modernization in West Africa, acquiring 24 M-346FA aircraft and 12 AH-1Z Viper helicopters to enhance its capabilities against Boko Haram. Senegal and Mali are also increasing military imports, with Mali pivoting towards Russia for arms. The U.S. has approved a $346 million contract for precision munitions for Nigeria, while Nigeria seeks to develop local defense technologies with UAE investment.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisWed Mar 18 2026
The Sahel at a Crossroads: Alliance of Sahel States and ECOWAS Facing the Growing Jihadist Threat

The Sahel at a Crossroads: Alliance of Sahel States and ECOWAS Facing the Growing Jihadist Threat

Military OperationsForce MovementLogisticsHybrid

The Alliance of Sahel States (AES) is operationalizing a unified force of 6,000 troops to combat jihadist threats in the Sahel, following a critical meeting in Ouagadougou on February 26, 2026. Concurrently, ECOWAS announced the activation of its standby force to deploy 2,000 soldiers by the end of 2026. The security situation continues to deteriorate, with increased attacks by groups like Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) and the Islamic State's Sahel Province (ISSP), leading to significant civilian casualties and a fragmented security landscape.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisWed Mar 18 2026

Alliance of Sahel States: A New Security Architecture in Response to the Failure of Western Strategies

Military OperationsPolitical-MilitaryOperational

The Unified Force of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) operationalized in December 2025, comprising 5,000 to 6,000 troops from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, under General Daouda Traoré in Niamey. This initiative aims to address escalating security threats from al-Qaeda and ISIS-linked groups. The AES has distanced itself from French defense partnerships, seeking support from Russia, while facing significant operational challenges due to aging equipment and logistical limitations.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue Mar 17 2026
Sahel: The Strategic Rivalry Between the Unified Force of the G5 Sahel and ECOWAS Redefines the Regional Security Architecture

Sahel: The Strategic Rivalry Between the Unified Force of the G5 Sahel and ECOWAS Redefines the Regional Security Architecture

Military OperationsPolitical-MilitaryOperational

The AES Unified Force, comprising 6,000 troops, was launched in December 2025 in Niamey, Niger, to counter jihadist violence in West Africa. This force represents a shift towards strategic autonomy, moving away from reliance on external funding and partnerships. Concurrently, the ECOWAS Rapid Deployment Force plans to mobilize 2,000 soldiers by the end of 2026 to address the growing threat from armed groups. Recent attacks by JNIM in Burkina Faso highlight the ongoing security challenges in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue Mar 17 2026
Sahel: Two Regional Armies, One Battlefield – The Escalation of a Fragmented Counterterrorism War

Sahel: Two Regional Armies, One Battlefield – The Escalation of a Fragmented Counterterrorism War

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesPolitical-MilitaryHybrid

In February 2026, ECOWAS announced the deployment of 2,000 soldiers to combat escalating jihadist violence in the Sahel, while the Sahel Alliance, comprising Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, has 6,000 troops. IS-Sahel attacked Niamey's airport, exposing security weaknesses, and JNIM has conducted over 500 attacks in Burkina Faso, controlling significant territory. The U.S. has intensified its military support in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon Mar 16 2026

Sahel: The JNIM Offensive Reveals the Fragilities of the Sahel States Alliance

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesStrategic AssessmentHybrid

JNIM launched a coordinated offensive in Burkina Faso from February to March 2026, resulting in over 120 casualties among Burkinabè defense forces. In response, AES conducted airstrikes in Mali, killing 35 JNIM fighters. The attack on Niamey airport by ISIS highlighted vulnerabilities in critical infrastructure and the ongoing threat posed by jihadist groups in the Sahel.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon Mar 16 2026

The Sahel Facing a New Security Architecture: Between Competing Military Alliances and Western Pragmatism

Military OperationsPolitical-MilitaryOperational

The Alliance of Sahel States (AES) operationalized a joint military force of 5,000 to 6,000 soldiers in December 2025 amid escalating terrorist violence in the region. Concurrently, the Economic Community of West African States (CEDEAO) is establishing a rapid reaction force, with a target of 2,000 personnel by the end of 2026. The U.S. has adapted its strategy, providing intelligence support to the Sahel nations despite their increasing ties with Russia.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSun Mar 15 2026

Sahel: The Race for Joint Forces Against the Jihadist Escalation

Military OperationsForce MovementOperational

The Unified Force of the Sahel Alliance (AES) deployed 6,000 soldiers from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger in March 2026 to combat escalating jihadist threats. Concurrently, the Economic Community of West African States (CEDEAO) is mobilizing its own regional force. Recent operations have intensified, with significant airstrikes against jihadist positions. The situation remains complex due to political divisions between AES and CEDEAO member states, impacting regional coordination against jihadist groups.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSun Mar 15 2026

The Alliance of Sahel States in the Face of the Intensification of the Terrorist Threat: Between Territorial Reconquests and Structural Fragilities

Military OperationsForce MovementWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

Burkinabè and Malian forces conducted successful military operations against terrorist groups in February and March 2026, regaining control of key towns and neutralizing over 100 militants. The operations included airstrikes and ground assaults, reflecting a coordinated effort by the Alliance of Sahel States. However, the JNIM continues to pose a significant threat, having conducted over 500 attacks in 2025 and controlling substantial territory in Burkina Faso. The situation remains precarious as terrorist groups adapt and maintain operational capabilities.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Mar 14 2026

Sahel: The Unified Force of the AES Facing the Jihadist Escalation of March 2026

Military OperationsForce MovementOperational

In March 2026, the Unified Force of the Sahel Alliance (AES), comprising 5,000 to 6,000 soldiers from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, was deployed to counter a surge in jihadist attacks. Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) initiated a coordinated offensive primarily in Burkina Faso, while the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (EIGS) executed attacks near regional capitals. The AES seeks strategic autonomy following the severance of military ties with Western nations, amidst ongoing security challenges in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Mar 14 2026

Sahel: The Unified Force of the AES Facing the Jihadist Escalation of March 2026

Force MovementMilitary OperationsOperational

The Unified Force of the Sahel Alliance deployed approximately 5,000 to 6,000 soldiers in Niamey during the first quarter of 2026. This action, led by General Daouda Traoré, responds to a dramatic rise in terrorist attacks in the Sahel region. The force, composed of troops from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, aims to enhance regional security following its inauguration in December 2025.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Mar 14 2026

Sahel: The Unified Force of the AES Facing the Jihadist Escalation of March 2026

Force MovementMilitary OperationsOperational

The Unified Force of the Sahel Alliance deployed approximately 5,000 to 6,000 soldiers in Niamey during the first quarter of 2026 to counter a surge in terrorist attacks. This force, inaugurated in December 2025, includes troops from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, and is commanded by General Daouda Traoré.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Mar 14 2026

The Alliance of Sahel States Facing ECOWAS: Militarization as the Only Response to Terrorism

Military OperationsPolitical-MilitaryOperational

The Alliance of Sahel States (AES) formed a unified military force of 5,000 to 6,000 soldiers in Ouagadougou on February 25-26, 2026, to combat jihadist groups. This initiative comes amid the withdrawal of French and U.S. forces and aims to enhance military coordination among Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. Concurrently, the CEDEAO announced plans for a joint anti-terrorist force of 260,000 soldiers, highlighting the escalating military response to regional terrorism.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisFri Mar 13 2026

The Sahel Facing Jihadist Escalation: Between Strategic Realignments and Operational Challenges

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

IS-Sahel launched an unprecedented attack on Niamey International Airport on January 29, deploying 30 fighters equipped with armed drones and mortars. The assault targeted both civilian facilities and the military base, resulting in the elimination or capture of all attackers after two hours of combat. This operation highlighted the group's ability to strike key locations despite increased counter-terrorism efforts in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisFri Mar 13 2026
The JNIM Offensive of February 2026: Analysis of a Coordinated Campaign and Burkinabè Military Responses

The JNIM Offensive of February 2026: Analysis of a Coordinated Campaign and Burkinabè Military Responses

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) launched a coordinated offensive in February 2026, targeting military and civilian positions in Burkina Faso, resulting in over 120 casualties. The Burkinabè Armed Forces conducted counter-offensives, regaining control of several strategic locations. The offensive included significant violence against civilians and highlighted internal tensions within JNIM due to a senior commander's defection to a rival group. The situation reflects ongoing instability in the Sahel region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisFri Mar 13 2026
The Sahel on the Brink of Interstate Conflict: Military Tensions between the AES and ECOWAS

The Sahel on the Brink of Interstate Conflict: Military Tensions between the AES and ECOWAS

Political-MilitaryMilitary OperationsForce MovementStrategic

The Sahel States Alliance (AES) activated a joint force of 5,000 soldiers from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger in December 2025 amid escalating military tensions with the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). ECOWAS plans to deploy a 260,000-strong counter-terrorism force, further straining relations. A Nigerian military intervention in Benin in February 2026 was viewed by the AES as a sovereignty violation, while U.S. airstrikes in Nigeria have complicated the security landscape. The AES is pivoting towards Russia for military support.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisFri Mar 13 2026

The Jihadist Expansion towards the Gulf of Guinea: JNIM's Offensive Marks a Strategic Turning Point

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) launched a coordinated attack on military posts in Kofono, Benin, on March 7, 2026, resulting in 15 fatalities and 5 injuries among Beninese security forces. This incident highlights a significant strategic shift as jihadist groups expand their operations from the Sahel to coastal West Africa, exploiting regional security weaknesses.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Mar 12 2026

Regional offensive of JNIM in the Sahel: the defection of a commander triggers an unprecedented escalation

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

JNIM launched a large-scale offensive in February 2026, targeting military forces in Burkina Faso, following the defection of commander Sadou Samahouna to ISIS. The offensive included over 30 attacks, resulting in more than 120 casualties among soldiers and pro-government militias. The most lethal attack occurred in Titao, where 80 military personnel and militia members were killed. Concurrently, ISIS conducted its own offensive against JNIM positions, highlighting the ongoing conflict between these jihadist groups in the Sahel region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Mar 12 2026

The Alliance of Sahel States Facing the Jihadist Challenge: Between Tactical Successes and Strategic Realignments

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Malian, Burkinabè, and Nigerien forces conducted coordinated military operations from February 21 to March 9, 2026, eliminating over 100 terrorists. The Malian Armed Forces executed a surgical airstrike in Yanfolila, while the Burkinabè army launched a counter-offensive in Northern Sahel. Nigerien forces successfully repelled an attack on the Tahua airport. These actions reflect an intensified commitment to counter-terrorism amid evolving geopolitical dynamics in the Sahel.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Mar 12 2026
Sahel: The rivalry between the Sahel States Alliance and ECOWAS in the face of jihadist escalation

Sahel: The rivalry between the Sahel States Alliance and ECOWAS in the face of jihadist escalation

Military OperationsPolitical-MilitaryOperational

The Alliance of Sahel States (AES) deployed 5,000 to 6,000 troops in December 2025 to combat jihadist insurgency, while the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) plans a 260,000-strong anti-terror force by 2026. Jihadist groups, including JNIM and EIGS, have intensified attacks in the Sahel, notably against military installations in Burkina Faso and Niger. This military escalation highlights the political rivalry between AES and ECOWAS amid a deteriorating security situation in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Mar 12 2026