Analysis & Reports

On July 5, 2026, the Malian army reported killing over 20 attackers during coordinated assaults on military camps in Gao and Sévaré, and a prison near Kenioroba. The Front for the Liberation of Azawad (FLA) and the Group for the Support of Islam and Muslims (JNIM) executed these attacks, testing the security of Bamako. The operations indicate a strategic effort to stretch Malian military resources across multiple fronts.

Marie DuboisTue Jul 07 2026Loading...

On July 4, 2026, the Malian Armed Forces repelled attacks by JNIM and FLA across multiple locations including Gao and Sévaré, claiming to have killed 26 attackers. The assaults targeted military positions and a prison, indicating a coordinated effort to challenge the Malian state. JNIM and FLA's collaboration highlights a tactical convergence against the Malian government, raising concerns about security in the region.

Marie DuboisTue Jul 07 2026Loading...

Egypt inaugurated the Octagon, a strategic military headquarters, on July 4, 2023, in the New Administrative Capital. The complex spans 22,000 acres and aims to centralize military command and crisis management to address regional threats. It is designed to improve data sharing and operational efficiency for the Egyptian Armed Forces.

Marie DuboisMon Jul 06 2026Loading...

The Somali National Intelligence and Security Agency (NISA) reported killing eight members of Al-Shabaab, including a key leader, Daqare, in Basra, Middle Shabelle, in July 2026. This operation aimed to disrupt Al-Shabaab's mortar and IED capabilities. The report indicates that the group may have retrieved bodies for burial, highlighting the operational challenges in the region. This action is part of a larger effort to weaken Al-Shabaab's influence around Mogadiscio and along the Shabelle corridor.

Marie DuboisMon Jul 06 2026Loading...

The Africa Corps trained 20 Malian paratroopers at Bamako's Modibo Keïta International Airport on July 4, 2026, using D-6 parachutes and a Mi-8AMTSh helicopter. This training highlights the operational mobility challenges faced by the Malian Armed Forces, which have limited resources. The 33rd Parachute Regiment, the only airborne unit in Mali, symbolizes a shift in military cooperation from France to Russia.

Marie DuboisSun Jul 05 2026Loading...

On July 4, 2023, insurgent groups attacked five locations in Mali, including Gao, Sévaré, Anefis, Aguelhoc, and Kenioroba. The Malian Armed Forces reported killing 20 assailants in Sévaré and 6 in Gao, while also acknowledging casualties among their forces. The attacks indicate a coordinated effort by the Front for the Liberation of Azawad and JNIM, posing a significant threat to the security of Bamako and the Malian state.

Marie DuboisSat Jul 04 2026Loading...

Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP) claimed responsibility for ambushes on Nigerian military patrols on May 15, 2026, resulting in 19 deaths, including 7 soldiers and 1 police officer. The attacks occurred near Runji and Giro Masa in Kebbi and Sokoto states, marking a significant expansion of ISSP's operational area into northwestern Nigeria. The Nigerian government is responding by seeking increased anti-jihadist cooperation with Benin and Niger.

Marie DuboisSat Jul 04 2026Loading...

U.S. Africa Command is withdrawing approximately 200 troops from Nigeria by 2026, while Nigeria seeks to establish a tri-border military sector with Benin and Niger. The withdrawal does not signify a complete abandonment, as the U.S. continues to support Nigeria through intelligence sharing. The Nigerian military aims to close gaps exploited by jihadist groups, particularly in the context of ongoing operations against ISWAP.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 03 2026Loading...

Between April 25 and June 9, 2026, 73 civilians were killed in Mali due to conflicts involving JNIM, FLA, and Africa Corps. Notable incidents occurred in Zambougou, Gao, and Kidal, where military operations targeted civilian populations. The JNIM has intensified attacks on supply routes, exacerbating the humanitarian crisis and threatening the stability of Bamako and surrounding areas.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 03 2026Loading...

The Unified Force of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) is deploying 6,000 troops to seek a route out of the Sahel trap, focusing on military coordination among Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. In July 2026, the AES aims to establish a command chain for cross-border operations, responding to recent jihadist attacks on strategic locations. The operation Yereko 2 has shown minimal coordination capabilities, highlighting the challenges faced by the AES in the region.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 02 2026Loading...

AFC/M23 has expanded its control in eastern DRC, gaining 35% more territory as of July 1, 2026, despite international pressure. The group, supported by over 10,000 Rwandan soldiers, aims to establish a federal republic in the region. Their activities include administration and recruitment in occupied areas, indicating a shift from rebellion to a more structured political-military organization.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 02 2026Loading...

JNIM and FLA are conducting coordinated attacks to encircle Bamako in 2026, targeting supply routes and civilian vehicles. This has created a siege-like situation, disrupting fuel supplies and military logistics. The attacks have affected multiple locations, including Gao, Kidal, and Mopti, and have led to significant civilian impacts.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 02 2026Loading...

Africa Corps deployed FPV kamikaze drones in northern Mali in 2026 to target rebel and jihadist positions. This adaptation follows the loss of Kidal and aims to disrupt enemy movements. The use of these drones highlights both a tactical shift and challenges in local intelligence and logistics for Russian forces.

Marie DuboisWed Jul 01 2026Loading...

An airstrike by Malian forces near Inkadewane killed eight civilians, including a health program official, on Friday. This incident is part of escalating military operations in the Ménaka region, where Africa Corps has also conducted drone strikes against suspected terrorist vehicles. The situation raises concerns about civilian safety and military accountability in the area.

Marie DuboisWed Jul 01 2026Loading...

Burkina Faso formally severed diplomatic relations with France on June 26, 2026, accusing it of neo-colonial ambitions. This decision, led by Captain Ibrahim Traoré, has been in preparation since 2023 and reflects a broader trend of military regimes in the Sahel seeking to negotiate with foreign powers. The junte claims to maintain human and cultural ties with France despite the diplomatic break, which may impact military operations against jihadist groups in the region.

Marie DuboisTue Jun 30 2026Loading...

ISIS-Sahel exhibited captured weapons in a video, claiming responsibility for three attacks against the Nigerien army on June 28, 2023, in Inates, Tillabéri region. The group aims to demonstrate its ongoing threat in border areas, despite the lack of confirmed details regarding the weapons' origins. The situation highlights the challenges faced by Niger in maintaining security and sovereignty in the region.

Marie DuboisTue Jun 30 2026Loading...

U.S. officials engaged with Mali's government to re-establish intelligence operations amid rising jihadist threats. The U.S. aims to strengthen ties with Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso for security and economic interests, shifting focus from democratic transitions to counter-terrorism. Recent attacks by jihadist groups underscore the urgency of U.S. involvement in the region.

Marie DuboisMon Jun 29 2026Loading...

ISSP claimed responsibility for attacks in Nigeria, resulting in the deaths of 17 soldiers in two incidents: 10 soldiers in Giro Masa, Kebbi, on March 24, 2026, and 7 soldiers near Rumji Dan Tudu, Sokoto, in May 2026. This marks the first official acknowledgment of ISSP's operations in Nigeria since 2019, indicating a significant shift in the operational landscape.

Marie DuboisMon Jun 29 2026Loading...

The Combined Maritime Task Force (CMTF) launched on June 1, 2026, in Lagos, aims to enhance maritime security against piracy in the Gulf of Guinea, involving 26 countries. Nigeria has contributed initial resources, including three ships and personnel, but the success of the CMTF hinges on cooperation among member states and addressing logistical challenges. Despite a reduction in piracy, the region remains vulnerable to organized crime, necessitating a coordinated response.

Marie DuboisMon Jun 29 2026Loading...

JNIM's siege of Bamako has resulted in the deaths of 73 civilians since the offensive began on April 25, 2023. In Zambougou, civilians were forced off buses and vehicles were burned. The Malian Armed Forces have also conducted operations leading to civilian casualties, including drone strikes. The ongoing conflict has severely impacted civilian life, with fuel shortages and increased violence in the region.

Marie DuboisMon Jun 29 2026Loading...