Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Russia will sign a memorandum with ECOWAS — Lavrov mediates between Abuja and the AES

Russia will sign a memorandum with ECOWAS — Lavrov mediates between Abuja and the AES

Political-MilitaryMilitary OperationsStrategic

Russia announced plans to sign a memorandum of cooperation with ECOWAS on August 17, focusing on security measures. This marks the first formal military cooperation between Russia and ECOWAS, as Lavrov mediates between Abuja and the Sahel States Alliance. The memorandum aims to enhance security collaboration among West African states, particularly in light of rising jihadist threats.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue Aug 18 2026
Lavrov courts Equatorial Guinea in 2026 and promotes the Russian model towards the Gulf of Guinea

Lavrov courts Equatorial Guinea in 2026 and promotes the Russian model towards the Gulf of Guinea

Political-MilitaryMilitary OperationsStrategic

On May 18, 2026, Russia expressed its readiness to enhance military-technical cooperation with Equatorial Guinea during a meeting in Moscow. The Equatorial Guinean foreign minister praised Russia's involvement in the Sahel, framing it as a stabilizing force. This cooperation aims to address Equatorial Guinea's defense needs, focusing on regime protection and maritime security, while positioning Russia as a key partner in the Gulf of Guinea.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue May 19 2026

Moscow institutionalizes its presence in the Sahel — strategic agreement with Ouagadougou and AES ministerial format

Political-MilitaryStrategic

On February 12, 2026, Russia formalized its military presence in the Sahel by signing a strategic agreement with Burkina Faso, focusing on security and counter-terrorism. This agreement marks a transition from private military contractor involvement to state-level cooperation, with Russian forces now operating under a formal diplomatic framework. The presence of Russian military personnel is increasing in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, as Moscow seeks to enhance its influence in the region amid a withdrawal of Western forces.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Feb 14 2026