Analysis & Reports

On September 18, 2026, Russian air defense intercepted 629 Ukrainian drones over Southern Russia. Concurrently, Ukrainian strikes led to the disruption of operations at the Syzran and Saratov oil refineries. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported the destruction of Ukrainian radar and electronic warfare systems, highlighting the ongoing military engagement and the shift towards a war of attrition targeting economic infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovFri Sep 18 2026Loading...

Ukraine proposed to pause attacks on Russian critical infrastructure if Russia ceases its strikes on Ukrainian energy systems. This offer aims to mitigate civilian suffering as winter approaches, while maintaining military options. The proposal raises questions about Russia's strategic objectives and the complexities of verifying any potential agreement.

Alexandra ReevesTue Sep 15 2026Loading...

On September 14, 2026, a Russian drone struck a passenger train locomotive near Yahodyn, Ukraine, close to the Polish border. The attack occurred shortly after a diplomatic train crossed into Poland, prompting evacuation of passengers due to ongoing threats. This incident highlights the ongoing Russian campaign against Ukrainian transport infrastructure and raises concerns about potential escalation into Polish territory.

S.WMon Sep 14 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones struck two Russian oil refineries in Slavyansk-na-Kubani and Nizhnekamsk on September 13, 2026, testing the capabilities of Russian air defenses. The attacks, occurring 1,200 kilometers from Ukraine, signify a strategic escalation in the conflict, targeting critical logistical infrastructure. Russian officials confirmed air defense activity but did not reveal the damage extent, highlighting vulnerabilities in the defense of industrial sites.

Dmitri VolkovSun Sep 13 2026Loading...

Uralvagonzavod delivered a new batch of T-90M and T-72B3M tanks to the Russian Army, featuring upgraded protection systems. This delivery coincided with Tank Crew Day, highlighting the ongoing efforts to enhance Russia's armored capabilities amid significant losses in Ukraine. The tanks include advanced protective features developed over two years, aimed at improving battlefield survivability.

Ukrainian forces attacked the Saratov oil refinery and Uralchem Azot chemical plant on September 10-11, 2026, marking a significant escalation in targeting Russian industrial capabilities. This was the sixth strike on the Saratov facility this year, indicating a systematic effort to disrupt Russian logistics and supply chains. The Russian government confirmed damage to these sites but did not disclose the extent of the impact.

Dmitri VolkovSat Sep 12 2026Loading...

The CIA procured high-grade titanium from the Soviet Union through shell companies in the 1960s for the construction of the SR-71 Blackbird. The aircraft, primarily made of titanium, was designed to withstand extreme temperatures while flying at high speeds. Much of the titanium ore came from Soviet Ukraine, and the procurement process involved a covert network to avoid detection by the Soviets. A total of 32 SR-71s were built, reflecting the significant engineering challenges faced during the program.

Rostec is launching a defense marketplace in September 2026 to enhance drone protection for Russian infrastructure. This initiative aims to connect manufacturers with defense needs, particularly in response to vulnerabilities exposed by Ukrainian strikes. The marketplace will feature anti-drone systems and related equipment, with a significant portion of applications coming from Russian corporations. The move reflects budgetary pressures and a shift towards more cost-effective defense solutions.

S.WThu Sep 10 2026Loading...

Russia allocated 44% of its federal budget to military needs in the first half of 2026, reflecting a significant increase in military spending. This allocation represents 10.5% of GDP and 57.3% of federal revenues, indicating a shift in economic priorities towards defense. The report highlights concerns over the sustainability of such spending amid declining energy revenues and the implications for the civilian economy.

S.WWed Sep 09 2026Loading...

Russia's military spending reached a record 44% of its federal budget in the first half of 2026, totaling 10.7 trillion rubles ($125 billion). This marks a 30% increase from the previous year, largely driven by classified spending. The military's share of the budget has risen significantly since the invasion of Ukraine, with classified expenditures making up a substantial portion of military needs. Oil and gas revenue has declined, further straining the budget.

The Russian army is depriving contract soldiers of bonuses for legal violations, tightening recruitment policies for 2026. This change aims to control soldier behavior outside combat and reflects a shift in military recruitment strategy. The new policy is intended to reduce budgetary risks and combat issues like desertion and misconduct. The Russian military continues to face challenges in maintaining troop quality amid ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 08 2026Loading...

Russian forces conducted airstrikes on September 8, 2023, targeting military logistics centers and defense industry facilities in Kyiv and Odesa. The strikes involved precision weapons and drones, marking a resumption of attacks after a three-day pause. Explosions were reported in Kyiv as part of this large-scale military operation.

Russian forces conducted strikes on Ukrainian logistics infrastructure and drone storage points, while Ukrainian forces targeted a railway bridge in Crimea and Russian command posts in Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia. The Russian military also intercepted Ukrainian precision-guided bombs and drones. These actions occurred over a 24-hour period, indicating ongoing military operations between the two sides.

The Chinese People's Liberation Army is participating in a humanitarian demining exercise in Russia from the 7th to the 12th. The exercise focuses on clearing mixed explosive contamination areas and includes activities such as battlefield area clearance and the use of explosive detection dogs. This initiative aims to enhance demining experience exchange and capability building among participating nations.

Russia continues to produce Su-34 fighter-bombers at the Novosibirsk Aviation Plant, with 212 units delivered by early 2026. During the Viva Avia air festival on August 1-2, 2024, a newly built Su-34 was spotted, highlighting ongoing production despite the war in Ukraine. The aircraft has been used extensively in combat, with 43 confirmed losses since the invasion began in February 2022.

Russian forces attacked two cargo ships in the Black Sea, aiming to disrupt Ukraine's maritime logistics. This action is part of a broader strategy to economically isolate Ukraine by making access to its ports increasingly risky. In response, Ukraine has targeted Russian port and energy infrastructure, indicating a shift in the conflict towards mutual attacks on logistics. The situation is evolving as both sides adapt their strategies to exert pressure on each other.

Dmitri VolkovFri Sep 04 2026Loading...

A Russian Mi-8 helicopter crashed on Sakhalin Island on September 2 after both engines failed due to fuel exhaustion. The helicopter attempted to land on a highway but ended up in a roadside ditch, with the crew avoiding vehicles on the road. An investigation has been launched into the cause of the fuel shortage, amid reports of a broader aviation fuel crisis in Russia.

Ukrainian long-range drones are impacting Russian airspace and logistics in September 2026, creating uncertainty in the rear areas of Russia. President Zelensky has advised airlines to evaluate risks for flights over Russia, while the Russian military is reallocating air defense resources in response to these threats. This shift indicates that the traditional concept of strategic depth for Russia is becoming increasingly costly and uncertain.

Dmitri VolkovWed Sep 02 2026Loading...

HMS Daring underwent extensive repairs in Portsmouth from 2017 to 2023 due to propulsion issues and a lack of trained personnel. The Royal Navy faced significant logistical challenges, resulting in the destroyer being out of service for eight years. Despite the completion of repairs, Daring could not return to active duty until a new crew was trained. The Royal Navy's operational readiness has been severely impacted by mechanical issues and manpower shortages.

HMS Daring underwent extensive repairs in Portsmouth from 2017 to 2023 due to propulsion issues and a lack of trained crew. The Royal Navy faced significant manpower shortages, leading to the deactivation of smaller vessels to prioritize larger ships. Despite the completion of repairs, Daring remained inactive until recently when a new crew was trained, allowing her to prepare for rejoining the fleet.