Analysis & Reports

The U.S. Armed Forces conducted Operation Epic Fury, targeting 15,000 sites in Iran, yet the Iranian regime remains stable and its nuclear capabilities intact. The Strait of Hormuz continues to pose a significant security challenge, with unresolved issues regarding the predictability of commercial traffic. The operation's outcomes suggest a visible constraint on U.S. power, leaving Israel and regional allies in a cycle of low-level escalation.

Iran's Supreme Leader expressed condolences for the assassination of Larijani and his associates in Tehran on March 18, 2023. He emphasized that the perpetrators must face consequences. The Israeli Defense Forces reportedly carried out an airstrike near Tehran that resulted in Larijani's death, along with the commander of the Iranian militia, Soleimani.

Three private aircraft were damaged at Ben Gurion International Airport due to missile fragments fired by Iran and Hezbollah. At least one aircraft was burned, prompting Israeli authorities to limit the number of departing passengers, affecting around 1500 individuals. The incident occurred recently, highlighting ongoing tensions in the region.

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy Commander announced plans to target U.S.-related oil facilities with heavy artillery fire, equating them to U.S. military bases. This statement follows reports of attacks on oil facilities in Bushehr province attributed to the U.S. and Israel.

The U.S. is pressuring European and Middle Eastern allies to enhance their support for ensuring the security of the Strait of Hormuz. On March 18, 2023, White House Press Secretary Levitt stated that U.S. officials are in communication with allies to increase their efforts. President Trump has voiced dissatisfaction with some allies' lack of enthusiasm for military cooperation against Iran.

The Israeli Air Force conducted airstrikes on major gas facilities in Bushehr and Asaluyeh, Iran, on March 18. The attacks were coordinated with the United States and aimed to send a warning to Iran regarding its infrastructure. Israeli officials indicated that the scope of attacks could expand if Iran does not respond appropriately. Iranian media confirmed damage to petrochemical facilities but reported no casualties.

On October 17, U.S. Central Command conducted airstrikes on Iranian anti-ship missile bases near the Strait of Hormuz, employing multiple 5000-pound bunker busters. Experts indicate that Iran's diverse missile capabilities and underground facilities may complicate efforts to fully neutralize the threat. The strikes are part of ongoing U.S. efforts to address Iran's blockade of the strategic waterway.

Military families are facing significant delays in shipping household goods and vehicles due to the ongoing U.S. military operations in the Middle East. A stop movement order was issued for shipments to several countries, affecting over 1,000 service members during their Permanent Change of Station (PCS). The Pentagon has confirmed that these disruptions are caused by security risks and operational challenges in the region, with heightened security measures also impacting domestic moves.

Military families are facing significant delays in shipping household goods and vehicles due to the ongoing U.S. military operations in the Middle East. The Pentagon has issued a stop movement order affecting shipments to several countries, with delays expected to last weeks for overseas moves. The Personal Property Activity is overseeing these logistics, and families are advised to prepare for extended wait times as the peak PCS season approaches.

Military families are facing significant shipping delays for household goods and vehicles due to the ongoing U.S. war with Iran. The Pentagon has issued a stop movement order affecting shipments to multiple countries in the region, impacting over 1,000 service members. Delays are expected to continue as heightened security measures and operational disruptions persist during the peak Permanent Change of Station season.

Israeli airstrikes recently eliminated two senior Iranian security officials, Ali Larijani and General Gholam Reza Soleimani, in Iran. Their deaths are viewed as a major setback for the Iranian leadership, particularly in managing relations with Russia and internal security. In response, Iran launched missile and drone attacks targeting neighboring Arab states and sites in Israel.

The Pentagon plans to deploy directed energy weapons, including lasers, within 36 months to counter drone threats, particularly in the Middle East. This initiative was announced by Assistant Secretary of Defense Michael Dodd during a conference in Honolulu on March 9, 2026. The U.S. military is accelerating its laser programs across branches, with support from President Trump, who highlighted the cost-effectiveness of laser technology compared to traditional missiles. However, challenges remain in scaling production and sourcing necessary materials.

The Pentagon plans to deploy directed energy weapons, including lasers, within 36 months to address drone threats, as stated by Assistant Secretary of Defense Michael Dodd during a conference in Honolulu on March 9, 2026. This initiative is part of a broader effort to enhance U.S. military capabilities against aerial threats, particularly in the Middle East. President Trump has endorsed the technology as a cost-effective alternative to existing missile systems.

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched Operation 'Real Commitment-4' on October 18, 2023, in retaliation for the assassination of senior official Ali Larijani. The operation involved missile strikes targeting over a hundred military and security sites in Israel. Iranian President Raisi vowed to hold the perpetrators accountable, while the IRGC confirmed the deaths of multiple officials in the airstrike.

U.S. military operations in Iran have revealed critical lessons for potential conflict with China, particularly regarding precision strikes and munitions consumption. The effectiveness of B-2 bombers in targeting nuclear sites and the rapid depletion of Tomahawk missiles highlight significant operational challenges. Additionally, drone strikes have exposed vulnerabilities in U.S. logistics and supply chains, emphasizing the need for improved defense systems against swarm attacks.

Iran has begun mining the Strait of Hormuz, significantly impacting maritime traffic. The U.S. Navy's USS Tulsa and USS Santa Barbara, equipped for minesweeping, are currently located in Malaysia, thousands of miles away. The UK is deploying minesweeping drones to assist, while NATO allies have declined to support U.S. military operations in the region.

Turkey deployed a third NATO Patriot air and missile defense system to İncirlik Air Base following a ballistic missile launch from Iran on March 13. The missile was intercepted by NATO assets in the Eastern Mediterranean. This deployment, authorized by NATO Allied Air Command, increases the number of Patriot batteries in Turkey to three, enhancing the country's air defense capabilities against potential threats from Iran.

U.S. and Israeli airstrikes have severely impacted Iran’s military capabilities, but the Iranian regime remains intact and has closed the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump is under pressure to decide whether to deploy ground troops to reopen the strait or accept a perceived defeat. The situation is escalating, with significant implications for U.S. foreign policy and regional stability.

Two Arleigh Burke-class destroyers of the U.S. Navy survived a recent barrage of eight Houthi aerial systems, five anti-ship ballistic missiles, and three cruise missiles in the Strait of Hormuz, aided by F-35C aircraft. The engagement highlighted the high costs of missile defense, with each missile costing $2 million, while the threats posed by Iran's asymmetric warfare strategy continue to challenge U.S. naval operations.

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has warned that oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar are legitimate targets for strikes. This warning was issued on March 18, 2023, and local populations have been urged to evacuate the areas in preparation for potential attacks.