Analysis & Reports

The Russian Armed Forces launched the 'Volna Kupol Garant' electronic warfare system into series production in August 2026 to counter Ukrainian drone operations. This system aims to disrupt Starlink communications by targeting satellites, primarily protecting stationary military assets. However, its effectiveness against mobile targets is limited, reflecting a shift in Russian military strategy in response to increased Ukrainian strikes on critical infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovSat Aug 29 2026Loading...

Russia has begun mass production of the 'Bohun Protection' electronic warfare system, designed to effectively counter the Starlink satellite communications. This system can disrupt Starlink operations over large areas and is seen as a significant tool in the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. The Russian defense industry claims the system has been proven effective and is now ready for global distribution.

Ukrainian Security Service struck a Russian Tu-95MS strategic bomber at Engels-2 airbase overnight Friday. This marks the second attack on a Tu-95 at the same location in six weeks, with significant damage reported to the aircraft's right wing. The base is known for launching Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainian targets and also stores munitions and fuel.

Ukrainian forces attacked a large oil refinery in Yaroslavl, Russia, on August 28, using an FP-1 drone. The refinery is one of Russia's largest, with a refining capacity of approximately 15 million tons per year, and the attack resulted in a significant fire at the site. This strike is part of a broader campaign targeting Russian energy infrastructure.

United Shipbuilding Corporation held a keel-laying ceremony for the new Lada-class submarine named Maloyaroslavets at Admiralty Shipyards this week. This submarine is described as the sixth in the Lada series, designed by Rubin Design Bureau, and represents Russia's most modern non-nuclear submarines currently in production. The design includes advanced features such as a low acoustic signature and a powerful sonar system.

Russia delivered a third batch of Su-35S fighters to its Aerospace Forces on August 27, 2026, although the exact number of aircraft in this batch remains undisclosed. Currently, 114 Su-35S fighters are in service, with an additional 30 on order. The aircraft were produced at the Yuri Gagarin Aviation Plant in Komsomolsk-on-Amur and have been operational since their first deployment in Syria in 2016.

Rostec delivered a new batch of Su-35S multirole fighters to the Russian Aerospace Forces in Komsomolsk-on-Amur in 2026. This marks the third delivery of Su-35S fighters this year, with the exact number unspecified but confirmed to be at least two. The aircraft completed factory testing and are intended for various operational roles, including air superiority and precision strikes against ground targets.

The U.S. Air Force's F-22 Raptor has a combat radius of 410 miles, raising concerns about its effectiveness against long-range threats from China and Russia. The DF-41 missile from China can strike targets up to 9,320.5 miles away, while Russia's Sukhoi S-70 Okhotnik-B drone has a range of 3,728 miles. The report highlights the importance of improving airbase defenses to protect against these advanced threats.

The U.S. Air Force's F-22 Raptor, costing $350 million per plane, is compared against China's J-20 and Russia's Su-57 in terms of capabilities and production numbers. The F-22 excels in frontal stealth and maneuverability, while the J-20 offers superior speed and payload. Current production numbers show only 187 F-22s, with J-20s projected to reach 300, while Su-57 production remains low at 21-30 units.

Russia is establishing and upgrading ten drone bases near the borders of Belarus and Ukraine, potentially for attacks on NATO member states. These bases include around 60 new launch pads for drones capable of striking targets hundreds of miles away, posing a new threat to NATO's eastern flank. NATO is closely monitoring these developments and investing in counter-drone systems to mitigate risks.

Russia launched a GLONASS navigation satellite from Plesetsk Cosmodrome on August 24, 2023, at 2:40 a.m. UTC using a Soyuz-2.1b rocket with a Fregat upper stage. The satellite reached an orbit consistent with GLONASS parameters, and its designation is likely Kosmos-2619. The U.S. Space Force confirmed the launch and cataloged two objects from it.

Ousted Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov warned that Ukraine is gradually losing the war against Russia and needs urgent strategic changes. He highlighted the lack of innovation and a cohesive military plan, while Russia continues to launch ballistic missile attacks. Fedorov also called for wartime elections, which has sparked controversy, and emphasized the importance of developing advanced military technologies to improve Ukraine's defense capabilities.

The Russian Baltic Fleet fitted several warships with improvised netting and camouflage to protect against drone strikes following a confirmed attack on the corvette Boikiy at Kronstadt on June 3. The measures include various visual countermeasures and are not part of a standardized protection program. This incident marks the first confirmed Ukrainian drone strike on a Baltic Fleet installation.

Yevgeny Grigoryev, the general director of the TulaDrone Research and Production Center, was arrested on August 14, 2023, in Tula on fraud charges. His arrest was not known to employees until it became public, and he had not been present at work since that date. The TulaDrone center is part of Russia's national drone development initiative, which has seen significant investment.

North Korea is preparing to send 8500 personnel, including 400 drone operators, to Russia in August 2026. This military exchange signifies a strategic partnership, allowing North Korea to gain modern warfare skills while providing Russia with needed manpower. The presence of drone operators indicates a shift in the nature of military cooperation, moving beyond mere supply of artillery to a more integrated military training and operational collaboration.

Dmitri VolkovTue Aug 25 2026Loading...

Two Russian Rassvet satellites are heading toward reentry after failing to perform necessary orbit-raising maneuvers, as reported in late August 2023. This follows the loss of the first satellite from the constellation in June. The satellites were part of a launch from Plesetsk on July 19, 2023, aimed at establishing a broadband network to counter Starlink.

Russia launched a classified military satellite from Plesetsk on August 24, using a Soyuz-2-1b rocket. This occurred a day after Ukrainian drones reached the Arkhangelsk region in an attempt to disrupt the launch, leading to the downing of 40 drones by Russian forces. The satellite's payload, designated 'Kosmos', successfully reached orbit as planned.

The UK is set to provide Ukraine with documentation for producing Storm Shadow missiles, prompting Russia to threaten British factories. This development indicates a shift in military strategy, as Russia perceives the potential for Ukraine to establish a distributed production capability. In response, Russia is likely to enhance reconnaissance and increase threats against Ukrainian industrial sites.

Dmitri VolkovTue Aug 25 2026Loading...

Ukraine is producing dozens of Behemoth kamikaze drones, which have been used in strikes against the Chonhar Bridge and other targets in occupied territories. The drone, developed by GLEFA and Culver Aerospace, has a range of 300 km and carries a payload of 75 kg. Reports indicate that the Behemoth is already in operational use by the Ukrainian Defense Forces.

Ukraine held the world’s first military parade composed entirely of unmanned systems in Kyiv on August 24, 2026, showcasing various ground, naval, and aerial drones. The event marked Ukraine’s Independence Day and highlighted the formal establishment of the Unmanned Systems Forces as a dedicated military branch. This parade featured dozens of ground robotic systems and naval kamikaze drones, emphasizing Ukraine's advancements in drone warfare.