Analysis & Reports

The Nigerian military rejected any ceasefire agreement with Boko Haram and ISWAP on November 5, 2026, affirming that military operations will persist. This denial highlights the sensitive nature of maintaining control in the northeast, where armed groups exploit gaps in military presence. The situation in the Lake Chad Basin remains complicated, with various factions operating independently.

Marie DuboisSat Nov 07 2026Loading...

Nigeria is collaborating with the Sahel States Alliance (AES) to reposition the Multinational Joint Task Force (MNJTF) due to security gaps following Niger's withdrawal. The MNJTF, operational since 1994, faces challenges from ISWAP and Boko Haram in the Lake Chad region. The Nigerian Defense spokesperson emphasized the need for a diplomatic approach to reintegrate Niger while maintaining its sovereignty. The situation remains critical as armed groups exploit the security vacuum.

Marie DuboisSat Nov 07 2026Loading...

The F-22 Raptor, operated by the U.S. Air Force, has a combat radius of 529 miles and a ferry range of 1,840 miles with external tanks, which compromises its stealth. This limitation poses challenges for operations in the Indo-Pacific region, particularly in potential confrontations with China, where distances between bases and combat zones are significant. Aerial refueling and external fuel tanks are necessary to extend its range, but these solutions come with drawbacks.

NATO has launched a marketplace for counter-uncrewed aircraft systems to provide member states with faster access to selected counter-drone technologies. This initiative aims to enhance the defense capabilities of NATO member countries in response to evolving threats.

Algeria is preparing to deploy troops to Niger in 2026, marking its first significant military projection abroad in over fifty years. This deployment aims to address security concerns and prevent instability from affecting Algeria's southern regions. The exact details of the troop numbers and mission remain undisclosed, but the move signifies a shift in Algeria's approach to regional security in the Sahel.

Marie DuboisFri Nov 06 2026Loading...

The frigate Marshal Shaposhnikov conducted joint anti-piracy exercises with the Seychelles Coast Guard in Victoria on November 6, 2026. This operation showcased Russia's maritime diplomacy and capability to collaborate with external partners in protecting shipping routes. The exercise was characterized as limited and did not signify a formal military alliance, reflecting Russia's strategic adaptation in the Indian Ocean.

Dmitri VolkovFri Nov 06 2026Loading...

The war on Iran is impacting US naval forces in the western Pacific, raising concerns about US credibility and the implications for allies in the region.

On November 4, 2026, over 100 Chinese navy and coast guard vessels operated in the Western Pacific, coinciding with a spike in Chinese air activity. This deployment is viewed as a potential rehearsal for coercion against Taiwan, testing its response capabilities. The People's Liberation Army Navy's presence complicates Taiwan's maritime security and signals Beijing's intent to exert pressure without formally declaring a blockade.

Marcus ChenWed Nov 04 2026Loading...

Russian security companies are competing for control of a gold mine in Burkina Faso as of November 2, 2026. This competition is influenced by the activities of the JNIM, which seeks to exploit local economies and disrupt transport routes. The mine's strategic importance extends beyond economic gain, serving as a military position and a political bargaining chip for Russia.

Marie DuboisMon Nov 02 2026Loading...

The Chinese Navy hospital ship 'Peace Ark' arrived in Lomé, Togo on November 1, 2023, as part of the 'Harmonious Mission-2026' task. The ship is providing medical services and engaging in friendly activities with Togolese military personnel. This marks the first visit of a Chinese naval vessel to Togo, reflecting the strengthening of bilateral relations since their diplomatic ties were established in 1972.

On November 1, 2026, the Algerian parliament approved the deployment of troops to Niger to protect strategic interests and energy facilities. This decision follows Algeria's earlier military support to Niger, including the dispatch of Su-30 fighter jets. The move reflects Algeria's shift in military policy and aims to establish a direct security presence in Niger amid regional instability.

Marie DuboisSun Nov 01 2026Loading...

Houthi forces announced plans to target Saudi military command networks in Yemen on October 30. They claim to have gathered intelligence on Saudi operations and identified military bases in several regions, including Aden and Marib. The Houthi spokesperson warned civilians to stay away from military targets as hostilities between Houthi forces and Saudi-backed Yemeni government troops intensify.

Russia is enhancing its military and diplomatic presence in the Sahel region, focusing on cooperation with Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. The Russia-Africa summit on October 30, 2026, resulted in a plan for action from 2027 to 2029, emphasizing military support without democratic prerequisites. The Africa Corps has replaced the Wagner Group in official communications, indicating a shift in Russia's approach to regional influence.

Marie DuboisFri Oct 30 2026Loading...

Ethiopia received 12 Su-35 fighter jets from Russia, enhancing its military capabilities amid escalating conflict in Tigray. The Ethiopian government also announced the forthcoming delivery of S-400 air defense systems. This acquisition is seen as a strategic move to address external threats and protect critical infrastructure. Eritrea expresses concern over these developments, which could alter the regional security dynamics.

Marie DuboisThu Oct 29 2026Loading...

Twenty-seven Ugandan citizens were reported killed or missing after enlisting in the Russian army for the war in Ukraine. This information was communicated by the Ugandan embassy in Moscow to Uganda's foreign ministry. The incident underscores Russia's ongoing recruitment of foreign nationals to address personnel shortages, raising diplomatic concerns for Uganda regarding its citizens' involvement in the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovThu Oct 29 2026Loading...

The Chinese Navy hospital ship 'Peace Ark' and the 15th Medical Team to Ghana provided free medical services in Accra on October 27, treating over 1000 patients and successfully completing four surgeries. Medical personnel collaborated and shared experiences to enhance healthcare delivery. The team expressed commitment to continue supporting health initiatives in Ghana.

The Chinese Navy's Liaoning aircraft carrier conducted routine training exercises in the Western Pacific on October 29, while Japan's Self-Defense Forces monitored its activities. Chinese officials stated that these exercises are part of annual training and not aimed at any specific nation. The Ministry of Defense criticized Japan for using the situation to mislead public opinion and warned against rising militarism in Japan.

Ghana has maintained a state of calm in Bawku for 150 days, allowing markets to reopen and easing curfews. The government announced an investment of $85.7 million to revitalize the area, aiming to restore its economic role. The situation remains fragile, with the potential for jihadist influence from the JNIM, which could exploit local grievances if not managed effectively.

Marie DuboisWed Oct 28 2026Loading...

Ethiopia received its first 12 Russian-made Su-35 fighter jets and 4 S-400 air defense batteries on October 28, 2023, as announced by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. The delivery occurred ahead of schedule and is part of an agreement with the Russian government. Abiy described this acquisition as a significant enhancement to Ethiopia's defense capabilities, positioning the country as a leader in military strength among Sub-Saharan African nations.

Algeria approved the deployment of troops to Niger on October 25, 2026, following a unanimous vote in Parliament. This move aims to protect oil facilities and deter destabilization efforts in the region. The deployment comes after Algeria sent Russian aircraft to Niger and reflects a shift in regional security dynamics as Western powers reduce their presence.

Marie DuboisWed Oct 28 2026Loading...