850发射:美国军方的战斧危机完全是一个看似无法解决的数学问题

Puget Sound Naval Shipyard, Wash. (Aug. 14, 2003) -- Illustration of USS Ohio (SSGN 726) which is undergoing a conversion from a Ballistic Missile Submarine (SSBN) to a Guided Missile Submarine (SSGN) designation. Ohio has been out of service since Oct. 29, 2002 for conversion to SSGN at Puget Sound Naval Shipyard. Four Ohio-class strategic missile submarines, USS Ohio (SSBN 726), USS Michigan (SSBN 727) USS Florida (SSBN 728), and USS Georgia (SSBN 729) have been selected for transformation into a new platform, designated SSGN. The SSGNs will have the capability to support and launch up to 154 Tomahawk missiles, a significant increase in capacity compared to other platforms. The 22 missile tubes also will provide the capability to carry other payloads, such as unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs), unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and Special Forces equipment. This new platform will also have the capability to carry and support more than 66 Navy SEALs (Sea, Air and Land) and insert them clandestinely into potential conflict areas. U.S. Navy illustration. (RELEASED)
Puget Sound Naval Shipyard, Wash. (Aug. 14, 2003) -- Illustration of USS Ohio (SSGN 726) which is undergoing a conversion from a Ballistic Missile Submarine (SSBN) to a Guided Missile Submarine (SSGN) designation. Ohio has been out of service since Oct. 29, 2002 for conversion to SSGN at Puget Sound Naval Shipyard. Four Ohio-class strategic missile submarines, USS Ohio (SSBN 726), USS Michigan (SSBN 727) USS Florida (SSBN 728), and USS Georgia (SSBN 729) have been selected for transformation into a new platform, designated SSGN. The SSGNs will have the capability to support and launch up to 154 Tomahawk missiles, a significant increase in capacity compared to other platforms. The 22 missile tubes also will provide the capability to carry other payloads, such as unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs), unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and Special Forces equipment. This new platform will also have the capability to carry and support more than 66 Navy SEALs (Sea, Air and Land) and insert them clandestinely into potential conflict areas. U.S. Navy illustration. (RELEASED)
报告内容
已翻译

美国在5周内向伊朗发射了850枚战斧导弹——这占整个库存的25%,而工厂每年仅生产90枚

美国针对伊朗的空中行动,史诗愤怒行动,在军事上非常成功,严重削弱了伊朗的弹道导弹库存、导弹发射器及其高级领导层。

斩首打击已消灭超过40名高级军事和政治领导人,而美国和以色列的空袭已打击超过1,000个目标。

然而,在数周不间断的空袭后,美国面临着其战斧导弹库存的重大压力,因近期对伊朗的高强度使用,尤其是6月的行动,引发了对潜在更大规模交战库存水平的担忧。

Artist's concept of an Ohio-class SSGN launching Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

艺术家概念图:俄亥俄级SSGN发射战斧陆基攻击导弹。

《华盛顿邮报》声称,美国在对伊朗目标的空袭中迄今已发射850枚战斧导弹。这大约占整个导弹供应的四分之一,使军方仅剩约3,000枚导弹以应对未来在伊朗或更重要的情况下对中国的潜在需求。

考虑到军方消耗速度如此之快,战斧巡航导弹是否是未来合适的武器?

导弹不是问题,补给速度才是:

虽然并未完全耗尽,但当前的补给速度缓慢——通常每年不足100-200个——难以跟上作战消耗,造成长期供应脆弱性。

“制造商根本无法快速生产它们,”垂直研究伙伴公司的分析师罗布·斯塔拉德表示……

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分类信息
地区
西亚
分析域
战役级
主要分类 / 次要分类
武器装备 / 军事作战
子分类
导弹使用
SALUTE 报告
规模
850枚战斧导弹发射
活动
美国对伊朗的空中行动,史诗怒火行动,削弱伊朗的军事能力
地点
伊朗
单位
美国军方
时间
在过去的5周内
装备
战斧导弹B-1B兰斯轰炸机爱国者导弹THAAD
摘要

美国军方对伊朗实施了史诗怒火行动,在五周内发射了850枚战斧导弹,占其总库存的25%。此次行动显著削弱了伊朗的军事能力,包括其弹道导弹库存和领导层。然而,战斧导弹的高使用率引发了对未来库存水平的担忧,特别是在印太地区潜在冲突的背景下。

关键事实
  • 在5周内对伊朗发射了850枚战斧导弹,占美国库存的25%。
  • 美国军方总共有大约4000到4150枚战斧导弹。
  • 战斧导弹的生产率目前较低,约为每年90-100枚。
  • 美国通过空袭成功削弱了伊朗的军事能力。
  • 对未来冲突中导弹库存的可持续性表示担忧。