The Finnish President believes "Russia will not attack NATO"

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According to a report by Reference News Network on September 1, the German newspaper Welt reported on August 29 that although Finland shares a 1,300-kilometer border with Russia, Finnish President Alexander Stubb is not worried that Russia will start a war.

In an exclusive interview with the German newspaper Bild, Stubb dismissed the war warnings issued by Germany and called for a calm response to the hybrid attacks launched by Moscow.

The German Bundeswehr had warned that Putin could have the capability to strike NATO territory by 2029.

When discussing this topic, Stubb said, “If someone has a crystal ball, that would be great. But I have not seen evidence or facts indicating that he would do so. I do not believe Russia wants to attack NATO, the strongest military alliance in the world.”

Stubb also stated, “First of all, I have access to classified intelligence. Secondly, we have deterrence—and this deterrence is stronger than that of any other military power in the world.”

He said this deterrence is based on conventional armed forces, missiles, and nuclear weapons, “No major power in the world has any reason to test the resolve of this alliance.”

Stubb believes that Russia's current ability to escalate the war is very limited. He said, “The only way Russia can escalate the war is through mobilization. And I believe that mobilization will affect Russia's domestic politics.”

Stubb believes that Europe should still seek engagement with the Kremlin. He said, “I think Europe needs someone to restore dialogue with Russia to understand what is happening there. We must engage in political dialogue.” (Translated by Wang Qiang)

Classification
Region
Europe
Analytical Domain
Strategic
Primary Category
Political-Military
SALUTE Report
Size
Not applicable
Activity
Finnish President Alexander Stubb dismisses concerns about a Russian attack on NATO and calls for calm in response to Moscow's hybrid threats.
Location
Finland
Unit
Finnish Government
Time
September 1, 2023
Equipment
-
Summary

Finnish President Alexander Stubb stated that he does not believe Russia will attack NATO, despite concerns about hybrid threats. He urged for calm and highlighted Finland's strong deterrent capabilities. Stubb also emphasized the need for Europe to engage in dialogue with Russia to understand the situation better.

Key Facts
  • Finnish President Alexander Stubb believes Russia will not attack NATO.
  • Stubb calls for calm in response to hybrid threats from Moscow.
  • He emphasizes Finland's deterrent capabilities and the importance of dialogue with Russia.