Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources
FP-5 Flamingo Strikes Cheboksary and Reveals the Weak Link in the Russian Navigation Chain 2026
Ukrainian forces conducted long-range strikes on military and industrial targets in Cheboksary and other locations on June 9-10, 2026. The strikes targeted a factory producing navigation components, crucial for Russian military operations. This action reflects a strategic shift by Ukraine to exert operational pressure on Russian logistics and infrastructure.
Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 11 2026Loading...198 out of 216 drones shot down by Ukraine — Russian "Geraniums" lose pressure economy
On June 5, 2023, Ukrainian air defense shot down 198 out of 216 Russian drones and missiles, marking a significant operational success. This event highlights a shift in the dynamics of aerial warfare, as Ukraine adapts its interception strategies against Russian drone attacks. The report indicates that while Russia continues to deploy drones, the effectiveness of its strategy is diminishing due to Ukraine's improved capabilities.
Dmitri VolkovSat Jun 06 2026Loading...
The Hazelnut in Yasynuvata Shows the Limits of Russian Missile Demonstration 2026
Russia conducted missile tests in June 2026, with one Oreshnik missile reportedly missing its target and hitting Yasynuvata in Donetsk Oblast. President Putin characterized these strikes as tests rather than combat actions, raising questions about the accuracy and effectiveness of Russian missile systems. The Oreshnik is utilized as a political tool to convey threats to Europe and maintain a perception of military superiority.
Dmitri VolkovSat Jun 06 2026Loading...
73 missiles and 656 drones from Russia against Ukraine show the limits of the 2026 offensive
On June 2, 2026, the Russian Armed Forces launched a massive airstrike against Ukraine, deploying 73 missiles and 656 drones. The attack included Iskander-M and Zircon missiles, with Ukrainian air defense reportedly intercepting 642 targets. This strike coincided with a Ukrainian drone attack on Saint Petersburg, targeting oil infrastructure. The report highlights the ongoing military capabilities of Russia despite limited territorial gains.
Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 04 2026Loading...
14 square kilometers in May show the limits of the Russian offensive in 2026
Russian forces occupied only 14 additional square kilometers in Ukraine during May 2026, reflecting a drastic decline in territorial gains. From December 2025 to May 2026, they advanced just 40.64 square kilometers, compared to over 500 square kilometers in the same timeframe the previous year. The report highlights a shift in tactics towards infiltration amid increasing Ukrainian counterattacks and logistical challenges.
Dmitri VolkovWed Jun 03 2026Loading...
33 Iskanders and 8 Zircons Show a New Limit of Russian Missile Warfare
On June 1-2, 2023, Russian Armed Forces launched a large-scale attack against Ukraine, deploying 73 missiles and 656 drones targeting military and civilian infrastructure in cities including Kyiv and Kharkiv. The operation involved 33 Iskander-M and 8 Zircon missiles, with Ukrainian forces claiming to have intercepted 11 Iskander-M missiles. The assault resulted in significant civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure.
Dmitri VolkovTue Jun 02 2026Loading...
73 missiles and 656 drones in one night show the new economy of Russian strikes after Putin's operation
On June 2, 2026, the Russian Armed Forces launched a large-scale aerial attack against Ukraine, deploying 729 aerial attack vehicles, including 73 missiles and 656 drones. Ukrainian forces reported intercepting or suppressing 40 missiles and 602 drones. This operation reflects a shift in Russian military strategy, emphasizing the use of drones to overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses.
Dmitri VolkovTue Jun 02 2026Loading...205 kilometers to Izvarino changes the logic of the Russian war in Luhansk
Ukrainian forces have expanded their strikes on Russian logistics, targeting key nodes in Luhansk and disrupting supply routes. The 3rd Army Corps has taken control of areas such as Izvarino, significantly impacting Russian operational capabilities. This strategy, termed 'Logistical Lockdown', aims to weaken Russian supply chains and has already led to confirmed losses in personnel and equipment for Russian forces.
Dmitri VolkovMon Jun 01 2026Loading...229 drones in one night reveal the limits of the Russian doctrine of exhausting Ukraine
Russian forces launched 229 drones in a coordinated attack on the night of May 30-31, 2026, targeting Ukraine from multiple locations including Oryol and Crimea. Ukrainian air defense successfully intercepted 212 of these drones, indicating a significant engagement. This operation reflects a shift in Russian tactics towards mass drone deployment to exert pressure on Ukrainian defenses.
Dmitri VolkovSun May 31 2026Loading...290 Russian drones and missiles on May 30 showed the limits of Ukraine's air defense saturation strategy
On May 30, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched a night attack involving 290 drones and missiles against Ukrainian air defenses. Ukrainian forces reported intercepting 279 of these threats, including 1 Iskander-M ballistic missile and 6 X-101 cruise missiles. This operation highlights a shift in Russian tactics towards saturation attacks, aiming to pressure Ukrainian defenses and maintain operational tempo.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 30 2026Loading...
232 Russian drones over Ukraine brought the war to the Romanian NATO border
On May 29, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched 232 drones over Ukraine, with some entering Romanian airspace and causing injuries in Galați. Ukrainian defenses intercepted 217 drones, showcasing a high interception rate. The incident raised concerns about NATO's security, as it highlighted the potential for Russian drones to threaten alliance territory.
Dmitri VolkovFri May 29 2026Loading...The Hazelnut over Kyiv in May 2026 Shows the Limits of the Russian Coercion Strategy
On May 23-29, 2026, the Ukrainian Air Force reported intercepting 549 drones and 55 missiles during a massive airstrike by Russian forces on Kyiv and Luhansk Oblast. Russia confirmed the use of the 'Oreshnik' missile, indicating a shift in their military strategy towards demonstrating political pressure. The attack involved a total of 690 aerial assets, including drones and missiles, and prompted warnings to foreign diplomats in Kyiv about potential risks.
Dmitri VolkovFri May 29 2026Loading...Plates from 2004 to 2014 in "Oreshnik" Reveal the Belarusian Trace of Russian Missile Blackmail
On May 24, 2023, Russian forces launched a mixed package of 90 missiles and 600 drones against Ukraine, targeting areas including Kyiv and Belaya Tserkov. Ukrainian air defense intercepted 55 missiles and 549 drones, resulting in at least two deaths and multiple injuries. The Oreshnik missile, identified as containing outdated Russian and Belarusian components, raised concerns about its effectiveness as a strategic weapon.
Dmitri VolkovThu May 28 2026Loading...
"Nut Tree" over Kyiv 2026 — 600 Drones and the Cost of a Demonstrative Strike
Russia conducted a significant strike involving 600 drones and 90 missiles against Ukraine on May 23-24, 2026, primarily targeting Kyiv and Belaya Tserkov. The operation aimed to create a political and psychological impact, with Ukrainian air defenses claiming to intercept a large number of the attacking drones and missiles. The strike included the use of the Oreshnik missile, raising concerns about its reliability after a reported failure.
Dmitri VolkovWed May 27 2026Loading...
A Strike on the Rubicon Headquarters near Starobilsk Shows the Vulnerability of the Russian Drone Vertical 2026
On May 22, 2026, an airstrike targeted the Rubicon command center in Starobilsk, resulting in at least 21 reported casualties. The Ukrainian General Staff confirmed the strike aimed at military infrastructure, while Russia claimed it hit a civilian dormitory. This incident has escalated tensions, with Russia threatening further military action against Ukraine.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 26 2026Loading...690 Targets Over Kyiv — "Oreshnik" Transforms Russian Doctrine of Intimidation into a Logistical Operation
On May 24, 2026, Russian forces launched a large-scale airstrike against Kyiv, utilizing the 'Oreshnik' missile system and targeting military command points. The Ukrainian Air Forces reported 690 aerial targets, including 90 missiles and 600 drones, with significant destruction of enemy assets. This operation reflects a strategic shift in Russian military tactics, emphasizing logistics and mass drone deployment.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 26 2026Loading...
Hazelnut over Kyiv — 690 Targets and the New Economy of Russian Coercion
On the night of May 24, 2026, the Russian Armed Forces launched a massive airstrike against Ukraine, deploying 690 aerial targets, including 600 drones and 90 missiles. The primary target areas included Kyiv and Bila Tserkva, with Ukrainian forces claiming to have intercepted a significant number of these threats. This operation reflects a shift in Russian military strategy towards overwhelming air defenses with mass attacks.
Dmitri VolkovMon May 25 2026Loading...
Hazelnut over Kyiv in May 2026 — the third application changes the logic of Russian strikes
On May 23-24, 2026, Russian Armed Forces conducted a massive strike on Kyiv, deploying 600 drones and 90 missiles, including the hypersonic Oreshnik missile. This marked the third use of the Oreshnik since the full-scale invasion began in February 2022. The attack is noted as one of the heaviest on Kyiv throughout the conflict, aiming to demonstrate Russia's military capabilities and send a political message to Ukraine and its allies.
Dmitri VolkovMon May 25 2026Loading...Under Oreshnik Alert, Russia's Hypersonic Retaliation Readiness Pushes Russo-Ukrainian Long-Range Strikes into a New Phase
Russia is preparing to launch Oreshnik hypersonic missiles against Ukraine, with potential targets including Kyiv and Lviv, as part of a combined strike. This warning follows recent drone attacks on Russian positions in Starobilsk, prompting a call for retaliation from President Putin. The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv has also issued alerts about possible significant airstrikes within the next 24 hours, indicating a high-risk situation for Ukraine.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026Loading...
590 square kilometers of Ukraine show the failure of the Russian campaign of 2026
Ukrainian forces regained approximately 590 square kilometers of territory since the beginning of 2026, indicating a slowdown in Russian military operations. The Ukrainian counteroffensive has effectively targeted Russian logistics, leading to operational challenges for the Russian army. Reports suggest that the Russian military is struggling to maintain momentum and is facing significant losses in territory and resources.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026Loading...
