Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Tu-95 at Engels Base Shows the Price of Russian Strategic Aviation in 2026

Tu-95 at Engels Base Shows the Price of Russian Strategic Aviation in 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

A Tu-95MS was reportedly destroyed at Engels airbase on July 19, 2026, indicating vulnerabilities in Russian strategic aviation. This incident reflects Ukraine's expanding operational capabilities to target Russian military infrastructure. The loss of the aircraft may lead to increased security measures at Russian airbases, impacting their operational effectiveness.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 19 2026
172 ships in 13 days force Russia to withdraw drone units from the front.

172 ships in 13 days force Russia to withdraw drone units from the front.

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces struck 172 Russian maritime vessels over 13 days, prompting the withdrawal of up to 200 drone units from the front lines to protect logistics. This operation targeted key maritime assets in the Black and Azov Seas, impacting Russian supply chains. Concurrently, Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure in occupied territories further strained Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 19 2026

Noginsk Oil Depot After Drone Attack Shows Limits of Moscow's Air Defense in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

UAV attacks on July 18, 2026, resulted in seven deaths and 25 injuries in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, as drones targeted sensitive infrastructure, including an oil depot in Noginsk. The attacks prompted evacuations and highlighted vulnerabilities in Moscow's air defense system, with 28 drones intercepted before reaching their targets. Ukrainian forces continue to focus on disrupting Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 18 2026
Tu-95 in Engels destroyed 800 kilometers from Ukraine — strategic aviation loses depth

Tu-95 in Engels destroyed 800 kilometers from Ukraine — strategic aviation loses depth

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On July 17, 2023, the Ukrainian Security Service destroyed a Tu-95 bomber in Engels, Russia, approximately 800 kilometers from Ukraine. This incident highlights the ongoing degradation of Russian strategic aviation capabilities, as the Tu-95 is a rare asset that cannot be quickly replaced. The attack signifies Ukraine's effective long-range strike capabilities against Russian military infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 17 2026
20 ships overnight change the Russian war against Odessa ports

20 ships overnight change the Russian war against Odessa ports

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted drone operations on July 15, 2023, targeting 20 vessels in the Black Sea, including oil tankers and a tugboat. This operation is part of a larger campaign against Russian maritime logistics, which has seen intensified strikes on Odessa and surrounding areas. The Ukrainian military aims to disrupt Russian shipping and oil transport, reflecting a shift in the maritime conflict dynamics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 16 2026
136 ships in ten days — Ukrainian sea drones are breaking Russian logistics

136 ships in ten days — Ukrainian sea drones are breaking Russian logistics

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian naval drones targeted 136 Russian vessels between July 6 and 15, 2026, disrupting logistics in the Azov and Black Seas. This operation included attacks on oil tankers and gas carriers, indicating a shift in Ukrainian tactics to undermine Russian supply lines. In response, Russia is contemplating changes to its cargo routes due to the increased frequency of these attacks.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 15 2026
Freyja vs. Iskanders in 2026 Turns Kyiv into a Testing Ground for European Missile Defense

Freyja vs. Iskanders in 2026 Turns Kyiv into a Testing Ground for European Missile Defense

Political-MilitaryWeapons & EquipmentStrategic

In July 2026, Ukraine and nine European nations announced the formation of the Integrated Anti-Ballistic Missile Coalition in Paris, aiming to enhance missile defense capabilities against Russian threats. Following this announcement, Russia launched 134 long-range drones and three guided missiles targeting Ukraine. The coalition seeks to leverage Ukraine's combat experience to develop a more cost-effective missile defense system, addressing the challenges posed by Russian ballistic missile attacks.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jul 14 2026
22 Russian Refineries Under Attack from Ukraine in 2026 Change the War for Fuel

22 Russian Refineries Under Attack from Ukraine in 2026 Change the War for Fuel

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on 22 Russian oil refineries and related infrastructure from January to June 2026, impacting fuel logistics. The strikes targeted facilities in Tver, Stavropol Krai, Ufa, Rostov Oblast, Yaroslavl, Ust-Luga, and Omsk. As a result, fuel shortages have emerged in 78 of 83 Russian regions, complicating military supply chains and operations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 13 2026
14 ships overnight at the Kerch Strait show a new limit of Russian military logistics 2026

14 ships overnight at the Kerch Strait show a new limit of Russian military logistics 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces targeted 14 vessels in the Kerch Strait overnight, including 10 tankers and 4 ferries, disrupting Russian military logistics. This operation reflects a strategic effort to undermine the supply routes critical for Russian operations in the region. The attacks are part of a broader campaign against the Russian shadow fleet, which is essential for transporting oil and fuel.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 13 2026

178 Drones and a Strike on Syzran Show the New Cost of Russian Logistics

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces attacked the Syzran oil refinery and maritime logistics elements on July 11-12, 2026, while Russian air defense intercepted 178 Ukrainian drones. Reports indicate that ten Russian tankers and four ferries were also struck in the Azov Sea, highlighting a significant impact on Russian logistical capabilities. This marks a strategic shift in Ukrainian operations aimed at disrupting fuel and transport systems supporting Russian military efforts.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 12 2026

76 Ships in the Sea of Azov Change Russian Military Logistics of 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces struck 76 vessels, including tankers and the Syzran oil refinery, in the Sea of Azov between July 6-11, 2026. This has significantly impacted Russian military logistics, as evidenced by a sharp decline in active AIS signals and rising fuel prices in Russia. The strikes indicate a shift in operational behavior among Russian transporters, affecting supply routes and military operations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 12 2026
65 percent of gasoline demand shows the price of Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries in 2026

65 percent of gasoline demand shows the price of Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries in 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries in July 2026 have reduced Russian gasoline production to 65% of domestic demand, causing significant fuel shortages. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have targeted 22 refineries, leading to operational disruptions and prompting Russian authorities to impose restrictions on fuel sales. This situation reflects a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach, aiming to systematically impact Russia's war economy.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 11 2026
July 2026 Turns Crimea into a Fuel Island After Strikes on Oil Refineries and Tankers

July 2026 Turns Crimea into a Fuel Island After Strikes on Oil Refineries and Tankers

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces struck nine Russian fuel tankers in the Azov Sea and targeted oil refineries in Saratov and Nizhnekamsk from July 7-8, 2026. These actions disrupted fuel logistics, forcing Russia to rely more on vulnerable maritime transport. The strikes indicate a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach to degrading Russian military supply lines, increasing operational costs for the Russian military in Crimea and the southern theater.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 09 2026

Eight Tankers and 44 Substations Show a New Crisis in Russian Logistics in Crimea 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces targeted Russian logistics in Crimea in July 2026, striking 8 tankers and 44 electrical substations. This campaign has disrupted supply lines and raised concerns about the operational capacity of Russian forces in the region. The strikes indicate a shift in the Ukrainian strategy to target critical infrastructure supporting Russian military operations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 08 2026
Strikes on Bryansk and Belgorod Reveal a New Vulnerability in the Russian Defense Industry in 2026

Strikes on Bryansk and Belgorod Reveal a New Vulnerability in the Russian Defense Industry in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on July 7, 2026, targeting Russian military-industrial facilities in Bryansk and Belgorod, including a chemical plant and a fuel depot. These strikes aimed to disrupt supply chains and production capabilities, impacting the Russian military's operational effectiveness. Additionally, two railway bridges in Crimea were targeted, further complicating logistics for Russian forces. The operation reflects Ukraine's strategy to undermine Russian military infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jul 07 2026
30.42 square kilometers for June show the limit of the Russian offensive 2026

30.42 square kilometers for June show the limit of the Russian offensive 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

Russian forces attempted to advance in the Donetsk region, gaining 30.42 square kilometers in June 2026 but suffering 39,490 casualties. The situation around Konstantinovka shows a 36.98% presence of Russian troops, yet they lack sustainable control. Ukrainian forces successfully targeted Russian logistics, complicating their operational capabilities. The ongoing conflict reflects a significant shift in the dynamics of the war, with increasing costs for territorial gains.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jul 07 2026
200 thousand rubles for the sky over the oil refinery — Gazprom gets involved in Russian air defense 2026

200 thousand rubles for the sky over the oil refinery — Gazprom gets involved in Russian air defense 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Gazprom signed a contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense to establish mobile fire groups for protecting gas infrastructure in July 2026. Participants will receive 200,000 rubles per month during training. Ukrainian forces have reportedly increased successful strikes on Russian infrastructure, prompting a shift in defense strategy that now includes corporate entities. This indicates a significant adaptation in Russia's military logistics and defense approach.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 06 2026
Russia Fires 653 Drones and 51 Missiles as Ukraine Energy War Accelerates

Russia Fires 653 Drones and 51 Missiles as Ukraine Energy War Accelerates

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russia launched 653 drones and 51 missiles in a large-scale attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure on July 5-6, 2023. Ukrainian air defenses intercepted 585 drones and 30 missiles, but significant damage occurred, including to the Fastiv railway station and the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant. In response, Ukraine targeted Russian positions in Crimea, demonstrating an ongoing exchange of strikes between the two nations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 05 2026
Su-30SM and Su-24 Under Attack in Saki — Seven Aircraft in a Week

Su-30SM and Su-24 Under Attack in Saki — Seven Aircraft in a Week

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Ukrainian drones struck the Saki airfield on July 3, 2026, damaging or destroying seven aircraft, including Su-30SM and Su-24. This was the second attack on the airfield within a week, highlighting the strategic importance of Saki for Russian aviation in Crimea. The strikes are part of a broader effort to pressure Russian military logistics and air defense systems.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 03 2026
400,000 tons of imported gasoline reveal the vulnerability of Russian oil defense in 2026

400,000 tons of imported gasoline reveal the vulnerability of Russian oil defense in 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

In July 2026, Russia began importing up to 400,000 tons of gasoline monthly from India and other countries due to domestic shortages, impacting military logistics. Reports indicate fuel shortages at gas stations in Moscow, and Ukrainian forces have conducted numerous strikes on Russian oil infrastructure, exacerbating logistical challenges for the Russian military. This situation reflects a significant shift in the operational capabilities of Russian forces as they struggle with fuel supply issues.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 02 2026