Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Russian "Geranium-4/5" reaches 3,000 per month, while drone debris is already falling in Moldova

Russian "Geranium-4/5" reaches 3,000 per month, while drone debris is already falling in Moldova

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

On August 17, 2026, debris from a Russian Geran drone fell in Moldova, causing an explosion near the village of Talmadge. Russia is producing around 3000 Geran-4 and Geran-5 drones monthly, indicating a significant increase in drone warfare capabilities. The production facility in Tatarstan is strategically located far from Ukraine, allowing for sustained drone operations. This incident underscores the growing impact of the drone war beyond Ukraine's borders.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Aug 18 2026
The Ceasefire Paradox: Putin Declares the War Nearing Its End as Battlefield Intensity Holds Steady

The Ceasefire Paradox: Putin Declares the War Nearing Its End as Battlefield Intensity Holds Steady

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

Russian forces conducted extensive drone and artillery attacks against Ukrainian positions from May 9 to 11, 2026, resulting in 180 combat engagements and significant losses for both sides. President Putin claimed the war was nearing its end, despite ongoing military operations and a recent three-day ceasefire brokered by U.S. President Trump. Notably, drones from Russian territory crashed in Latvia, highlighting the conflict's regional implications.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue May 12 2026
The Ceasefire Paradox: How Moscow's Victory Day Truce Masked an Escalating Cross-Border Drone War

The Ceasefire Paradox: How Moscow's Victory Day Truce Masked an Escalating Cross-Border Drone War

Military OperationsForce MovementWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

Russian forces launched 78 airstrikes and 9,317 kamikaze drones against Ukrainian positions on May 7, 2026. Ukrainian drones struck the Mosfilm Tower in Moscow, while two drones crashed in Latvia, damaging an oil facility. Total Russian military losses reached approximately 1,342,030 personnel. Three ceasefire proposals were made within a week, but combat operations continued unabated.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon May 11 2026
Russia's Spring 2026 Offensive: Force Buildup and Ukraine's Counteroffensive Disruptions

Russia's Spring 2026 Offensive: Force Buildup and Ukraine's Counteroffensive Disruptions

Military OperationsForce MovementWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

Russia is mobilizing over 400,000 additional troops for a Spring-Summer 2026 offensive, while Ukraine's counteroffensive has disrupted these plans. Ukrainian forces regained significant territory in February 2026, forcing Russia to shift to defensive operations. Concurrently, Russia's aerial campaign has intensified, utilizing advanced drone technology to target Ukrainian infrastructure. Belarus is also enhancing its military presence near the Ukrainian border.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Apr 04 2026

Russia's Spring 2026 Offensive: Strategic Redeployments Signal Shift in Eastern Ukraine Campaign

Military OperationsForce MovementWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

Russian forces launched a Spring 2026 offensive in eastern Ukraine on March 19, employing battalion-sized mechanized assaults in the Lyman direction. Despite initial attacks being repelled by Ukrainian forces, Russia is redeploying elite units to bolster its operations. Concurrently, Ukrainian counteroffensives have disrupted Russian plans, leading to significant territorial gains. The air campaign has intensified, with numerous drone strikes targeting Ukrainian infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Mar 24 2026
Ukraine Intensifies Deep Strikes as France Delivers Next-Generation Air Defense

Ukraine Intensifies Deep Strikes as France Delivers Next-Generation Air Defense

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentCommand & ControlHybrid

Ukrainian forces intensified their medium and long-range strike campaign against Russian military infrastructure in March 2026, targeting locations such as Krasnodar Krai and Belgorod City. France committed to supplying Ukraine with SAMP/T NG air defense systems for battlefield testing. Ukrainian operations included strikes on oil facilities and air defense systems, while Russian forces launched a significant number of drones and missiles. The situation indicates a strategic effort by Ukraine to degrade Russian capabilities ahead of anticipated offensives.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Mar 16 2026
Russia's Attrition Strategy Meets Ukrainian Tactical Innovation: Analyzing the Eastern Front, February 2026

Russia's Attrition Strategy Meets Ukrainian Tactical Innovation: Analyzing the Eastern Front, February 2026

Military OperationsForce MovementWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

Russian forces conducted massed infantry assaults across eastern Ukraine from February 21-23, 2026, focusing on multiple tactical areas including Kupyansk and Pokrovsk. Ukrainian forces executed counteroffensive operations, maintaining control of 97% of Kupyansk and utilizing advanced drone technology to strike deep into Russian territory. The operational tempo reflects ongoing attrition warfare, with significant casualties on both sides and challenges in Russian force generation.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Feb 24 2026
B-52 Stratofortress vs Tu-95 Bear vs B-2 Spirit: Cold War Giants and Stealth Revolution

B-52 Stratofortress vs Tu-95 Bear vs B-2 Spirit: Cold War Giants and Stealth Revolution

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentStrategic AssessmentHybrid

The B-52H Stratofortress, Tu-95MS Bear, and B-2 Spirit are actively utilized in military operations as of 2026, with the B-52H serving as a versatile platform for standoff strikes. The Tu-95MS has been employed in Russia's strategic air campaign against Ukraine, launching Kh-101 missiles from a distance. The B-2 Spirit remains the only aircraft capable of penetrating advanced air defenses, underscoring its critical role in nuclear deterrence.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026