Analysis & Reports

Russia is implementing a recruitment strategy to incorporate 46,000 foreign nationals into its military by 2026, aiming to maintain troop levels without general mobilization. This approach allows the Russian Army to replenish its forces while managing demographic challenges. The foreign recruits, coming from various countries, may serve in different capacities, including logistics and support roles, rather than as front-line combatants.

Dmitri VolkovTue Oct 20 2026Loading...

CSTO conducted joint military exercises in Belarus from October 12-16, 2026, involving 1,500 personnel and over 300 units of weapons. The exercises focused on peacekeeping operations and biological threat elimination, with participation from Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. These maneuvers highlight Russia's efforts to maintain leadership within the CSTO while navigating cautious commitments from its allies.

Dmitri VolkovMon Oct 12 2026Loading...

Russia plans to increase its military personnel by 15,000, reaching a total of 1.5 million by 2027, alongside a 27% rise in military budget. The autumn draft will call up approximately 120,000 conscripts. This expansion reflects ongoing military operations and the challenges of maintaining a capable force amid rising costs and personnel shortages.

Dmitri VolkovThu Oct 01 2026Loading...

The Russian Armed Forces are expanding their personnel structure by 15,500 new positions amid ongoing military operations and support from North Korea. This expansion reflects a total increase of 47,860 positions since March 2026, indicating a shift towards a prolonged military mobilization. Reports suggest that North Korea is sending an additional 10,000 soldiers to assist Russia, which is facing significant personnel losses in the ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovWed Sep 30 2026Loading...

On September 28, 2026, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree to increase the military personnel by 15,500, raising the total to 2,441,630. This marks the fourth expansion of military personnel in 2026, reflecting ongoing military needs amid a protracted conflict. The increase is part of a strategy to manage personnel shortages and maintain military readiness, while also indicating a shift in Russia's approach to the war.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 29 2026Loading...

CSTO members Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan conducted military exercises on September 19, 2026, in Koktal, Kazakhstan, to enhance their defensive capabilities against potential threats from Afghanistan. The exercises involved 1500 troops and 115 drones, focusing on countering illegal armed formations. Tajikistan's strategic position, sharing a 1357 km border with Afghanistan, underscores the importance of these maneuvers in regional security.

Dmitri VolkovSun Sep 20 2026Loading...

Russia is denying plans for mobilization while facing high casualty rates that exceed recruitment, particularly after the parliamentary elections in September 2026. The Kremlin aims to maintain a sense of control as the front lines demand more personnel. Poland has increased its air patrols in response to potential drone threats from Russia, indicating heightened military readiness in the region.

Dmitri VolkovSat Sep 19 2026Loading...

Russian drones are utilizing Belarusian LTE networks for command and control during attacks on Ukraine, as reported by Ukrainian officials on September 14, 2026. This development allows for more complex operations and enhances the effectiveness of the Shahed drones. The attacks have targeted the Rivne, Volyn, and Lviv regions, indicating a strategic use of Belarusian infrastructure to support Russian military actions.

Dmitri VolkovWed Sep 16 2026Loading...

The Russian Army is recruiting foreign nationals from approximately 40 countries to address personnel shortages, as reported by Amnesty International. This recruitment process has been linked to human trafficking practices, with around 28,000 foreign nationals currently serving in the military. The methods used include misleading job offers and coercion, leading to significant challenges for the recruits on the battlefield.

Dmitri VolkovFri Sep 11 2026Loading...

Vasily Nebenzya, Russia's permanent representative to the UN, stated on August 20, 2026, that mass mobilization is not currently planned but hinted at potential future actions. This statement comes ahead of the Russian parliamentary elections scheduled for September 18-20, 2026, where mobilization could be announced post-election. Ukrainian President Zelensky indicated that Russia might mobilize several hundred thousand troops by the end of the year, suggesting a strategic approach to manage public perception and political stability during the election period.

Dmitri VolkovFri Aug 21 2026Loading...

Internal Russian documents indicate a planned mobilization of hundreds of thousands of troops after the parliamentary elections on September 20, 2026. Current recruitment efforts are insufficient to cover significant losses, with estimates suggesting over 1.2 million casualties. The Kremlin's strategy appears to involve mobilization as a political tool to demonstrate support for the ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovThu Aug 13 2026Loading...

North Korea is preparing to send 30,000 soldiers to Russia, as reported by Ukrainian intelligence in July 2026. This move indicates a significant shift in Russia's military strategy, reflecting challenges in domestic recruitment and the need for foreign troops. The North Korean contingent is expected to support various military operations in the region, particularly in Voronezh Oblast.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jul 26 2026Loading...

Relay stations in Belarus used for coordinating Russian drone strikes stopped functioning on June 22, 2026, impacting the operational capabilities of the Russian Armed Forces. Ukrainian Air Force reported intercepting 83 out of 90 Russian drones on June 25, indicating ongoing drone operations despite the communication disruption. This situation may alter the routes and tactics of Russian drone attacks, as Belarusian infrastructure played a crucial role in their operations.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 25 2026Loading...

Russian forces launched 78 airstrikes and 9,317 kamikaze drones against Ukrainian positions on May 7, 2026. Ukrainian drones struck the Mosfilm Tower in Moscow, while two drones crashed in Latvia, damaging an oil facility. Total Russian military losses reached approximately 1,342,030 personnel. Three ceasefire proposals were made within a week, but combat operations continued unabated.

Dmitri VolkovMon May 11 2026Loading...

In May 2026, the U.S. announced the withdrawal of 5,000 troops from Germany, marking a significant reduction in its military presence in Europe. This decision, framed as a response to political remarks by German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, has raised concerns among NATO planners about the implications for European security. Concurrently, European nations are increasing their defense spending and capabilities, while Ukraine continues to innovate in its military operations against Russia.

Dmitri VolkovSat May 02 2026Loading...

In May 2026, the U.S. announced the withdrawal of 5,000 troops from Germany, marking a significant reduction in its military presence in Europe. This decision, framed as a response to political remarks by German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, has raised concerns among NATO planners. Concurrently, European nations are increasing their defense spending, with Poland and Romania maintaining U.S. military support against Russian aggression. The evolving security landscape is further complicated by Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian military assets.

Dmitri VolkovSat May 02 2026Loading...

Russian Airborne Forces (VDV) are redeploying elite units to Donetsk Oblast as of April 2026, reflecting a shift in military strategy due to significant personnel losses. The VDV's role has evolved from a strategic reserve to frontline infantry, while military cooperation with Belarus has intensified, including joint exercises and potential permanent basing. Ukrainian forces have regained territory, indicating improved operational capabilities, while Russia plans to target critical infrastructure in Ukraine.

Dmitri VolkovTue Apr 07 2026Loading...

Russian forces conducted intensified mechanized assaults across multiple sectors in March 2026, including company-sized and platoon-sized operations in areas like Novopavlivka and Pokrovsk. Concurrently, diplomatic negotiations have stalled, allowing Russia to maintain operational freedom on the battlefield. Ukrainian forces engaged in counterattacks in contested regions, while NATO adjusted its posture in response to the ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovMon Mar 30 2026Loading...

Russian forces' spring-summer offensive against Ukraine stalled in March 2026, with Ukrainian forces successfully counterattacking and liberating Berezove. Ukrainian long-range strikes have disrupted Russian oil exports significantly. Public criticism from Russian military commentators highlights systemic issues within the Russian military. Additionally, Russia plans to train over 70,000 drone operators to address operational challenges.

Dmitri VolkovSat Mar 28 2026Loading...

Russia is modernizing its armored forces and command architecture, focusing on AI and unmanned systems, while refurbishing existing tanks. The Russian Armed Forces plan to produce over 2,000 advanced main battle tanks by 2036, with significant increases in T-90 production. Concurrently, Russia is enhancing its command capabilities through the Glaz/Groza software and integrating UAVs into military operations. These efforts indicate preparations for extended military confrontation with NATO.

Dmitri VolkovFri Mar 27 2026Loading...