Analysis & Reports

On September 7, 2026, a Philippine Coast Guard aircraft conducting maritime situational awareness near Subi Reef and Mischief Reef was reportedly illuminated by flares fired from Chinese-controlled artificial islands. This incident highlights the escalating tensions in the South China Sea, as the use of flares serves to assert control over the airspace and deter reconnaissance activities.

Li MinghuiFri Sep 11 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army maintained a military presence in the Taiwan Strait, with 6 aircraft and 8 ships detected between September 8 and 9, 2026. Taiwan's defense ministry reported ongoing activities, including 40 instances of aircraft and 92 naval operations in September. This indicates a shift towards a normalized state of pressure on Taiwan, with continuous monitoring and potential for miscalculation in the region.

Li MinghuiThu Sep 10 2026Loading...

On September 2, the People's Liberation Army Air Force conducted a patrol near Huangyan Island using a 教-10 advanced trainer aircraft armed with live missiles, marking its first public deployment in such a role. The aircraft warned intruding Philippine planes, supported by 歼-16 fighters and other naval assets, demonstrating a strategic and cost-effective military operation.

Li MinghuiSat Sep 05 2026Loading...

On September 2, the People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) conducted patrols over Huangyan Island using a 教-10 advanced trainer aircraft armed with live 霹雳-5 missiles. The aircraft warned intruding Philippine planes to vacate the area, marking the first public use of the 教-10 in such operations. This approach is seen as a cost-effective tactic, supported by a range of military assets including 歼-16 fighter jets and naval vessels.

Li MinghuiSat Sep 05 2026Loading...

U.S. officials alleged that COSCO vessels used covert equipment to collect military communications intelligence near target nations' coasts on September 1, 2026. In response, China's embassy denied these allegations, calling them baseless. The report highlights concerns about the integration of commercial shipping into military intelligence operations, suggesting a potential shift in how intelligence is gathered at sea.

Li MinghuiFri Sep 04 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army Navy Aviation conducted night reconnaissance training with the Zhi Ying UAV on August 2 in China. The training focused on identifying weak maritime targets and adapting to challenging conditions. A new operational database is being developed to enhance target recognition capabilities, indicating a shift towards systematic training in complex environments.

Li MinghuiSun Aug 02 2026Loading...

On July 25, 2026, a helicopter's flight path in the Taiwan Strait raised concerns regarding the People's Liberation Army's (PLA) operational capabilities. Taiwan reported the presence of 4 PLA aircraft and 10 naval vessels nearby, indicating ongoing low-intensity military pressure. The PLA is focusing on testing operational paths for low-altitude operations, emphasizing the importance of helicopters for reconnaissance and logistical support in potential landing scenarios.

Li MinghuiSun Jul 26 2026Loading...

Taiwan's radar successfully tracked a Chinese submarine-launched missile shortly after its launch from the South China Sea on July 10. This event marks the first known test of a submarine-launched missile by China since 1982, highlighting advancements in China's nuclear deterrence capabilities. The Taiwanese AN/FPS-115 Pave Paws radar, which can detect missiles up to 5000 km, played a crucial role in this tracking. China also informed several nations about the test, indicating a political dimension to the demonstration of its military capabilities.

Li MinghuiFri Jul 10 2026Loading...

The U.S. military is shifting its reconnaissance focus in the South China Sea towards MQ-9 drones and increased operations from Philippine bases. This change reflects a strategic move to enhance surveillance capabilities while reducing reliance on naval vessels. The number of U.S. freedom of navigation operations has decreased, indicating a shift in approach to monitoring Chinese military activities in the region.

Li MinghuiFri Jun 26 2026Loading...

PLA anti-tank missile units conducted a training exercise in the Gobi Desert in late June 2026, focusing on target acquisition and engagement under challenging conditions. The exercise emphasized the integration of drones and command vehicles for real-time updates, showcasing the unit's adaptation to modern warfare requirements. This training reflects the PLA's ongoing efforts to enhance operational capabilities in complex environments.

Li MinghuiMon Jun 22 2026Loading...

Chinese Coast Guard's Haixun 08 completed a 1025 nautical mile hydrographic survey east of Taiwan from June 11 to 20, 2026. This operation, involving multiple agencies, aims to gather critical underwater data for military applications. Concurrently, PLA Air Force and Navy activities were reported in the region, indicating a coordinated effort to enhance military presence and intelligence capabilities.

Li MinghuiSat Jun 20 2026Loading...

The China Coast Guard conducted a maritime enforcement and survey operation along the East Coast of Taiwan from June 6-10, 2023, covering 1030 nautical miles. This operation involved inspecting 198 vessels and is interpreted as preparation for potential submarine warfare, gathering critical underwater data. The operation's focus on the East Coast highlights its strategic military significance.

Li MinghuiTue Jun 16 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army Navy Aviation conducted several hours of uninterrupted anti-submarine training in the South China Sea on June 14, utilizing 30 KQ-200 aircraft. The training focused on integrating various systems for effective submarine detection and tracking, highlighting the PLA's efforts to enhance its anti-submarine capabilities in response to external submarine activities. The KQ-200, while not as advanced as the P-8A, plays a crucial role in China's maritime defense strategy.

Li MinghuiMon Jun 15 2026Loading...

On June 3, 2026, 18 Chinese military aircraft circled Taiwan, with 14 crossing the median line into Taiwan's northern and southwestern airspace. This activity, which included 8 naval vessels and 6 public ships, indicates a shift in operational pressure rather than a crisis escalation. The increase in public ships suggests a strategy to maintain a presence while applying military pressure.

Li MinghuiThu Jun 04 2026Loading...

The U.S. military is actively discussing strategies to blind over 510 Chinese ISR satellites to disrupt the People's Liberation Army's long-range strike capabilities. This discussion highlights the increasing recognition of the threat posed by China's satellite network, which supports various military operations. The U.S. aims to undermine the effectiveness of these satellites in providing targeting information for Chinese missile systems.

Li MinghuiWed May 27 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army (PLA) conducted high-intensity military operations in early May 2026, including the deployment of the AGI-797 electronic reconnaissance ship in the South China Sea and a hypersonic missile test by a 055-class destroyer near the Philippines. Military pressure around Taiwan increased, with significant aerial and naval activity reported. The PLA is also integrating the Z-20T assault helicopter into its operational training, reflecting a shift towards a more coordinated multi-domain operational capability.

Li MinghuiTue May 12 2026Loading...

China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) showcased a multi-domain deterrence strategy in response to the Balikatan 2026 exercise, involving approximately 17,000 personnel from the Philippines and the U.S. The PLA deployed H-6 bombers and J-16 fighters over Scarborough Shoal, while the Liaoning aircraft carrier operated in the South China Sea. Additionally, a 055 destroyer conducted live-fire exercises near Luzon Island, and an electronic reconnaissance ship monitored the multinational fleet's activities.

Li MinghuiMon May 11 2026Loading...

The AGI-797 reconnaissance vessel, part of the People's Liberation Army Navy, was deployed in the South China Sea on April 28, 2026, to collect intelligence during the Balikatan 2026 joint military exercise. This operation involved intercepting electromagnetic signals from US-Philippine command networks, highlighting China's strategic focus on enhancing its ISR capabilities in the region.

Li MinghuiSun May 10 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army Navy conducted large-scale military exercises in the South China Sea from late April to early May 2026, featuring 14 vessels including the Liaoning aircraft carrier. The exercises included the launch of the YJ-20 hypersonic anti-ship missile by the Type 055 destroyer Zunyi and the deployment of the AGI-797 electronic reconnaissance ship within the Philippines' exclusive economic zone. Additionally, the Z-20T assault helicopter was integrated into the PLA Army's training system, highlighting advancements in air-ground coordination.

Li MinghuiMon May 04 2026Loading...