Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Coordinated Attacks in Mali and Jihadist Resurgence in the Sahel: The Sahel States Alliance Facing the Test of Fire

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On April 25, 2026, coordinated attacks by unidentified armed groups occurred in Mali, including in the capital Bamako. Concurrently, a jihadist ambush in Nigeria's Borno state resulted in at least 17 civilian deaths. The Malian Armed Forces reported the situation as under control, highlighting the ongoing security crisis in the Sahel region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Apr 25 2026

Burkina Faso: The Major Spring 2026 Offensive Marks a Turning Point in the Fight Against Terrorism in the Sahel

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

Burkinabe Armed Forces conducted extensive military operations against terrorist groups in March and April 2026, achieving significant victories including the recapture of Pétégoli and the neutralization of over a hundred terrorists in a single operation. The 28th Rapid Intervention Battalion and Volunteers for the Defense of the Homeland played key roles in these efforts, which disrupted enemy logistics and secured strategic locations across the country. This campaign marks a pivotal shift in Burkina Faso's counter-terrorism strategy, emphasizing national capabilities over foreign assistance.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSun Apr 19 2026

The Alliance of Sahel States in the Face of Jihadist Escalation: Between Security Collapse and Regional Fracture

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

In February 2026, Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) launched a large-scale coordinated attack across Burkina Faso, resulting in significant casualties, including 80 soldiers in Titao. The Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP) attacked the international airport in Niamey, demonstrating vulnerabilities in key security infrastructure. The ongoing crisis has led to a blockade of fuel supplies to Bamako, severely impacting the economy and security perception in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon Mar 30 2026
The Sahelian Fracture: Between the ECOWAS Anti-Terrorism Force and the American Deployment in Nigeria

The Sahelian Fracture: Between the ECOWAS Anti-Terrorism Force and the American Deployment in Nigeria

Political-MilitaryMilitary OperationsForce MovementStrategic

In February 2026, ECOWAS approved the formation of a new counter-terrorism force comprising 1,650 troops from six West African nations. Concurrently, U.S. troops were deployed in Nigeria to assist in counter-terrorism efforts, marking a significant shift in regional security dynamics. The report emphasizes the challenges faced by ECOWAS in mobilizing resources and the implications of U.S. involvement in the region's security landscape.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Mar 26 2026

The Alliance of Sahel States in the Face of the Intensification of the Terrorist Threat: Between Territorial Reconquests and Structural Fragilities

Military OperationsForce MovementWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

Burkinabè and Malian forces conducted successful military operations against terrorist groups in February and March 2026, regaining control of key towns and neutralizing over 100 militants. The operations included airstrikes and ground assaults, reflecting a coordinated effort by the Alliance of Sahel States. However, the JNIM continues to pose a significant threat, having conducted over 500 attacks in 2025 and controlling substantial territory in Burkina Faso. The situation remains precarious as terrorist groups adapt and maintain operational capabilities.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Mar 14 2026

ECOWAS Activates Its Standby Force: 2,000 Soldiers Facing the Sahelian Terrorist Threat

Military OperationsPolitical-MilitaryOperational

ECOWAS activated its Standby Force, deploying 2,000 soldiers to combat armed groups in West Africa by the end of 2026. This decision was made during a meeting in Freetown, Sierra Leone, in response to a significant rise in terrorism-related deaths in the region. The activation represents a shift in military focus from political rebels to ideological groups, highlighting the urgent security crisis in West Africa.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue Mar 03 2026

ECOWAS mobilizes 2000 soldiers against jihadist expansion: a delayed and fragmented response in the Sahel

Political-MilitaryMilitary OperationsForce MovementStrategic

ECOWAS announced the deployment of 2000 soldiers by the end of 2026 to combat jihadist expansion in the Sahel. This decision follows a significant increase in violence from groups affiliated with Al-Qaeda and ISIS, which has resulted in thousands of deaths. The ECOWAS Standby Force will face challenges due to a fractured relationship with the Alliance of Sahel States, which has formed its own defense coalition. The situation remains complex, with ongoing security threats and operational difficulties.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue Mar 03 2026
The Sahel Facing a Security Escalation: The Rivalry Between ECOWAS and the Sahel States Alliance Redefines the Regional Counterterrorism Landscape

The Sahel Facing a Security Escalation: The Rivalry Between ECOWAS and the Sahel States Alliance Redefines the Regional Counterterrorism Landscape

Military OperationsPolitical-MilitaryOperational

In 2026, ECOWAS announced plans to deploy 2,000 soldiers to combat terrorism in West Africa, while the Sahel States Alliance operates a joint military force of 5,000. The region faces unprecedented terrorist threats, with over half of global terrorism-related deaths occurring in West Africa. Tensions between ECOWAS and the Sahel States Alliance are rising, complicating regional security efforts.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon Mar 02 2026
Burkina Faso: The Forgotten Epicenter of the Sahel Crisis

Burkina Faso: The Forgotten Epicenter of the Sahel Crisis

Casualties & LossesMilitary OperationsOperational

JNIM attacked Burkinabè military forces in Tandjari, killing at least 50 soldiers. In retaliation, Burkinabè forces eliminated 29 presumed fighters. The situation in Burkina Faso is dire, with the country being the most affected by terrorism globally, and the regime's repression of dissent exacerbating the crisis.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisWed Feb 25 2026
The Sahel now accounts for half of global terrorist deaths: The UN calls for urgent coordinated action

The Sahel now accounts for half of global terrorist deaths: The UN calls for urgent coordinated action

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

The Sahel region has become the epicenter of global terrorism, with over half of the world's terrorism-related deaths occurring there. Between January and November 2025, 450 attacks resulted in more than 1,900 fatalities, primarily attributed to groups like JNIM and ISWAP. These groups have expanded their operations into coastal states, threatening regional stability and exacerbating a humanitarian crisis that requires urgent funding and coordinated action.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon Feb 23 2026

Cross Kauwa in flames — 8 Nigerian soldiers killed in the largest ISWAP offensive since Lake Chad

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

ISWAP launched a coordinated attack on the military base in Cross Kauwa, Nigeria, on February 17, 2023, killing eight soldiers and wounding 23 others. The assault involved approximately 70 fighters and resulted in the destruction of eleven armored vehicles. This operation marks a significant escalation in ISWAP's activities in the region, highlighting their strategic intent to undermine Nigerian military positions.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Feb 19 2026