Analysis & Reports

On September 18, 2026, Ukraine launched a significant drone barrage toward Moscow, involving 350 drones, while Russia continued its military operations against Ukraine. The Shahed-136 drones are being used to test NATO's air defenses, creating ambiguity and challenging the alliance's response protocols. This situation highlights the evolving nature of drone warfare and its implications for regional security.

Alexandra ReevesFri Sep 18 2026Loading...

Russia is training over 8,000 specialists for its Unmanned Systems Forces as of July 2026, focusing on building institutional systems to capture and generalize battlefield experiences. NATO is advised to shift its focus from mere adaptation of Russian military capabilities to their reproducibility, which is essential for understanding the evolving threat. The report emphasizes the importance of assessing how quickly Russia can regenerate military capabilities after losses.

Ukrainian drones attacked Moscow on September 18, 2026, coinciding with the start of parliamentary elections, with over 350 drones involved. The attack included strikes on a refinery in Yaroslavl and a military airfield in Rostov. Ukrainian forces aim to increase the political cost of the ongoing war for Russia, while the Russian military adapts its defenses and missile capabilities in response to these drone threats.

Dmitri VolkovFri Sep 18 2026Loading...

On September 18, 2026, Russian air defense intercepted 629 Ukrainian drones over Southern Russia. Concurrently, Ukrainian strikes led to the disruption of operations at the Syzran and Saratov oil refineries. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported the destruction of Ukrainian radar and electronic warfare systems, highlighting the ongoing military engagement and the shift towards a war of attrition targeting economic infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovFri Sep 18 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces reportedly struck a Russian airbase in Rostov Oblast on September 17, 2026, damaging six aircraft. This attack is considered one of the most significant against Russian aviation infrastructure in the past year. While Russian officials confirmed the activation of air defense systems, they did not disclose the extent of the damage, indicating a successful strike by Ukrainian forces.

S.WThu Sep 17 2026Loading...

The Russian Navy is developing the Lada-class submarines to replace the older Kilo-class, with plans to commission a total of nine vessels. The lead ship, Sankt Peterburg, faced significant design flaws and was decommissioned in 2024. The second and third submarines, Kronshtadt and Velikiye Luke, were commissioned in 2024 and 2025, respectively, featuring advanced stealth and combat capabilities.

Ukrainian forces struck a Russian military airfield in Rostov-on-Don overnight into Sept. 17, destroying one An-12, two An-26 transport aircraft, and three helicopters. The operation, conducted by the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and military intelligence, also targeted an oil refinery in Yaroslavl. A fire was reported at the airfield, but no casualties occurred.

The Royal Navy's Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carriers, which include the HMS Queen Elizabeth, can only operate F-35B stealth fighters due to design constraints. The carriers left Portsmouth on September 5, 2024, for three months of operations and training across Northern Europe and Britain. This limitation stems from a previous decision to abandon plans for F-35C compatibility, which would have required significant modifications to the carriers.

Russian drones are utilizing Belarusian LTE networks for command and control during attacks on Ukraine, as reported by Ukrainian officials on September 14, 2026. This development allows for more complex operations and enhances the effectiveness of the Shahed drones. The attacks have targeted the Rivne, Volyn, and Lviv regions, indicating a strategic use of Belarusian infrastructure to support Russian military actions.

Dmitri VolkovWed Sep 16 2026Loading...

The Russian Ministry of Education announced an increase in military training hours for students in grades 8 to 11, effective September 2023. The training will now constitute 50% of the curriculum, up from 20%, and will cover first aid and evacuation procedures. This initiative is part of a course on 'National Security and Defense Basics' and is aimed at preparing students for potential military involvement.

A Russian drone struck a passenger train near the Poland-Ukraine border on the 13th, potentially targeting a diplomatic train carrying former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson and other European leaders. The attack occurred shortly after the train departed, prompting emergency evacuations of passengers, including former CIA Director David Petraeus. Officials from Poland and Ukraine condemned the strike as an escalation of Russian aggression.

The Admiral Nakhimov battlecruiser of the Russian Navy, equipped with 176 vertical launch cells and advanced weaponry, is undergoing a significant refurbishment after 25 years and $5 billion in investment. In contrast, the proposed Trump-Class battleship of the U.S. Navy, which would feature 128 Mk 41 cells and advanced systems, has not yet been funded or constructed. This comparison underscores the ongoing naval arms race between the U.S. and Russia, reminiscent of Cold War dynamics.

Ukraine proposed to pause attacks on Russian critical infrastructure if Russia ceases its strikes on Ukrainian energy systems. This offer aims to mitigate civilian suffering as winter approaches, while maintaining military options. The proposal raises questions about Russia's strategic objectives and the complexities of verifying any potential agreement.

Alexandra ReevesTue Sep 15 2026Loading...

Russia increased its drone operations by launching 102 Shahed drones overnight on September 14, 2026, while Ukraine is developing faster interceptors to counter this threat. The introduction of jet variants of the Shahed drones alters the dynamics of the air war, as they can evade detection and engage Ukrainian defenses more effectively. Ukraine continues to target Russian military infrastructure, including radar systems.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 15 2026Loading...

The Russian Navy completed the modernization of the nuclear battlecruiser Admiral Nakhimov in 2025 after 26 years in dock. The refurbishment cost around $5 billion, enhancing its capabilities with new weapon systems, including up to 80 anti-ship missiles. The ship is now equipped with advanced radar and communication systems, allowing it to operate effectively in modern naval warfare. Following its trials, Admiral Nakhimov is set to rejoin the Northern Fleet.

On September 14, 2026, a Russian drone struck a passenger train locomotive near Yahodyn, Ukraine, close to the Polish border. The attack occurred shortly after a diplomatic train crossed into Poland, prompting evacuation of passengers due to ongoing threats. This incident highlights the ongoing Russian campaign against Ukrainian transport infrastructure and raises concerns about potential escalation into Polish territory.

S.WMon Sep 14 2026Loading...

A Russian Navy corvette at the Leningrad Naval Base was painted to resemble a waterfront building and fitted with anti-drone netting on August 22, 2026. This modification follows recent Ukrainian drone strikes targeting Russian naval vessels, aiming to confuse drone operators. The ship is part of the Baltic Fleet, which has seen similar adaptations to enhance its defenses against aerial threats.

In 1986, an SR-71 Blackbird piloted by Ed Yeilding conducted a reconnaissance mission over the Barents Sea when it was approached by a Soviet MiG-31 fighter. The Blackbird, flying at 75,000 feet, spotted the MiG-31, which attempted to intercept but could not reach the high-flying aircraft. The encounter highlighted the SR-71's capabilities in evading enemy interceptors during Cold War operations.

Russia launched a massive barrage of 863 Geran-2 attack drones at western Ukraine early Sunday, with some drones reaching the Polish border. Ukrainian air defenses managed to shoot down or jam 409 of the drones. A drone strike hit a passenger train locomotive in the Volyn region, while separate strikes in Odesa resulted in injuries. The operation was conducted under heavy cloud cover, complicating Ukrainian air defense efforts.

Ukrainian drones struck two Russian oil refineries in Slavyansk-na-Kubani and Nizhnekamsk on September 13, 2026, testing the capabilities of Russian air defenses. The attacks, occurring 1,200 kilometers from Ukraine, signify a strategic escalation in the conflict, targeting critical logistical infrastructure. Russian officials confirmed air defense activity but did not reveal the damage extent, highlighting vulnerabilities in the defense of industrial sites.

Dmitri VolkovSun Sep 13 2026Loading...