Analysis & Reports

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) conducted missile strikes on July 12 against U.S. military facilities, including the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and a logistics center at Dukum Port in Oman. The strikes destroyed key infrastructure, including command centers and maintenance facilities. Additionally, an airbase in Jordan was targeted, impacting its command control center and drone hangar.

Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Aerospace Force launched a large-scale attack on a U.S. military logistics center and aircraft carrier fuel supply platform in Duqm, Oman, on July 12. This action is part of Iran's ongoing response to U.S. military operations.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) attacked a U.S. military airbase in Jordan on July 12, targeting key military infrastructure. The strike involved multiple missiles that destroyed the command control center and an MQ-9 drone hangar.

Iran launched a series of strikes against U.S. targets in the Middle East on July 12. The operation was reported by Iranian media, indicating active military engagement by the Iranian Armed Forces.

The U.S. military successfully struck Iranian military targets on July 11 at 19:15 EDT. The operation targeted air surveillance radars, missile and drone storage facilities, launch sites, maritime surveillance radars, and surface-to-air missile systems. This marked the third strike by U.S. forces against Iran within the week.

The U.S. military launched a third round of airstrikes against Iran on July 11 at 19:15 EDT. This action was in response to an Iranian attack on a Cypriot-flagged container ship in the Strait of Hormuz, which resulted in one missing crew member. U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper stated that Iran made a poor choice and is now paying the price.

A U.S. military delegation arrived in Lebanon to discuss the withdrawal of Israeli forces from designated security zones in southern Lebanon. The talks aim to establish mechanisms for the withdrawal, with the first pilot area set to be initiated shortly. Lebanon has stated it will not engage in further negotiations until the Israeli withdrawal is completed, following a recent tripartite agreement involving the U.S. and Israel.

The U.S. requested Iran to publicly commit to keeping the Strait of Hormuz open while 10 F-22 aircraft departed from Israel to the United Kingdom on July 11, 2026. This request aims to deter Iranian attacks on vessels in the strategic waterway, which is vital for global oil supplies. The situation reflects ongoing military and diplomatic tensions in the region, particularly following recent Iranian actions against shipping.

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An explosion occurred in Pakdasht, Tehran Province on July 11, caused by the Iranian Armed Forces destroying unexploded ordnance and ammunition. The operation was planned and supervised, ensuring no threat to civilian safety.

Kuwait is purchasing eight missile boats equipped with the Multi Ammunition Softkill System (MASS) from Rheinmetall, with delivery scheduled from mid-2026 to mid-2029. This contract, valued in the low tens of millions of euros, aims to enhance the defensive capabilities of the Kuwait Naval Forces against modern threats. The procurement indicates a strategic shift towards improving maritime security in the Gulf region.

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The U.S. military conducted an airstrike on Shajareh Tayebeh School in Minab, Iran, on February 28, 2025, resulting in nearly 200 casualties, including 168 children and 14 teachers. The attack was based on outdated intelligence, which had not been properly verified, leading to significant civilian loss. This incident marked one of the most severe civilian casualties in recent U.S. military operations against Iran.

President Trump announced that 1000 missiles are currently targeted at Iran, with additional thousands ready to launch if Iran attempts to assassinate him. The U.S. military is prepared to destroy Iran within a year if provoked, following the command issued on July 10, 2023.

Capt. Nathanial Welch of the 480th Expeditionary Fighter Squadron was awarded the Distinguished Flying Cross for his valor during a combat mission against Houthi militants in Yemen on April 29, 2025. He successfully evaded enemy missiles while protecting coalition aircraft during a joint American and British operation. The squadron was deployed from Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia as part of a wider U.S. effort targeting Houthi command and attack sites.

Capt. Nathanial Welch of the 480th Expeditionary Fighter Squadron was awarded the Distinguished Flying Cross for his valor during a mission in Yemen on April 29, 2025. He flew an F-16 into heavily defended airspace, evading missiles while protecting coalition aircraft. This operation was part of a joint U.S. and British effort against Houthi forces.

Israel has ordered its military to suspend sensitive operations in southern Lebanon at the request of the United States. This directive will remain in effect until further notice, influenced by developments in U.S.-Iran relations and negotiations with Lebanon. The Israeli military is expected to withdraw from two areas in its security zone next week, as part of a framework agreement reached in Washington in late June. Negotiations between Israel and Lebanon are scheduled to resume in Rome next week.

U.S. President Trump announced that the U.S. has agreed to continue negotiations with Iran, but the ceasefire has ended. Qatari representatives have traveled to Iran to mediate discussions. The U.S. military has conducted strikes against Iran in response to recent attacks, while Iran has retaliated with missile and drone strikes on U.S. facilities in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Jordan.

U.S. President Trump pledged to allow Ukraine to manufacture its own Patriot missile interceptors during discussions at a NATO summit in Turkey. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that this move is crucial for enhancing Ukraine's air defense capabilities against Russian missile attacks. However, the production of these interceptors is expected to take years and require significant investment. In parallel, Ukraine is developing its own missile defense system, FREYA, to bolster its defenses.

Twelve European allies at the NATO Summit in Ankara committed $50 billion to accelerate existing deep strike projects. This funding aims to enhance military capabilities among the participating nations.

IAEA Director General Grossi declared that any attack on nuclear power plants is unacceptable during a press conference in Kaliningrad on July 10. He emphasized the importance of the physical integrity of nuclear facilities and called for maximum restraint from all parties. Reports indicate that U.S. forces conducted attacks in southern Iran, including near the Bushehr nuclear power plant.

The Trump administration has decided against allowing Israel to intervene in U.S. military actions against Iran, citing concerns over losing control of the situation. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is keen to participate but is currently restricted. Israel has indicated its readiness to engage in further military actions against Iran, while the U.S. has recently conducted strikes in response to Iranian attacks on commercial shipping.