Analysis & Reports

China is ramping up production of the Chengdu J-20 Mighty Dragon stealth fighter, aiming for 1,000 units by 2030 with an annual output of 120 airframes. The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) is significantly increasing its fifth-generation fighter fleet, which is expected to surpass that of the U.S. Air Force. However, challenges remain with the reliability of Chinese jet engines compared to their U.S. counterparts.

The New Zealand Defence Force signed a contract with SYOS for a package of autonomous uncrewed systems, enhancing its operational capabilities across land, sea, and air. This agreement includes multiple platforms such as SM300 boats and SA2 mini-copters, along with training and support services. The initiative aims to strengthen New Zealand's defense technology and reduce supply chain risks.

The People's Liberation Army showcases various military equipment named after horses, including the 726A hovercraft, JM8 all-terrain vehicle, and Tianma-1000 drone. These systems enhance China's amphibious and logistical capabilities, with the 726A capable of transporting heavy military vehicles and the Tianma-1000 designed for rapid deployment in diverse environments. The JM8 vehicle supports multiple military operations, including patrol and battlefield assistance.

The People's Liberation Army Navy successfully launched the YJ-20 hypersonic anti-ship missile from the Type 055 destroyer Wuxi in late February 2026. This marks the first public test of the missile from a naval platform, demonstrating significant advancements in China's naval capabilities. The YJ-20 is designed to engage high-value maritime targets at ranges of 500-800 kilometers, enhancing China's anti-access/area denial capabilities in the region.

Li MinghuiThu Feb 26 2026Loading...

Zhu Guangya, a prominent figure in China's nuclear weapons development, wrote a public letter in 1949 urging Chinese students abroad to return to contribute to the nation's progress. This letter resonated widely among Chinese students and marked a significant moment in China's nuclear history. Zhu, who dedicated his life to nuclear research, passed away 15 years ago.

The Shenyang J-35 stealth fighter is reported to have critical engine issues, limiting its combat endurance to just 7 minutes at a 900 km radius. This aircraft, operating from the Fujian aircraft carrier, is still reliant on the older WS-21 engine instead of the expected WS-19. Despite a $40 billion investment in engine development, China remains significantly behind the U.S. in military aviation technology, raising concerns about the J-35's effectiveness against competitors like the F-35.

The Australian Department of Defence formalized a three-year agreement with DroneShield to enhance counter-drone capabilities. This initiative aims to bolster Australia's defense against drone threats, reflecting a commitment to improving military technology and readiness.

China has imposed export controls on 20 Japanese entities, including Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, due to their involvement in enhancing Japan's military capabilities. This move reflects Japan's ongoing efforts to develop offensive weapons and amend its pacifist constitution. The Japanese government is also expanding defense equipment exports, indicating a shift towards a more militarized stance in response to regional security concerns.

The M60A3 Patton tank remains operational in 2026, having undergone significant modernization to enhance its combat capabilities. It serves in various military forces, including those of Egypt, Turkey, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and Taiwan. The tank's upgrades, such as the laser rangefinder and Tank Thermal Sight, have ensured its relevance on the battlefield.

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party approved a proposal to relax restrictions on lethal weapon exports, allowing for the export of military equipment, including fighter jets and destroyers. The Japanese Self-Defense Forces plan to deploy missile units on Yonaguni Island by 2030, aimed at enhancing defense capabilities near Taiwan. This move has raised concerns in China, which warns against Japan's militarization efforts.

China filed an application for 203,000 satellites, while SpaceX proposed a million-satellite network, leading to significant strain on the space supply chain. The US Defense Department is increasing its demand for satellites, which may impact its initiatives. Industry experts warn that companies might prioritize commercial contracts over military ones due to economic factors.

North Korea is set to deploy 50 new 600mm nuclear-capable launchers by February 2026, indicating a shift towards a tactical nuclear warfighting posture. The regime faces significant command-and-control challenges regarding the effective use of its nuclear arsenal, particularly in delegating authority to frontline commanders. This development raises concerns about the potential for unintended nuclear use amid the complexities of warfare.

SYOS Aerospace has developed advanced autonomous uncrewed systems for military and civil applications, producing over 140 uncrewed surface vessels in the past year. The company maintains an operational presence in Ukraine and has recently upgraded the SA1 Interceptor for improved performance. SYOS emphasizes a focus on Minimum Viable Capability to ensure affordability and scalability in its systems.

China unveiled the 'White Emperor' fighter mock-up at the 2024 Zhuhai Air Show, claiming advanced capabilities including hypersonic speed and stealth features. However, analysts express skepticism about its feasibility, labeling it as propaganda. The mock-up has reportedly gone missing since its unveiling, raising further doubts about its operational status.

The naval landing ship brigade of the Eastern Theater Command conducted naval combat training exercises in the East China Sea, focusing on live-fire drills against simulated enemy threats. The exercises included responses to aerial and maritime attacks, successfully executing main gun firing and landing operations to enhance combat readiness.

Sweden's Defense Minister expressed openness to joining the joint development of next-generation fighter jets with Japan and the UK. A decision on whether to collaborate or develop independently will be made by March 2027. The project aims for deployment by 2035, although Sweden had previously withdrawn due to concerns about its air force's needs. Germany is also exploring options for collaboration in military aircraft development.

On February 18, 2026, the U.S. and Japan reaffirmed their military alliance during the Expanded Deterrence Dialogue in Washington D.C., committing to strengthen defense capabilities against regional threats. In response, China imposed export restrictions on 20 Japanese companies involved in military enhancement, aiming to curb Japan's rearmament efforts. This development highlights escalating military tensions in East Asia, with both nations adjusting their defense strategies.

Tanaka TakashiWed Feb 25 2026Loading...

The United States and its allies are exploring co-production of drones and unmanned systems in the Indo-Pacific to counter China's technological advancements and influence. This includes Taiwan's efforts to enhance its defensive capabilities. The situation is evolving as China continues to invest in drone technology and expand its economic power in the region.

The United States reinforced its security posture in the Indo-Pacific through high-level engagements with the Philippines and India from February 16-19, 2026. The U.S. and Philippines reaffirmed their mutual defense commitments, while Admiral Paparo engaged with the Indian Army to discuss operational readiness and military cooperation. The U.S. is also investing significantly in Philippine defense capabilities and infrastructure.

Marcus ChenTue Feb 24 2026Loading...

A new Type 09V nuclear-powered attack submarine has been identified at Bohai Shipyard in Huludao, China, and is expected to launch within the coming year. This submarine is part of China's broader effort to enhance its naval capabilities, with an estimated production rate of three new submarines annually. The Type 09V features advanced design elements and may be armed with the YJ-19 hypersonic missile, further boosting its operational capabilities.