Analysis & Reports

China and Russia concluded joint naval exercises in the Sea of Japan on November 11, 2026, involving surface ships, submarines, and aircraft. The drills focused on enhancing operational capabilities against drone threats and included real combat scenarios. This exercise marked a significant step in military cooperation between the two nations, showcasing their strategic trust and coordination.

RIMPAC 2026 involves 30 nations conducting naval exercises in Hawaii, featuring over 30 surface ships, five submarines, and 206 aircraft. Live fire events included torpedo launches by HMCS Ottawa and missile launches by JS Kongo. Concurrently, China and Russia began their Joint Sea 2026 exercise, highlighting regional military tensions. The report emphasizes logistical challenges for sustaining operations in a potential conflict.

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Japan is loosening its arms export restrictions, allowing the Type 10 main battle tank to potentially be sold abroad for the first time. The Type 10, designed for Japan's infrastructure, weighs approximately 44 tons and features advanced networking capabilities and a 120mm autoloaded gun. With a total inventory of around 130 tanks, the Japan Ground Self-Defense Force has kept this advanced design largely hidden from global awareness due to strict export laws.

In 2026, the top five tanks not made in the USA were ranked, including the Leclerc XLR from France, Challenger 3 from the UK, Merkava Mk 4 Barak from Israel, K2 Black Panther from South Korea, and Leopard 2A8 from Germany. Each tank was evaluated based on firepower, protection, mobility, and other factors, showcasing their unique advantages over the American M1 Abrams. The report emphasizes the importance of survivability, availability, and integration in modern tank design.

In Spring 2026, the U.S. Navy faced multiple fire incidents aboard its warships, including the USS Gerald R. Ford, which resulted in nearly 200 sailors being treated for smoke inhalation. The fires occurred during maintenance periods, highlighting ongoing vulnerabilities in fire safety protocols. A Government Accountability Office report indicated over $4 billion in fire damage from 2008 to 2022, emphasizing the Navy's failure to institutionalize lessons learned from past incidents.

China conducted a submarine-launched ballistic missile test from the South China Sea on July 6, 2026, reaching the South Pacific. The missile, likely a JL-2 or JL-3, demonstrated a range of 7,300 kilometers, signaling an advancement in China's sea-based nuclear capabilities. The launch coincided with significant military activities in the region, including a China-Russia naval exercise and U.S.-led RIMPAC operations, raising concerns about regional stability and deterrence.

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USS Tucson (SSN 770) relocated to Naval Base Guam from Pearl Harbor on July 10, 2023, as part of the U.S. Navy's Strategic Laydown Plan. This move positions the submarine closer to contested waters in the South China Sea, enhancing U.S. military readiness in the region. Tucson joins three other fast-attack submarines already stationed in Guam, contributing to the U.S. deterrence strategy against a growing Chinese fleet.

Two Chinese naval aviators were killed during frontline training on July 10. The incident, which has not disclosed specific aircraft details, highlights challenges in pilot training and operational readiness within the People's Liberation Army Navy. The J-15 fighter jet remains the primary aircraft for carrier operations, and the report indicates a shift towards more complex training scenarios.

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A Naval Aviation Unit in China conducted ground-based full-process takeoff and landing training for J-15 fighter jets. The exercise focused on improving the coordination and psychological readiness of personnel involved in the operation. The training emphasized the importance of precise movements and teamwork to ensure successful aircraft operations.

Japan Ground Self-Defense Force deployed the Type 25 anti-ship guided missile and introduced the Type 25 high-speed gliding missile into operational units, enhancing its strike capabilities to approximately 1000 km. This deployment, reported in July 2023, signifies a transition from policy to actual military capability, with implications for Japan's defense strategy in the East China Sea. The Kengun and Fuji Garrisons are key locations for these developments.

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The People's Liberation Army Navy has significantly increased its naval patrols and military exercises in the South China Sea from June to July 2026, particularly around Huangyan Island and the Nansha Islands. This increase follows extensive military reforms that have enhanced the navy's capabilities, including the establishment of new facilities and equipment on various islands. China continues to assert its sovereignty over these waters amid ongoing joint military exercises with other nations.

Two pilots from the Southern Theater Command Naval Aviation died during high-intensity flight training near the South China Sea on June 10, 2026. One was a tactical commander, and the other was a first-class pilot who had requested frontline duty. The incident highlights the challenges faced by naval aviators in complex training environments.

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On July 9, the Japan Air Self-Defense Force and U.S. Air Force conducted tactical training with four aircraft, including F-22s, in the East China Sea near Okinawa. This exercise is part of a strategic military posture amid concurrent naval exercises by China and Russia in the Yellow Sea, highlighting regional security concerns.

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China successfully launched the Long March 10B rocket on July 10, 2026, and recovered its booster using a novel net system at sea, marking a historic first. The booster was caught by four hooks on a ship named Linghangzhe, demonstrating a significant advancement in rocket recovery technology. This achievement allows China to potentially reuse the booster before the end of 2026, enhancing its capabilities in space and military applications.

China and Russia concluded joint naval exercises in the Yellow Sea on July 11, 2026, focusing on rescue operations, anti-surface attacks, and air defense. The drills aimed to enhance operational capabilities and mutual trust, featuring a mix of surface ships, submarines, and aircraft. This exercise is part of a series that has been ongoing since 2012, showcasing the growing military collaboration between the two nations.

The U.S. Navy's Sea Hunter unmanned surface vessel departed Pearl Harbor on July 7, 2026, to participate in RIMPAC 2026, which involves 30 nations and extensive naval operations. The exercise aims to test the integration of unmanned vessels in maritime operations while Chinese and Russian naval forces conduct their own exercises nearby. The Sea Hunter is designed to enhance surveillance and tracking capabilities without adding more manned ships to the fleet.

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The Chinese Navy's 055-class destroyer Anshan participated in a joint naval exercise with the Russian Navy's Slava-class cruiser Varyag as part of the 'Maritime Joint-2026' drills. The event highlighted the collaboration between the two nations' naval forces.

U.S. planners are addressing the limitations of current tanker aircraft, particularly the KC-390, in meeting the refueling needs of military operations in the Pacific by 2026. The report emphasizes the logistical challenges posed by geography and the vulnerability of concentrated tanker bases, particularly in relation to Guam. It suggests that while the KC-390 may offer some operational advantages, a comprehensive refueling architecture is necessary to ensure effective air operations under missile threats.

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The Australian Army utilized the Vector AI drone for reconnaissance and target identification during Exercise Southern Jackaroo in Townsville, Queensland. This drone, developed by Quantum Systems, has been tested in combat conditions and enhances military capabilities by allowing for deep reconnaissance without exposing soldiers to direct fire. Its AI-enhanced features enable real-time terrain mapping and object tracking, significantly improving operational efficiency.

On July 11, the Chinese Navy and Russian Navy concluded the 'Maritime Joint-2026' naval exercise near Qingdao, showcasing their submarines together for the first time. After the exercise, both navies proceeded to conduct a joint maritime patrol in the Pacific Ocean.