Analysis & Reports

The 4th Assault Amphibian Battalion of the United States Marine Corps completed its final field exercise with amphibious assault vehicles (AAVs) in Romania last month. These vehicles, affectionately known as 'tracks,' are set to be permanently retired and transferred to foreign partners. Following this exercise, the Marine Corps will no longer utilize AAVs for deployments or training, having transitioned to a new amphibious combat vehicle.

Germany is developing a high-energy laser weapon system for its navy, set to be operational by 2029, to counter threats from drones and maritime targets. This initiative, a collaboration between MBDA Germany and Rheinmetall, involves extensive testing and raises concerns about national sovereignty versus European defense integration. The project aims to enhance Germany's military capabilities amid evolving threats.

Dr. Klaus WeberFri Jul 10 2026Loading...

ISSP launched attacks on military positions in In-Ates and Banibangou, Niger, on June 17, 2026, resulting in heavy losses for Nigerien forces. JNIM attempted an incursion at Niamey's airport the following day. On June 30, JNIM conducted further attacks in Makalondi, Torodi, and Diagourou, alongside operations in Burkina Faso, indicating a coordinated strategy between the two jihadist groups. The situation highlights the escalating conflict in the Tillabéri region.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 10 2026Loading...

Russia is struggling to achieve its military objectives in Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, with Ukrainian defenses significantly slowing Russian advances. The Ukrainian military reported 32,000 Russian casualties per month, while Ukraine has successfully targeted numerous Russian positions. Diplomatic efforts continue, but Russia's demands remain high despite operational challenges.

Dmitri VolkovFri Jul 10 2026Loading...

Ukrainian President Zelensky announced the development of a domestic missile defense system named FREYA on July 10, 2023, in Kyiv. The system aims to match the interception capabilities of the U.S. Patriot system while being cheaper and easier to produce. Ukraine plans to hold a meeting in France to discuss the project with countries that can assist in its implementation.

Rheinmetall and MBDA are developing a high-energy laser weapon system for the German Navy, expected to be operational by 2029. The contract, valued in the mid three-digit million-euro range, includes full system development from reconnaissance to target engagement. The laser demonstrator has been successfully tested on the German frigate Sachsen, demonstrating effectiveness against various targets.

Russian GRU officer Mikhail Astakov engaged in espionage activities in Rome, targeting Ukraine's SAMP/T air defense system and other military technologies. The network allegedly used microSD cards to collect sensitive information, with payments of EUR4,000 for each package. Italy has expelled two Russian military attaches in response to these activities, highlighting the serious implications for European defense efforts.

Alexandra ReevesFri Jul 10 2026Loading...

Germany is purchasing Tomahawk cruise missiles and Typhon launch systems from the United States in 2026 to address a military capability gap. This acquisition reflects a shift from U.S. troop stationing to German procurement of American systems, highlighting ongoing reliance on U.S. technology for deterrence. The quantities involved remain classified, with approval expected from Washington in August 2026.

Dr. Klaus WeberFri Jul 10 2026Loading...

Italian investigators dismantled a Russian espionage ring in Rome, targeting information on Ukrainian air defense systems. Former intelligence officials were arrested for collaborating with Russian military intelligence officer Mikhail Astakov, who sought details on systems like the Samp-T and Michelangelo Dome. The operation involved cash payments for sensitive information and led to the expulsion of two Russian military attaches from Italy.

On October 10, two oil storage facilities in Rostov Oblast caught fire due to drone attacks. The Krasnodar Krai command reported a fire from drone debris. Ukrainian forces intercepted 376 drones overnight, while 137 Russian drones were used in attacks on Ukraine.

Neros Technologies is developing a new counter-unmanned aircraft system (c-UAS) interceptor drone called Bandit, announced on July 10, 2023. The company has scaled production to approximately 2,000 units per day, supplying 6,000 drones to Ukraine and securing a $17 million contract for 8,000 Archer Strike drones with the U.S. Marine Corps. This development reflects a strategic shift towards counter-drone technology in response to increasing drone threats.

The Russian Army requires 55,000-60,000 soldiers per month to sustain its offensive operations in Donbas, as reported by an anonymous general. This figure reflects the need to compensate for ongoing losses while aiming for territorial gains by the end of 2026. The Kremlin's mobilization strategy has evolved, focusing on financial incentives rather than public mobilization, indicating a significant strain on military resources and personnel quality.

Dmitri VolkovFri Jul 10 2026Loading...

The U.S. Navy awarded Kongsberg Defence and Aerospace a $50.3 million contract modification on July 2, 2025, for additional launcher missile modules supporting the NMESIS system. This system enables the Marine Corps to launch Naval Strike Missiles from unmanned ground vehicles, enhancing their anti-ship capabilities. The contract reflects a broader modernization strategy and involves international collaboration across NATO countries.

The Federal Office for Equipment, Information Technology and Use of the Bundeswehr (BAAINBw) signed a contract on 9 June 2026 with MBDA and Rheinmetall to develop a high-energy laser weapon system for the German Navy, expected to be operational by 2029. This system aims to enhance naval defense capabilities against air, sea, and land threats, with a focus on utilizing German supply chains. Extensive testing has already demonstrated its effectiveness in various conditions.

Quantum Systems expanded its operations in Tallinn, Estonia, on 10 July 2026, by acquiring SensusQ, a local intelligence software company. This acquisition enhances Quantum Systems' capabilities in data analysis for defense and security. The new office will integrate local engineering talent and strengthen the company's presence along NATO's Eastern Flank.

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy confirmed that the U.S. is testing Ukrainian-made aerial and maritime drones, receiving positive feedback. This marks progress on a long-stalled drone production deal valued at $35 billion to $50 billion. Zelenskyy also highlighted the importance of a Patriot interceptor license for Ukraine's defense amid ongoing Russian strikes. The developments indicate a strengthening military partnership between Ukraine and the U.S.

IAEA teams reported hearing military activity sounds, including drones and gunfire, near Khmelnytskyi, South Ukraine, and Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plants from July 2 to 8, 2023. IAEA Director General Grossi highlighted the ongoing risks to nuclear safety amid the conflict, urging military restraint around nuclear facilities. No damage to the plants has been reported.

Ukrainian Unmanned Systems Forces conducted significant strikes on July 6, targeting 47 Russian military assets, including two S-400 launchers in Bryansk and Crimea. The campaign focuses on destroying critical radar systems to blind Russian air defenses, with reports indicating a high rate of attrition against these assets. Despite Russia's ability to produce launchers, the slow replacement of radars poses a challenge for their air defense capabilities.

HMS Ambush, a Royal Navy Astute-class submarine, has not been operational since August 2022 and is currently at Faslane, Scotland, being stripped for parts to maintain other submarines. One-fifth of Britain's nuclear attack submarine force is effectively non-operational, with a recovery plan initiated in January 2026 to address logistical challenges. The Royal Navy is facing significant shortages in dry docks, spare parts, and qualified engineers, jeopardizing its operational readiness.

The demand for HIMARS has surged due to its successful deployment in Ukraine, prompting Lockheed Martin to double production to 96 launchers in 2024. Countries like Poland, Estonia, and Canada have placed significant orders, while HIMARS has also been utilized in operations against Iran. Despite its effectiveness, challenges remain with ammunition supply, impacting operational capabilities.