Analysis & Reports

Russia confirmed arms exports exceeding $15 billion to over 30 countries in 2025, as stated by President Putin. The country continues to develop military-technical cooperation despite increased pressure from Western nations. A substantial portfolio of new export orders was secured, and future export volumes are expected to rise under a new plan for 2026. Russia is also involved in over 340 joint military-technical projects with 14 countries, with a notable shift towards aviation-related systems in its export contracts.

President Putin announced that Russia plans to significantly increase military exports by 2026, prioritizing military-technical cooperation with CSTO and CIS countries. Last year, Russia exported military products to over 30 countries, earning over $15 billion. Despite Western pressure, African nations expressed willingness to collaborate with Russia in military technology.

Azerbaijan's Foreign Minister Bayramov stated that Azerbaijan's airspace will not be used for military operations against Iran during a phone call with Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian on the night of the 30th. This statement was confirmed by the Azerbaijani ambassador to Iran.

Russia rejected Ukraine's request for a ceasefire of at least 60 days, as stated by Foreign Minister Lavrov in Moscow on January 29, 2023. Lavrov emphasized that previous ceasefires allowed Ukraine to replenish its military capabilities. He also noted that he has not seen the peace plan documents claimed by Ukraine and described the conflict as part of a larger confrontation with the West, with Ukraine being used as a pawn against Russia.

Syrian Transitional Government President Ahmad Sharrah visited Moscow on January 28, 2023, to reaffirm bilateral relations with Russia. Discussions focused on military cooperation and the geopolitical significance of Russian military bases in Syria. Sharrah acknowledged Russia's crucial role in stabilizing the region, despite previous conflicts between Syria and Russia. Experts suggest that the current military bases in Syria remain secure.

Belarus is enhancing its strategic deterrence capabilities, including tactical nuclear weapons and the Iskander missile system, in response to perceived threats from Western countries. On January 28, the Secretary of State of the Security Council reported to President Lukashenko about military inspections and the increasing militarization of neighboring European nations. Belarus is closely monitoring these developments and plans to take appropriate measures.

China has modernized its military capabilities significantly through arms sales and technology transfers from Russia since the 1990s. This relationship has evolved into a competitive dynamic, with China now challenging Russia in military exports. As a result, Russia is reassessing its future arms sales to China, recognizing the strategic implications of strengthening a potential peer competitor.

Russia's Ministry of Defense has begun large-scale recruitment for drone units since mid-January 2023, focusing on candidates with technical skills. The new units are transitioning to a more structured organization, prioritizing young recruits, including university students. Contract terms restrict service to drone units and include incentives for achieving specific military objectives.

The Russian Navy is set to decommission the Admiral Kuznetsov aircraft carrier, with plans for scrapping or sale by 2026 due to extensive issues and economic unviability of repairs. Corruption has exacerbated the situation, leading to significant cost overruns. The Russian military is shifting away from traditional aircraft carriers, marking a significant change in naval strategy.

The Russian Army is currently facing significant structural challenges that hinder its operational effectiveness. The analysis highlights that the primary issue is not the use of drones but rather the overall organization and capabilities of the military. Reform in military structure is suggested to address these challenges and improve readiness for future conflicts.

Western Europe is preparing for war with Russia, as indicated by statements from Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. This preparation suggests a serious escalation in military tensions between the two regions. The report highlights the urgency of the situation, although specific troop numbers and equipment details are not provided.

The U.S. Army is currently facing a housing crisis in Russia's backyard, impacting military readiness and personnel welfare. This situation raises concerns about the Army's ability to maintain effective operations in the region.

Russian officials announced that weapon exports have reached a record high, reflecting the country's military production capabilities. This increase underscores the importance of the defense industry in Russia's current military strategy.

Russia announced that its weapons export portfolio has reached $70 billion, highlighting its military-industrial capabilities. This figure is significant in the context of global arms trade and may impact military dynamics internationally.

Russia's Navy has acknowledged its inability to protect tankers from foreign attacks, revealing significant vulnerabilities in its maritime security. This admission underscores the challenges faced by the Russian military in safeguarding its assets against potential threats. The statement reflects ongoing concerns regarding the effectiveness of the Russian Navy.

Russia is facing significant military and political challenges, indicating a decline in its effectiveness and potential instability within its government. The situation appears dire as the country struggles to maintain its military posture and political cohesion.

Russia has introduced the Su-75 Checkmate stealth fighter, positioning it as a cost-effective alternative to U.S. stealth aircraft. This development serves as a strategic message to the U.S. Air Force, highlighting Russia's ongoing efforts to modernize its military capabilities.

The report highlights the growing silence of the Russian people regarding the Ukraine war, suggesting a shift in public sentiment that could have implications for the Russian government's stance on the conflict.

Russia is actively promoting a narrative concerning an attack in Valdai, with skepticism regarding the drone hardware used in the operation.

俄方称对乌方目标进行打击，乌方则声称袭击了俄罗斯的炼油设施。