Analysis & Reports

Russia began supplying drones and intelligence to Iran in early March 2026, following U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian military sites. The drones, primarily Geran-2 systems, are part of a strategic partnership aimed at reinforcing Iran's military capabilities. Russia's production capacity allows it to sustain its own operations while supporting Iran, which has faced significant disruptions in its drone manufacturing due to external attacks.

DARPA is conducting research on Cladosporium sphaerospermum, a fungus that can harness ionizing radiation, for potential military applications. This includes using the fungus to grow structures in space and training it to detect nuclear radiation. The research is ongoing at the Chernobyl site and the International Space Station.

On March 27, Russian President's press secretary clarified that President Putin did not discuss voluntary donations for military operations with business representatives. A participant at the meeting proposed a personal donation to the state, which Putin supported. The meeting did not address U.S. economic cooperation projects, and the Kremlin expressed a desire to explore trade potential with the U.S. while welcoming efforts to halt conflicts, including U.S.-Iran negotiations.

Russia warns Japan against its increasing military cooperation with Ukraine, stating it jeopardizes peace efforts in the ongoing conflict. On March 25, 2023, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova commented on reports of Japan considering the purchase of Ukrainian-made drones, emphasizing that any attempt by Japan to provide lethal weapons to Ukraine would be seen as a hostile act, leading to severe retaliation from Russia.

Japan is considering importing oil from Kazakhstan as part of its energy security strategy due to threats in the Strait of Hormuz. This move marks a significant shift in Japan's energy procurement approach, aiming to reduce reliance on Middle Eastern oil. The government is also exploring logistics options, including direct transactions and swap deals, to improve efficiency and reduce costs. Additionally, Japan plans to strengthen its strategic oil reserves in collaboration with the United States.

Tanaka TakashiTue Mar 24 2026Loading...

As of early 2026, Russia's fleet of Su-57 Felon stealth fighters consists of only 20-25 operational aircraft, significantly fewer than a U.S. Navy aircraft carrier air wing. The aircraft are currently stationed at Dzyomgi Air Base to avoid detection by Ukrainian drones. The Su-57's stealth capabilities are under scrutiny, with a radar cross-section reported to be 1,000 times larger than that of the F-35, raising concerns about its effectiveness in combat.

Russia's Amur-class submarine program is stalled, with no hulls completed by 2026 due to technical failures and sanctions. Potential buyers like India and Morocco are seeking alternatives, as the program has faced significant delays and dissatisfaction. The Rubin Central Design Bureau's design promises advanced capabilities, but the lack of progress raises concerns about its viability.

The U.S. Navy's USS George Washington operated in the South China Sea on November 24, 2025, reflecting U.S. commitment to regional security. Sun Tzu's Art of War continues to shape military strategy, emphasizing the importance of deception and intelligence. His teachings have influenced military leaders globally, including Mao Zedong and Admiral Tōgō, and are integral to NATO and U.S. military curricula.

The U.S. announced temporary sanctions relief for Russian oil, allowing increased revenue that may bolster military operations. Russia plans to expand its Unmanned Systems Forces to 101,000 personnel by April 1, 2026, amid ongoing military actions in Kostyantynivka and other regions. Ukrainian forces continue to advance despite Russian offensives, while both sides engage in long-range strikes.

Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 22 2026Loading...

NATO is revising its integrated air and missile defense planning amid rising threats from Russia and recent military engagements. The Eastern Sentry initiative integrates air defense capabilities across NATO's eastern flank, successfully intercepting Iranian ballistic missiles aimed at Turkey. Concurrently, NATO conducts various military exercises in the Nordic-Baltic region, emphasizing persistent operations and enhanced readiness.

Alexandra ReevesThu Mar 19 2026Loading...

Russia's military capabilities in the Arctic are being constrained by the ongoing Ukraine war, affecting its strategic ambitions in the region. The Kola Peninsula, crucial for Russia's nuclear capabilities, hosts significant military assets, including the Northern Fleet. Despite these challenges, Russia continues to enhance its military readiness and views the Arctic as vital for its security and economic interests. Concurrently, China is increasing its Arctic presence, seeking to expand its influence through scientific and commercial ventures.

Russia's military capabilities in the Arctic are being limited by the Ukraine war, while it continues to enhance its operational readiness. The Kola Peninsula, crucial for its nuclear capabilities, hosts significant military assets, including the Northern Fleet. Russia aims to assert its interests in the Arctic amidst growing U.S. influence and competition with China, which is also expanding its presence in the region.

On March 18, 2023, the Russian Foreign Ministry warned Japan to adhere to its pacifist constitution and avoid militarization. The ministry highlighted Japan's ongoing procurement of offensive weapons, including cruise missiles, as a threat to regional stability. Russia expressed concerns that Japan's military expansion could lead to a new arms race and stated it would respond to any missile threats to its territory.

Russia's PAK DA stealth bomber program remains stalled in 2026, with the aircraft primarily represented by press releases and AI-generated images. The program has encountered significant technical and financial challenges, exacerbated by the ongoing Ukraine War and competition from the Tu-160 bomber. Experts suggest that Russia is unlikely to achieve a credible stealth design in the near future.

A Russian analysis compares the cost of heavy FPV drones to various armored vehicles, revealing that a BTR-82A can be exchanged for 300 drones, while a T-90M can be traded for 3,200 drones. This highlights the increasing significance of low-cost unmanned systems in modern warfare. The report suggests that traditional armored vehicles are becoming less effective in mechanized assaults.

Speculation surrounds a potential coup against President Vladimir Putin as military failures and corruption scandals emerge. Former Defense Minister Ruslan Tsalikov faces serious fraud charges, contributing to a climate of distrust. Recent internet blackouts in Moscow and censorship of Telegram suggest heightened fears within the regime. Analysts express concern over the deteriorating capabilities of the Russian military, indicating a possible crisis ahead.

Ukrainian long-range drones now threaten the Ural region of Russia, according to Sergei Shoigu. He stated that the effectiveness of these drones has changed the security environment, with the Ural region, previously considered safe, now in the zone of immediate threat. This area is vital for Russia's defense and economic infrastructure, prompting a reassessment of air defense strategies.

NATO is overhauling its integrated air and missile defense planning in response to evolving threats, with a new plan set for completion by summer 2026. The initiative follows lessons from the Ukraine conflict and recent drone incursions into Poland. NATO successfully engaged Iranian ballistic missiles aimed at Turkey, demonstrating the effectiveness of integrated air defense systems. The Cold Response 2026 exercise involved 25,000 troops from 14 countries, highlighting ongoing military readiness and cooperation.

Alexandra ReevesMon Mar 16 2026Loading...

The Russian Air Force's Sukhoi Su-57 is evaluated against U.S. fifth-generation fighters, revealing that only 32 to 42 airframes will be operational by 2026. Currently, there are between 4 and 15 Su-57s in service, which is insufficient to compete with over 1,300 F-35s. The Su-57's speed reaches Mach 2, but its technological capabilities, including AESA radar and manned-unmanned teaming, remain unproven.

Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree increasing the Russian Armed Forces to 2,391,770 personnel in March 2026, reflecting a significant military expansion. Ukrainian forces regained territory in February, while Russia's shift to offensive nuclear deterrence raises concerns about escalation. The military situation remains fluid, with ongoing operations in Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, and other regions, as both sides adapt to the evolving battlefield dynamics.

Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 15 2026Loading...