Analysis & Reports

Two U.S. Navy EA-18G Growler aircraft collided during an airshow at Mountain Home Air Force Base in Idaho on May 17. All four crew members aboard safely ejected before the aircraft crashed. The incident is currently under investigation, and the remaining events of the airshow were canceled following the collision.

The U.S. Navy has cleared the MQ-25A Stingray for low-rate initial production, with plans to order three aircraft as part of a Lot 1 contract. This decision follows a successful test flight in Southern Illinois and aims to enhance the operational capabilities of Carrier Strike Groups by integrating unmanned refueling systems. The total program is estimated to cost around $16 billion, with a funding request of $1.75 billion for 2027 to support production and mission control systems.

U.S. President Trump announced that the U.S. may conduct a heavy strike against Iran but has postponed military action at the request of Gulf allies. He indicated that negotiations for a peace agreement are ongoing, and he is allowing a limited time for dialogue to continue.

Gurpartap Sandhoo was appointed as the head of the Missile Warning and Tracking Portfolio Acquisition Executive office by the Space Force on May 11. He will also continue in his role as the permanent director of the Space Development Agency. This new office aims to enhance missile tracking capabilities, overseeing the Next Generation Overhead Persistent Infrared constellation and the Resilient Missile Warning and Tracking program.

US Northern Command is establishing the Nordic Bridge partnership to enhance collaboration among military commands addressing Arctic security concerns. The initiative focuses on ensuring a coordinated presence in the Arctic, particularly in Alaska, and includes participation from Danish Special Operations Forces. Military leaders emphasize the importance of local expertise in Arctic operations.

The United States Air Force implemented a fleet-wide operational pause for the T-38 Talon aircraft following a crash on May 12 at Columbus Air Force Base, Mississippi. This decision aims to ensure safety during an ongoing investigation into the incident. Inspections for the aircraft will begin shortly, and aircrews will focus on simulator training in the interim. The T-38, a key training tool since 1961, is expected to be replaced by the new T-7 Red Hawk.

The U.S. Navy is recommending a new 56-month force generation model for amphibious ships to enhance readiness and increase the fleet size to 40 ships. This proposal follows concerns about current readiness levels and aims to maintain a persistent global presence of Marine Expeditionary Units. Acting Secretary of the Navy Hung Cao presented this recommendation to the Secretary of Defense, highlighting the need for improved maintenance and training cycles.

Air Force Special Operations Command is testing the Skyraider II's capability for rapid disassembly and reassembly for field deployment. Currently, 18 of these aircraft are operational, with plans for a total of 75, although funding has been reduced to 53. The Skyraider II is designed for armed overwatch and can be deployed from cargo jets, enhancing operational flexibility.

The U.S. Navy's MQ-25 Stingray unmanned aerial system received approval for low-rate initial production, with a contract for three aircraft expected this summer. This system will enhance refueling capabilities for carrier air wings, allowing F/A-18 Super Hornets to focus on strike missions. Initial operating capability is now anticipated by FY29 due to previous delays.

The U.S. Navy announced that the MQ-25A Stingray has entered the low-rate initial production and deployment phase as of April 25, 2023. This unmanned aircraft is designed to relieve F/A-18 Super Hornets of their aerial refueling role, enhancing the operational capabilities of Carrier Strike Groups. The program, which has been in development for nearly eight years, is expected to cost approximately $13 billion for 72 aircraft.

Shield AI secured a Pentagon contract to integrate its Hivemind autonomy software onto the LUCAS drone in Washington. This integration aims to enable drone swarms to operate autonomously, with a single human operator overseeing target strikes. The LUCAS drone, reverse-engineered from an Iranian Shahed 136, is part of a broader Pentagon initiative to enhance drone production and autonomy capabilities.

U.S. President Trump announced a postponement of military strikes against Iran, responding to requests from leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE due to ongoing negotiations regarding Iran's nuclear program. Iran has warned of a decisive response if attacked again, while the U.S. military remains prepared for significant action if talks do not yield satisfactory results.

Space Force Gen. Michael Guetlein disputed a $1.2 trillion estimate for the Golden Dome missile defense system last week. The U.S. Army conducted a significant electronic warfare exercise involving infantry and Green Berets near Fort Carson, Colorado.

The U.S. Department of State approved foreign military sales to India, valued at $428.2 million, which includes M777 howitzers and Apache helicopters. This decision reflects ongoing military cooperation between the U.S. and India.

U.S. Special Operations Command emphasizes the need for special operators to be both lethal and technically fluent during SOF Week in Tampa, Florida. Adm. Frank M. Bradley stated that operators must master new technologies alongside traditional combat skills. Sgt. Maj. Andrew J. Krogman reinforced that technology cannot replace the human element in special operations.

U.S. Special Operations Command highlighted the necessity for special operators to possess both technical expertise and physical fitness during a speech at SOF Week in Tampa, Florida. Commander Adm. Frank M. Bradley stated that the evolving nature of warfare requires operators to master new technologies while maintaining fundamental combat skills. He emphasized that human capabilities are irreplaceable by technology, a sentiment echoed by Sgt. Maj. Andrew J. Krogman, who warned against over-reliance on automated systems.

American Rheinmetall conducted a week-long training course for the Marine Corps at Quantico, Virginia, focusing on the Fieldranger Remotely Controlled Weapon Station. The training included live-fire exercises and was observed by the Commanding General of the Marine Corps Warfighting Laboratory. This initiative aims to enhance operational capabilities with new weapon systems, including the integration of autonomous vehicles.

The Pentagon awarded a $500 million contract to Perennial Autonomy for counter-drone technology, including Merops interceptors and Bumblebee quadcopters. This contract, facilitated by JIATF-401, aims to enhance U.S. military capabilities against drone threats. Perennial's technology is validated for use in contested environments, and the company is expanding production in Europe. The contract is part of a broader initiative to improve drone defense systems.

Northrop Grumman's YFQ-48A Talon Blue completed its first taxi test in Mojave, California, on May 14, 2026. This marks a significant milestone in the development of the autonomous combat aircraft, which is equipped with a PW500 engine and a brake control system from Crane Aerospace. The Talon Blue is designed to enhance operational capabilities with reduced weight and complexity compared to previous models.

GE Aerospace secured a contract to design the GE426 engine for the U.S. Air Force's autonomous combat aircraft program. This engine is part of the Air Force's broader initiative to develop AI-piloted drones that can operate alongside crewed fighters. The contract was awarded in February 2026, as the Air Force aims to purchase at least 1,000 drones by the end of the decade, with a total budget of approximately $9 billion for CCA programs.