Analysis & Reports

Saudi Arabia concluded the Global Defense Exhibition 2026 in Riyadh on February 12, 2026, signing 220 agreements, including 60 arms contracts worth 33 billion SAR. The event highlighted the country's ambition to localize 50% of military spending by 2030, with a current localization rate of 25%. The exhibition featured significant international participation, including a notable absence of major Emirati companies, reflecting rising tensions.

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Exail opened a new office in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on February 11, 2026, to enhance its operations and support local customers and partners. This move aims to strengthen customer support and foster long-term partnerships in the region, addressing local operational needs effectively.

Norinco unveiled the FL50 swarm-capable loitering munition at the World Defense Show in Riyadh in 2026. The system features a multi-canister launcher mounted on an armoured carrier, designed for precision strikes and capable of operating autonomously or within a sensor network. Each munition weighs 37 kg and is equipped with a 5.5 kg warhead, enhancing the operational capabilities of military forces.

Estonian officials engaged in discussions with Saudi Arabia in Riyadh to explore defense procurement cooperation during the World Defense Show 2026. The talks, led by Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur, aim to establish a memorandum of understanding between the nations' procurement agencies. Estonia seeks to increase its defense exports significantly by 2030, while Saudi Arabia's GAMI supports the development of its military industries.

Fincantieri plans to boost defense production capacity in Italy and increase revenue by 40% by 2030, driven by rising global defense spending. The company anticipates securing €50 billion in new orders, adding to its existing €60 billion backlog. Additionally, Fincantieri is expanding its undersea business and has signed contracts with foreign customers, including a €200 million deal with Saudi Arabia for torpedoes.

The U.S. completed its withdrawal from the Tanf base in Syria on February 12, 2026, while simultaneously increasing its military presence in the Gulf region with 36 F-15E Strike Eagles and the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier group. This strategic repositioning aims to deter Iran, as U.S. forces face risks from Iranian missile and drone attacks. Regional allies, particularly Saudi Arabia and the UAE, express concerns about escalating tensions.

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The U.S. Navy has deployed a large fleet in the Persian Gulf and a small fleet near Cuba and Venezuela as part of its strategy to address rising international tensions. Admiral Darryl Caudle highlighted the ongoing strategic importance of aircraft carriers and the Navy's commitment to countering illegal activities in the Caribbean. Additionally, the Navy is enhancing its capabilities through technological advancements and plans to strengthen its presence in the Arctic region.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu expressed skepticism about the potential for a U.S.-Iran agreement during his visit to the United States on February 12, 2020. He stated that while President Trump believes a deal is possible, he has concerns about its implications for Israel's security. Netanyahu insisted that any agreement must prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons and limit its missile capabilities.

NATO launched the 'Arctic Sentinel' military operation on November 11 to enhance security in the Arctic and High North region. This initiative aims to unify the actions of its 32 member countries and is seen as a response to U.S. President Trump's threats regarding Greenland. However, there are concerns that this operation may simply be a rebranding of existing efforts rather than a new military necessity.

The commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy stated that they continuously monitor enemy movements, highlighting Iran's deterrent capabilities. This statement reflects Iran's military posture amid ongoing tensions in the region.

On February 10, 2026, a Chinese military attaché presented a J-20 Mighty Dragon stealth fighter replica to Iran’s Air Force Commander, indicating a potential shift in China's export policy. This development raises concerns about Iran acquiring advanced air capabilities that could challenge Israel's F-35I Adir, altering the regional military balance.

Syrian government forces took control of the al-Tanf base from U.S. troops on Wednesday, securing the base and its perimeters. The handover was coordinated with the U.S. military, which confirmed its orderly departure. U.S. Central Command stated that it remains poised to respond to any threats from the Islamic State in the region.

Syrian government forces took control of al-Tanf base from U.S. troops on Wednesday, securing the base and its perimeters. The handover was coordinated with the U.S. military, which confirmed the orderly departure of its forces. This move follows a broader consolidation of U.S. military locations in Syria after the territorial defeat of ISIS.

Hamas officials declared they will not disarm as long as Israel continues its military actions in Gaza. They expressed a commitment to a ceasefire but accused Israel of violating agreements. The Israeli Defense Forces are reportedly planning new offensives to disarm Hamas, which has resulted in significant casualties since the ceasefire began.

Turkish Aerospace is nearing a decision regarding Saudi Arabia's involvement in the KAAN fighter program, with discussions on a potential sale of 20 aircraft or local production. The company aims to finalize arrangements by 2026, aligning with Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 goal for increased domestic defense production. Additionally, TA is advancing its Anka 3 UAV prototypes and expects timely delivery of F110 engines for the KAAN.

Iran imposed a nationwide internet blackout in January 2026, affecting 92 million citizens, to suppress dissent following protests. The National Information Network (NIN) remains only 60% operational, leading to significant economic losses of $36 million per day. The Iranian government escalated its military actions against Starlink to prevent communication and has intensified threats against journalists reporting on the protests.

UKR ARMO TECH announced its intention to expand into the Middle East defense market while increasing production capacity for potential export demand. The company showcased its DESNA multi-purpose tactical vehicle and GYURZA-03 MRAP-class platform at the World Defense Show in Saudi Arabia, attracting significant interest from defense officials and military delegations. This move reflects a shift towards international outreach as Gulf states modernize their ground forces.

SAMI Land Company launched the HEET Program in Riyadh on February 11, 2026, introducing a new generation of advanced wheeled armored vehicles. The program aims to produce up to 1,500 military vehicles annually, enhancing Saudi Arabia's defense capabilities and operational readiness. The vehicles are designed for diverse military operations, including border protection and reconnaissance, and will be manufactured entirely within the Kingdom.

The Syrian Transitional Government announced the takeover of the Tanf military base on November 12. All U.S. troops stationed at the base withdrew on November 11 and relocated to Jordan. The base is situated near the borders of Syria, Iraq, and Jordan, and has been operational for U.S. forces since 2016.

Iran received Mi-28NE attack helicopters from Russia, spotted at Mehrabad Airport in Tehran, and conducted flight tests over the capital in early 2026. The helicopters, featuring advanced upgrades, indicate a significant enhancement of Iran's military capabilities. This delivery follows negotiations for military acquisitions from Russia, further expanding defense cooperation between the two nations.