Analysis & Reports

Russian forces have taken control of four villages in Ukraine, including Chuhunivka and Sydorivka, between February 7 and 13, 2023. They conducted drone strikes on Odesa, resulting in one civilian death and six injuries, while also damaging port infrastructure. Additionally, Russian air defense intercepted several Ukrainian missiles and drones during this period.

Allied forces conducted a devastating bombing campaign on Dresden from February 13 to 14, 1945, involving British Lancaster bombers and American B-17s. The attacks resulted in approximately 25,000 deaths and the destruction of 75,000 homes, with many victims succumbing to carbon monoxide poisoning. The city, previously relatively unscathed, faced unprecedented destruction and loss of life.

U.S. Army leaders prepare for a potential large-scale war in Europe, projecting the need to manage 1,500 targets daily. The Dynamic Front 26 exercise emphasizes multinational coordination and the use of automation and AI to process targeting data efficiently. Brig. Gen. Steven Carpenter noted the necessity to intercept up to 1,200 missiles daily, highlighting the challenges of modern warfare.

Belgium is negotiating with Lockheed Martin for 11 additional F-35A jets, emphasizing the need for domestic industrial returns. The defense minister stated that a contract will be signed this year, following a meeting with Lockheed Martin's CEO. The focus on local production aligns with Belgium's previous agreements to enhance its industrial capabilities in defense.

North Korean troops provided artillery support and drone reconnaissance to Russia in Ukraine, transitioning from infantry roles to logistical and industrial support. Approximately 11,000 troops were deployed to Kursk in late 2024, supplying millions of artillery shells and munitions. This support is crucial for sustaining Russia's firepower in an artillery-dominant conflict.

Negotiations for the Next-Generation Fighter (NGF) project are halted due to disputes between Airbus and Dassault, raising concerns about the future of the Future Combat Air System (FCAS) in Europe. The industry source indicated that while the program is not officially dead, clarity on its next phase is urgently needed. Political challenges persist, particularly between Germany and France, complicating the resolution of outstanding issues.

Babcock France secured a contract on 12 February 2026 to provide pilot training for the French Air and Space Force and the French Navy. The training will occur at Salon-de-Provence and Cognac air bases, utilizing Cirrus SR22 and Grob 120 aircraft. This contract reflects Babcock's ongoing collaboration with the French Armed Forces and its commitment to enhancing military training capabilities.

SatService GmbH was awarded a contract by the German Federal Ministry of Defence on February 10, 2026, to deliver a Q/V-band satellite ground station in Stesslingen, Germany. This advanced facility will support military satellite communications and scientific applications, featuring a high-performance 4-metre antenna system. The initiative is part of Germany's investment in enhancing its satellite communications capabilities.

Sweden is set to decide on the procurement of four new Luleå-class frigates this spring to bolster its naval capabilities in the Baltic Sea. The Arrowhead 120 design, offered by Saab and Babcock, aims to enhance territorial defense against threats, particularly from Russia. The estimated cost is between 40 to 60 billion Swedish kronor, with the first two frigates expected to be delivered by 2030.

The UK government has pledged over £500 million in urgent air defence support to Ukraine, which includes missiles and systems. This commitment aims to bolster Ukraine's defensive capabilities amid ongoing conflict. The total value of the aid is approximately $681 million.

NATO conducted the Dynamic Front 26 exercise, rehearsing the capability to strike 1,500 targets and intercept 1,200 ballistic missiles in a single day across Romania, Germany, Poland, and Spain. The U.S. Army's 56th Multi-Domain Command led the exercise, emphasizing deterrence through overwhelming firepower and advanced coordination using the ASCA software platform. This exercise reflects lessons learned from the Ukraine conflict and aims to ensure no nation considers aggression against NATO territory.

Alexandra ReevesFri Feb 13 2026Loading...

USS Iwo Jima is set to undergo a $204.2 million modernization overhaul at Norfolk Naval Shipyard starting in June 2026. This maintenance follows its involvement in Operation Southern Spear, where it played a crucial role in capturing Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro. The overhaul will further strain the U.S. Navy's amphibious fleet, which is already limited after the decommissioning of the USS Bonhomme Richard.

A group of 16 former high-ranking German and NATO officials conducted a war game simulation on December 15, 2025, revealing that NATO forces would struggle to respond effectively to a Russian invasion of Marijampolė, Lithuania, due to Germany's inadequate military infrastructure and logistical challenges. The simulation showed that while Russia could achieve its objectives quickly, NATO's political indecision and lack of preparedness would hinder its response.

Dr. Klaus WeberFri Feb 13 2026Loading...

The Munich Security Conference opened with 15 heads of state from EU countries and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio in attendance. Discussions focus on the current crisis in trans-Atlantic relations and global security concerns. Rubio emphasized the importance of Europe to the U.S. and indicated a shift towards a more collaborative approach. The conference runs until Sunday, with various meetings scheduled between leaders, including discussions on defense spending among NATO allies.

The Russian Air Force's Tu-22M3 bombers are transitioning from area bombing to standoff platforms, engaging in missions over Ukraine as of February 2026. Despite their capability to launch long-range missiles like the Kh-22 and Kh-32, they face vulnerabilities due to their large radar cross-section and aging airframes. Reports indicate that Ukrainian forces have successfully shot down some of these bombers, raising concerns about their operational viability.

The U.S. military is facing a systemic acquisition crisis as of February 2026, with major programs like the M10 Booker and M1 Abrams SEPv4 sidelined due to excessive weight and aging architectures. The shift towards mass-produced, low-cost drones highlights the need for adaptability in modern warfare. The U.S. defense industrial base has eroded, complicating the integration of next-generation technologies into military platforms.

The Eurofighter Typhoon has undergone significant upgrades, enhancing its capabilities as a multi-role fighter aircraft. It integrates advanced weapon systems such as the Meteor missile and Storm Shadow, achieving Mach 2 speed with a high thrust-to-weight ratio. The aircraft is expected to remain operational through the 2040s, supported by new sensors and technologies. It is utilized by several countries, including the UK, Germany, Italy, and Spain.

On February 12, 2026, the Russian Armed Forces launched a massive combined strike involving 219 drones and 24 ballistic missiles against energy infrastructure in Kyiv, Odessa, and Dnipro. This operation aimed to exhaust Ukrainian air defense capabilities while targeting civilian heating during extreme cold. The cost-effectiveness of the Russian strategy highlights a significant disparity in military expenditure between the two sides.

Dmitri VolkovFri Feb 13 2026Loading...

The European Union initiated GOVSATCOM operations in Madrid on February 12, 2026, to enhance its strategic autonomy in satellite communications. GMV leads a consortium responsible for the design and deployment of the GOVSATCOM Hub, which integrates satellite capabilities from multiple EU Member States. This initiative is part of a €107 million project aimed at providing secure communication services under European control.

HENSOLDT and Helsing established a strategic partnership in Munich on 12 February 2026 to develop the CA-1 Europa autonomous combat aircraft. This collaboration aims to enhance European defense capabilities through advanced sensor technology and AI integration. The first demonstrations of the aircraft are expected in the coming months, focusing on practical testing and operational integration.