Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources
Nigerian military claims to have killed over 20 ISIS militants in cooperation with U.S. forces
Nigerian and U.S. forces conducted airstrikes on May 17, 2023, in Borno, Nigeria, killing over 20 ISIS militants. This operation was initiated after the death of ISIS's second-in-command. The airstrikes targeted militant gathering and movement locations, with no reported casualties among the attacking forces.
Famine threatens 6 million Somalis and opens an operational breach for Al-Shabaab in 2026
In 2026, a humanitarian crisis due to famine threatens 6 million Somalis, particularly in Burhakaba, Baidoa, and Hiiraan. Al-Shabaab is exploiting the situation to enhance its operational capabilities as government forces engage in conflicts with local militias. The closure of the Kenyan border complicates trade and security, while the rising costs of essential supplies hinder humanitarian efforts.
Marie DuboisMon May 18 2026Loading...
The DRC creates a mining guard of 20,000 men and militarizes the cobalt battle
The Democratic Republic of the Congo is establishing a mining guard of 20,000 personnel to secure cobalt extraction sites and transport routes. The initial deployment of 2,500 to 3,000 recruits is expected by December 2026, with support from the United States and the UAE. This initiative aims to control the mining sector amid ongoing military risks from armed groups in the eastern DRC, where cobalt production is critical for global supply chains.
Marie DuboisMon May 18 2026Loading...Mainok killed in Nigeria and 400 Starlink terminals expose ISWAP's nerve
On May 16, 2023, U.S. forces conducted a successful operation resulting in the death of ISWAP leader Abubakar Mainok in Maiduguri. Concurrently, over 400 Starlink terminals were seized from insurgent networks, indicating ISWAP's logistical capabilities. The report also highlights recent attacks on schools and military brigades, demonstrating ongoing insurgent activity in the region.
Marie DuboisSun May 17 2026Loading...
The Sahel at the Turning Point: The Coordinated Attacks of April 25, 2026 and the Strategic Reconfiguration of West Africa
On April 25, 2026, JNIM and FLA launched coordinated attacks on strategic positions in Mali, including Bamako, Kati, Gao, Kidal, Sevare, and Mopti. The fall of Kidal marked a significant setback for the Malian government, while the assassination of Defense Minister General Sadio Camara on April 26 further destabilized the regime. This offensive highlights the deep vulnerabilities of the transitional government and the evolving dynamics of militant alliances in the region.
Marie DuboisSun May 17 2026Loading...
Ukraine launches major drone strike on Moscow
Ukraine launched over 130 drones in a major strike on Moscow overnight into May 17, targeting industrial facilities and causing significant disruptions, including the suspension of operations at all four major airports. The attack resulted in injuries to 12 individuals and fires at key industrial sites, reflecting Ukraine's strategic focus on degrading Russian military and industrial capabilities. This operation follows a week of intense Russian aerial bombardment against Ukraine.
The Ceasefire's Long Shadow: How Gulf States Are Rewiring Their Strategic Architecture at Day 78 of the Iran War
On May 16, 2026, the Iran War entered its 78th day, with Gulf states reconfiguring their military strategies in response to Iranian threats. U.S. Central Command reported over 1,450 precision strikes that severely degraded Iran's military capabilities. Concurrently, Gulf states are enhancing their defense infrastructure and forming new alliances to address regional security challenges. Sub-ceasefire drone attacks attributed to Iranian-aligned factions continue to pose threats to Gulf nations.
Ahmed Al-RashidSun May 17 2026Loading...
US, Nigerian troops kill ISIS second in command
U.S. and Nigerian forces killed ISIS's second in command, Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, during a joint operation in the Lake Chad Basin on Friday evening. The strike also resulted in the deaths of several of al-Minuki's lieutenants. This operation is part of an ongoing campaign against ISIS in Africa, reflecting increased U.S. military involvement in Nigeria.
The jihadist offensive of April 25, 2026 in Mali: a strategic break for the Sahel and its external partners
On April 25, 2026, JNIM and FLA launched a coordinated offensive against Malian forces in Bamako, Kati, Kidal, Gao, Sévaré, Mopti, and Bourem, resulting in over 1,000 enemy combatants killed and significant casualties among Malian troops. The offensive included the use of explosive-laden vehicles and led to the downing of a Mil Mi-35 helicopter. JNIM subsequently declared a 'total siege' of Bamako, demanding the withdrawal of Russian forces.
Marie DuboisSat May 16 2026Loading...
Trump: U.S. Forces kill world’s most active terrorist in Nigeria
U.S. and Nigerian forces killed Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, a senior ISIS leader, in a joint operation conducted overnight in Nigeria. President Trump announced the operation, highlighting its significance in diminishing ISIS's global operations. The specific location and method of the strike were not disclosed, but the Nigerian Armed Forces have been actively combating ISWAP in the region for years.
The Sahel at the Time of Unprecedented Alliances: The Coordinated Offensives of April-May 2026 and the Security Restructuring of West Africa
A coalition of the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) and Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) launched a coordinated offensive against Malian armed forces and their Russian allies from April 25 to May 7, 2026, capturing key locations including Kidal. The offensive resulted in significant casualties, including the death of Malian Defense Minister General Sadio Camara. Additionally, JNIM attacked a military post in Benin, indicating a broader regional threat.
Marie DuboisSat May 16 2026Loading...France Faces Multiple Challenges in Drone Warfare
France is currently addressing multiple challenges in countering drone warfare, particularly in the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz. The French Navy and Armament Agency are developing advanced detection and identification systems for drones, while also exploring suppression methods that minimize civilian risk. France is enhancing its military capabilities with laser weapons and anti-drone systems to effectively respond to these threats.
US Army’s 7th Infantry Division, 1st MDTF to merge as Multi-Domain Command-Pacific
The U.S. Army is establishing the Multi-Domain Command-Pacific (MDC-PAC) by merging the 7th Infantry Division and the 1st Multi-Domain Task Force in Honolulu, Hawaii, set to begin in mid-June 2026. This new command will enhance operational capabilities across the Indo-Pacific region, integrating Stryker brigades and combat aviation assets to improve joint operations. The move reflects a strategic shift towards greater collaboration with allies in response to emerging threats from China and North Korea.
From destroyers to drones, how a Europe-led coalition aims to open the Strait of Hormuz
A coalition of over 40 nations, led by the UK and France, is committed to reopening the Strait of Hormuz by deploying military assets for protection and mine clearance operations. The UK will send Eurofighter Typhoon jets and the HMS Dragon destroyer, while France will contribute the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier. Australia is providing the E-7A Wedgetail aircraft, and Belgium and Germany are repositioning minehunters to support the mission.
The Sahel at the Time of the Coordinated Offensive: The Strategic Reconfiguration of West African Jihadism and the Erosion of the Russo-Sahelian Framework
On April 25, 2026, JNIM and FLA launched a coordinated offensive across multiple locations in Mali, resulting in the death of General Sadio Camara and significant casualties among both enemy fighters and Malian soldiers. The offensive has destabilized the Malian junta's control, with JNIM expanding operations into Benin, where they attacked a military post, killing seven soldiers. Russian airstrikes also reported high enemy casualties, indicating a severe escalation in the conflict.
Marie DuboisFri May 15 2026Loading...The JNIM Offensive in Mali: Fracture of the Sahel Security Model and Regional Recomposition
On April 25, 2026, JNIM and FLA conducted coordinated attacks across five Malian cities, including a suicide bombing that killed the Defense Minister in Kati. This operation marks a significant strategic shift, as JNIM, with 5,000 to 6,000 fighters, has initiated an economic blockade of Bamako, aiming to undermine the Malian state. The attacks reflect a growing sophistication in tactics and a new alliance between jihadist and secular separatist forces.
Marie DuboisFri May 15 2026Loading...
A Historical Shift in Japan's Defense Equipment Export Policy and Its Strategic Implications for Maritime Security in Northeast Asia: An Analysis of Trends as of May 2026
Japan's government revised its defense export policy on April 21, 2026, allowing the export of lethal defense equipment. On May 5, Japan agreed to transfer destroyers to the Philippines, marking a significant shift in military cooperation. Concurrently, Russia's Pacific Fleet conducted unusual movements through the Tsushima Strait, while North Korea announced plans for new military capabilities, including a long-range artillery system.
Tanaka TakashiFri May 15 2026Loading...Gerald R. Ford to return from historic deployment on Saturday: CNO
The USS Gerald R. Ford is returning to Naval Station Norfolk on Saturday after a record-breaking 324-day deployment at sea. During its mission, the carrier operated in the High North region and the Eastern Mediterranean, completing five Suez Canal transits. The deployment involved significant logistical operations and marked a historic achievement for the U.S. Navy.
USAID’s abrupt shutdown increased violence in Africa, study shows
The abrupt termination of USAID in early 2025 resulted in a 10% increase in conflict events and combat deaths across Africa from March 2024 to November 2025. Researchers found that the sudden withdrawal of aid created chaos, disrupting local economies and motivating armed groups. The study highlights the significant impact of USAID's budget cuts, estimating potential millions of deaths by 2030 due to the loss of humanitarian support.
The Battle for Hormuz: How the 2026 US-Iran Conflict Is Reshaping Gulf Security Architecture
As of mid-May 2026, the U.S. Navy is enforcing a maritime blockade against Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, involving over 20 warships and two carrier strike groups. Iranian forces have launched missile and drone strikes against Gulf Cooperation Council states, prompting a regional rearmament effort. Australia is contributing military assets to a multinational coalition, while the Houthi movement has resumed hostilities, threatening maritime security in the Red Sea. The situation remains tense and complex, with significant implications for Gulf security architecture.
Ahmed Al-RashidThu May 14 2026Loading...
