Analysis & Reports

U.S. and Israeli forces launched strikes on Iran, prompting emergency meetings among European leaders on Saturday. French President Macron called for a U.N. Security Council meeting, while leaders from Germany and the U.K. discussed the escalating situation. The strikes have raised fears of a broader conflict, with various international leaders condemning the actions and calling for restraint and negotiations regarding Iran's nuclear program.

Europe is undergoing a significant transformation in defense strategy, with NATO setting a target of 5% of GDP for defense spending by 2035. Poland leads NATO spending, while Germany has approved the procurement of kamikaze drones to enhance its military capabilities. NATO is also increasing operational readiness through exercises and new deployments, particularly in response to Russian threats. Five European nations are working together on drone defense systems.

Dr. Klaus WeberSat Feb 28 2026Loading...

Global defense spending is projected to increase by 2.5% in 2025, reaching $2.63 trillion, driven by competition among major powers and ongoing conflicts. The U.S. remains the largest spender, while European nations are increasing their budgets significantly. Russia's military spending is also growing, albeit at a slower rate. The Middle East and North Africa are expected to see substantial military expenditures as well.

China's H-20 stealth bomber is anticipated to challenge U.S. air dominance in the Indo-Pacific, particularly targeting transit hubs like Guam. The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) is developing the H-20 to enhance its regional military capabilities, with operational deployment expected in the next few years. This development signals a shift in military dynamics, as the U.S. assesses China's capabilities as primarily regional for now.

The Russian Air Force operates approximately 15 Su-57 aircraft, which are under scrutiny for their stealth capabilities compared to the F-35 and F-22. Algeria has reportedly ordered 14 Su-57s, but delivery is uncertain due to Russian production delays. Experts highlight the Su-57's significantly larger radar cross-section, questioning its classification as a stealth fighter.

Kalashnikov Concern has developed the KUB-10ME, a tactical guided munition with a range exceeding 100 km, as of February 25, 2026. This new system features advanced optronic guidance for tracking moving targets and is designed to engage a variety of targets, including vehicles and command posts. It is capable of operating in diverse weather conditions and altitudes, reflecting lessons learned from the SMO zone.

Russia revealed the production process of the Khishchnik 4×4 armored vehicles at the Remdiesel facility in Naberezhnye Chelny during a visit by elite military units and Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov. The vehicles are designed with advanced radio monitoring systems to enhance survivability against drone threats, and testing preparations for the new model are currently underway.

Napoleon's Grande Armée, consisting of around 600,000 men, faced significant logistical challenges during his military campaigns from 1812 to 1815. Key defeats at the Battle of Leipzig and the Battle of Waterloo led to the collapse of his empire. The retreat from Russia was catastrophic, with severe losses due to hunger and disease. Ultimately, coalition forces and strategic miscalculations contributed to his downfall.

Ukrainian Armed Forces conducted a drone strike against an ammonium nitrate production plant in Dorogobuzh, Russia, destroying key industrial infrastructure. The attack targeted areas associated with ammonium nitrate manufacturing, crucial for both civilian and military applications. Satellite imagery confirmed extensive damage, including secondary explosions that affected surrounding logistics and storage areas. This facility represented about 10 percent of Russia's ammonium nitrate production capacity for 2024.

Russia launched a major aerial attack overnight, deploying 420 drones and 39 missiles, targeting critical infrastructure and residential areas in Kyiv, Poltava, and Dnipropetrovsk. The assault resulted in dozens of injuries, including children. Ukrainian air defenses successfully intercepted most of the missiles. Additionally, Russia returned 1,000 bodies of fallen soldiers to Ukraine amid ongoing peace negotiations.

Russia continues to sustain high-intensity military operations in Ukraine as of February 2026, despite facing manpower constraints. The Russian Army recruits 30,000 to 35,000 personnel monthly, but this is insufficient to replace significant battlefield casualties, which totaled over 35,000 in late 2025. Moscow is developing new military tactics and equipment, including advanced drones, while protracting negotiations to improve its strategic position.

Dmitri VolkovThu Feb 26 2026Loading...

Russian forces conducted a large-scale air assault against Ukraine on February 26, 2023, utilizing various missiles and hundreds of drones. Ukrainian air defenses successfully neutralized 406 of the 459 aerial targets, including multiple types of missiles and drones. The attack originated from several locations, including Crimea and various regions in Russia, and involved a coordinated response from Ukrainian air defense units.

Ukrainian forces achieved significant territorial gains in February 2026, liberating around 200 square kilometers and disrupting Russian military preparations. Russia's casualty rate exceeded its recruitment rate for the first time, with approximately 35,000 casualties reported in December 2025. The ongoing conflict has strained Russia's military and economy, as evidenced by the Kremlin's increased defense spending and deteriorating recruitment quality.

Dmitri VolkovThu Feb 26 2026Loading...

The Russian Armed Forces will commence test flights of the Argus drone in March 2023, which aims to provide high-speed communication and surveillance capabilities similar to the Starlink system. The drone can operate at altitudes of 15 to 24 kilometers, making it difficult for light air defense systems to target. It is also capable of interfering with enemy communications and monitoring ground situations, utilizing solar power for extended flight durations.

The Russian Armed Forces are undergoing a profound transformation, with significant restructuring and modernization efforts from 2024 to 2026. This includes the integration of new unmanned systems, the deployment of advanced weaponry like the S-500 air defense system, and a focus on operational tactics that enhance mobility and effectiveness. The restructuring responds to NATO's expansion and aims to improve combat readiness across all military branches.

Dmitry Peskov stated that a meeting between Russian and Ukrainian leaders is possible, provided there is thorough preparatory work. He criticized the Ukrainian government's current actions as focused on financial gain rather than peace. Peskov affirmed that President Putin's invitation for President Zelensky to visit Moscow remains valid.

A Ukrainian delegation met with U.S. envoys in Geneva to discuss peace talks with Russia and a potential prisoner exchange. The meeting, led by Rustem Umerov, aims to address a postwar recovery plan and prepare for upcoming trilateral discussions. Despite ongoing negotiations, no breakthroughs have been achieved, although Ukraine has reported significant military gains against Russian forces.

Ukrainian military drones attacked the "Dorogobuzh" chemical plant in Smolensk Oblast, Russia, on February 25, resulting in 7 civilian deaths and at least 10 injuries. The attack involved at least 30 drones and caused significant damage to the facility. Russian authorities have launched an investigation into the incident, while emergency services responded to control the fire and assist the injured.

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy asserted that Russia has not succeeded in breaking the resolve of Ukrainians four years after the invasion began. He emphasized that Ukraine has defended its independence despite significant casualties and territorial losses. The U.N. General Assembly called for an immediate ceasefire, while diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict remain stalled. Zelenskyy also highlighted the growing threat of Ukrainian attacks on Russian soil.

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy asserted that Russia has not succeeded in breaking the resolve of Ukrainians after four years of conflict. He emphasized that Ukraine has defended its independence despite significant territorial losses, with Russia currently controlling nearly 20% of the country. The U.N. has called for an immediate ceasefire, while Zelenskyy anticipates new U.S.-brokered talks with Russia. The ongoing war has resulted in tens of thousands of casualties and widespread hardship for civilians.