Analysis & Reports

The U.S. military is preparing for a large-scale operation against Iran, potentially involving joint action with Israel. This follows ongoing negotiations in Geneva, which have shown little promise of success. The U.S. has deployed an aircraft carrier strike group and is preparing a second, alongside numerous other military assets in the Middle East. Israel is also preparing for the possibility of a breakdown in negotiations.

Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University showcased new unmanned systems at the World Defense Show in Riyadh. These include a tracked unmanned ground vehicle (UGV), quadruped robots, an unmanned surface vessel (USV), and a remotely operated vehicle (ROV), all designed for military applications. The UGV can carry significant payloads and is being developed for increased autonomy, while the USV is intended for intelligence and reconnaissance missions.

The Geneva negotiations on February 18, 2026, concluded after just two hours without any significant agreements. Ukraine reported 740 casualties among Russian forces, highlighting the ongoing conflict. Russia's demands for territorial recognition remain unchanged, complicating the peace process. The situation around the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant continues to be a critical point of contention.

Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026Loading...

The United States is deploying a second aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East as tensions with Iran escalate, with a White House official estimating a 90% chance of military strikes in the coming weeks. Israeli officials have warned of potential war within days, while diplomatic talks continue in Geneva. The USS Gerald R. Ford is expected to join the USS Abraham Lincoln in the region, enhancing US military presence and readiness for potential conflict.

Ahmed Al-RashidWed Feb 18 2026Loading...

The U.S. Navy is considering the establishment of a robotic autonomous systems (RAS) commander to oversee unmanned capabilities and integrate them into the fleet. Adm. Daryl Caudle announced this initiative during the WEST 2026 conference in Washington on February 10, 2026, emphasizing the need for a command structure that can effectively manage these systems across different domains.

The USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) is currently deployed to the Middle East, marking a projected 300-day deployment to counter Iran. Since June 24, 2025, the carrier has participated in high-intensity exercises in the North Sea and missions in the Caribbean. The U.S. Navy faces significant maintenance backlogs and a shipbuilding crisis, impacting its operational readiness and power projection capabilities.

Chinese J-15 carrier fighters were observed carrying the new YJ-15 anti-ship missile, confirming its operational status. The YJ-15, with a range exceeding 1,000 kilometers, enhances the strike capabilities of the People's Liberation Army Navy. This missile is designed for high-speed, low-altitude sea-skimming, posing a significant threat to naval vessels.

The U.S. Navy is enhancing air defense capabilities around its aircraft carriers to counter increasing threats from missiles, drones, and submarines, particularly from China. The Navy is considering deploying escort ships equipped with lasers to improve defense against mass attacks. Each carrier is equipped with 100 to 125 interceptor missiles, which may not suffice in saturation scenarios. The USS Gerald R. Ford has been deployed to the Central Command area to deter Iran, while China continues to develop advanced anti-ship capabilities.

The U.S. Air Force introduced the F-15EX Eagle II on April 7, 2023, at Eglin Air Force Base. This new fighter aircraft boasts a payload capacity of 29,500 lbs and features 23 weapons stations for various munitions. It is designed for homeland defense and standoff strikes, enhancing the capabilities of the Air Force alongside stealth fighters.

The U.S. Marine Corps is conducting the Dynamis Series, a project aimed at modernizing command and control systems for joint operations, with events starting from December 2023. The series includes collaboration with the Army's 4th Infantry Division to enhance capabilities. The Assistant Commandant emphasized the need for rapid progress to ensure effective command and control in contested environments.

Ulysses S. Grant led 25,000 Federal troops in significant military campaigns during the American Civil War, including the decisive victories at Fort Donelson and Vicksburg. His strategies and aggressive tactics earned him the nickname 'Unconditional Surrender' and culminated in the surrender of Confederate General Robert E. Lee at Appomattox Court House in 1865, effectively ending the war and reunifying the nation.

Sweden's Blekinge-class submarines, utilizing GHOST technology, are set for delivery between 2026 and 2035, with significant delays and budget increases. These submarines enhance NATO's capabilities in the Baltic Sea, designed for stealth and special operations. The first of the two planned submarines is now scheduled for delivery in 2031.

The USS Gerald R. Ford and USS Abraham Lincoln are deploying to the Arabian Sea to enhance U.S. naval pressure on Iran. This dual-carrier strike group configuration is intended for coordinated operations targeting Iranian command-and-control infrastructure. The carriers will leverage advanced weaponry, including F-35C stealth fighters and Block IV Tomahawk missiles, to conduct precise strikes without a prolonged land campaign.

USS John F. Kennedy (CVN-79) successfully completed its sea trials and is preparing for operational deployment. The U.S. Navy is set to operate two Ford-class aircraft carriers, enhancing its capabilities in the Caribbean Sea and Atlantic Ocean. The Ford-class features advanced automation and reduced crew requirements, supporting a faster operational tempo. The USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78) is currently active in the Mediterranean Sea.

U.S.-brokered talks in Geneva between Russian and Ukrainian envoys ended without a breakthrough, with both sides describing the negotiations as difficult. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy accused Russia of prolonging discussions while continuing military operations, which included drone strikes resulting in civilian casualties in Zaporizhzhia. Despite the lack of political agreement, military discussions were deemed constructive, focusing on future ceasefire monitoring with U.S. involvement.

U.S.-brokered talks in Geneva between Russian and Ukrainian envoys ended without a breakthrough, with both sides acknowledging the difficulty of negotiations. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy accused Russia of prolonging discussions while continuing military actions. Despite some constructive military discussions, significant political differences remain, particularly regarding territorial issues in eastern Ukraine. A new round of talks is anticipated, with European leaders participating in the process.

USS George Washington underwent a six-year refueling and complex overhaul, resulting in significant crew turnover and mental health issues, including 11 suicides. The overhaul cost $2.8 billion and involved 26 million man-hours. The carrier is now stationed in Yokosuka, Japan, as part of the U.S. 7th Fleet, ready for operations in the region.

Saudi Arabia contracted four C-27J maritime patrol aircraft from Italian firm Leonardo to enhance its naval capabilities. The delivery of these aircraft is expected to commence in 2029, marking a significant step in the Kingdom's naval modernization efforts. This acquisition follows a previous procurement of two C-27J aircraft for commercial use and is aimed at improving maritime domain awareness and operational reach against regional threats.

The U.S. Navy's Abraham Lincoln carrier is positioned off the coast of Oman, while Iranian naval drills continue in the Hormuz Strait. Russian forces have intensified missile strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, launching over 400 attacks recently. The U.S. aims to deter Iranian aggression and maintain military readiness in the region.

The People's Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has introduced the J-20S fighter, a twin-seat fifth-generation stealth aircraft designed for aerial command-and-control and potential carrier strike missions. This aircraft features advanced AESA radar technology, enabling superior detection capabilities and optimized for targeting U.S. Navy Carrier Strike Groups. The J-20S represents a significant shift in PLAAF operational doctrine, emphasizing manned-unmanned teaming and long-range attack capabilities.