Analysis & Reports

Ukrainian forces conducted long-range strikes on October 18, 2023, targeting logistics facilities in Moscow and Tambov Oblasts, as well as an oil facility. These strikes were aimed at disrupting the transportation of sanctioned components for military production. Additional strikes were reported in the Sea of Azov, Black Sea, and Crimea.

UAV attacks on July 18, 2026, resulted in seven deaths and 25 injuries in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, as drones targeted sensitive infrastructure, including an oil depot in Noginsk. The attacks prompted evacuations and highlighted vulnerabilities in Moscow's air defense system, with 28 drones intercepted before reaching their targets. Ukrainian forces continue to focus on disrupting Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jul 18 2026Loading...

Russia has unveiled advanced military prototypes, including the T-14 tank and Su-57 fighter, but has produced only a handful due to production challenges. In contrast, it has successfully manufactured tens of thousands of cheap drones, highlighting a significant shift in its military capabilities. The T-14 and Su-57 remain largely unutilized in combat, while the Su-75 Checkmate has yet to fly.

Ukrainian forces conducted drone operations on July 15, 2023, targeting 20 vessels in the Black Sea, including oil tankers and a tugboat. This operation is part of a larger campaign against Russian maritime logistics, which has seen intensified strikes on Odessa and surrounding areas. The Ukrainian military aims to disrupt Russian shipping and oil transport, reflecting a shift in the maritime conflict dynamics.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jul 16 2026Loading...

Ukrainian Unmanned Systems Forces damaged or disabled 116 Russian-linked vessels during a nine-day drone campaign in the Sea of Azov, with an additional wave targeting 20 more vessels. The operation focused on commercial and logistical vessels, aiming to disrupt Russia's military supply lines. This campaign reflects Ukraine's strategy of targeting infrastructure rather than direct military assets, utilizing inexpensive drones for sustained attacks.

Ukrainian naval drones targeted 136 Russian vessels between July 6 and 15, 2026, disrupting logistics in the Azov and Black Seas. This operation included attacks on oil tankers and gas carriers, indicating a shift in Ukrainian tactics to undermine Russian supply lines. In response, Russia is contemplating changes to its cargo routes due to the increased frequency of these attacks.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 15 2026Loading...

Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force is set to participate in RIMPAC 2026 and Sea Breeze 2026 exercises in July 2026, focusing on operations in both the Pacific and Black Sea. These exercises highlight Japan's adaptation to complex maritime threats, including the integration of unmanned systems and mine warfare. However, the increased training commitments may strain domestic readiness and personnel resources.

Tanaka TakashiWed Jul 15 2026Loading...

The Russian Navy decommissioned the Lada-class submarine Sankt Petersburg in 2023 due to persistent failures and high costs associated with its development. The Lada-class was intended to enhance Russia's undersea warfare capabilities but has been plagued by issues since its inception. Efforts to export the submarines have also failed, with no interest from potential buyers.

Ukraine launched drone strikes against Russian oil refineries and shipping in the Black Sea, targeting facilities in Bashkortostan and Krasnodar Krai. Russian air defenses intercepted 288 drones overnight, while Ukrainian forces reported successful hits on multiple vessels. These operations are part of a broader strategy to disrupt Russian energy supplies and logistics, contributing to a fuel crisis in Russia.

Ukraine launched a large-scale drone strike against over ten Russian military targets on July 13, including an airbase in Crimea and oil storage facilities. In retaliation, Russian forces struck Ukrainian infrastructure in Chernomorsk, destroying facilities used for military supplies. Both sides utilized drones and precision weapons in their operations.

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on 22 Russian oil refineries and related infrastructure from January to June 2026, impacting fuel logistics. The strikes targeted facilities in Tver, Stavropol Krai, Ufa, Rostov Oblast, Yaroslavl, Ust-Luga, and Omsk. As a result, fuel shortages have emerged in 78 of 83 Russian regions, complicating military supply chains and operations.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jul 13 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces targeted 14 vessels in the Kerch Strait overnight, including 10 tankers and 4 ferries, disrupting Russian military logistics. This operation reflects a strategic effort to undermine the supply routes critical for Russian operations in the region. The attacks are part of a broader campaign against the Russian shadow fleet, which is essential for transporting oil and fuel.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jul 13 2026Loading...

Ukrainian President Zelensky established a special command on October 10, 2023, to coordinate long-range strikes against Russia. Ukrainian forces attacked the Sezran oil refinery and vessels in the Sea of Azov, while Russian forces intensified their strikes on Ukrainian military infrastructure. In response to these attacks, Russia is enhancing the protection of its oil refineries and has reported fuel shortages due to production halts.

Russian forces conducted large-scale strikes against Ukrainian military facilities from July 11 to 12, 2023, destroying fuel, energy, and transport infrastructure, as well as drone storage and ammunition depots. In the past 24 hours, they reported the destruction of 585 Ukrainian drones and 11 aerial bombs. Concurrently, Ukrainian forces launched over 100 attacks on Belgorod, resulting in one death and seven injuries.

Ukrainian forces attacked the Syzran oil refinery and maritime logistics elements on July 11-12, 2026, while Russian air defense intercepted 178 Ukrainian drones. Reports indicate that ten Russian tankers and four ferries were also struck in the Azov Sea, highlighting a significant impact on Russian logistical capabilities. This marks a strategic shift in Ukrainian operations aimed at disrupting fuel and transport systems supporting Russian military efforts.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jul 12 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces attacked a Russian refinery in Syzran and targeted 10 oil tankers and 4 ferries in the Sea of Azov on July 12. The refinery explosion caused significant damage, and the attacks are part of a broader strategy to disrupt Russian logistics and operational capabilities.

Ukrainian forces struck 76 vessels, including tankers and the Syzran oil refinery, in the Sea of Azov between July 6-11, 2026. This has significantly impacted Russian military logistics, as evidenced by a sharp decline in active AIS signals and rising fuel prices in Russia. The strikes indicate a shift in operational behavior among Russian transporters, affecting supply routes and military operations.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jul 12 2026Loading...

Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries in July 2026 have reduced Russian gasoline production to 65% of domestic demand, causing significant fuel shortages. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have targeted 22 refineries, leading to operational disruptions and prompting Russian authorities to impose restrictions on fuel sales. This situation reflects a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach, aiming to systematically impact Russia's war economy.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jul 11 2026Loading...

Napoleon's Grande Armée, consisting of 600,000 men, invaded Russia in June 1812 but faced catastrophic starvation due to inadequate supply lines. The misattributed quote 'An army marches on its stomach' highlights the critical logistical failures during this campaign, leading to significant losses before any major battles occurred. The challenges of feeding troops prompted innovations in food preservation, notably the development of canning by Nicolas Appert.

Russian forces conducted intensive strikes on Ukrainian military and energy facilities on October 10, while also intercepting 144 Ukrainian drones over various regions, including the Black Sea. Concurrently, Ukrainian forces targeted multiple sites within Russia and Russian-controlled areas, including oil refineries and 18 ships. Russian troops continue to control 7 settlements and are engaged in demining operations.