Analysis & Reports

China asserted its sovereignty over Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea, responding to a March 7 incident where a Philippine Coast Guard reconnaissance aircraft was reportedly driven away by a Chinese warship. The Chinese Defense Ministry criticized the Philippines for alleged provocations and media manipulation, reaffirming its commitment to enforce its rights in the region.

On March 18, 2023, the Chinese Ministry of National Defense responded to Japanese accusations regarding China's defense spending. The spokesperson emphasized that China's military budget is transparent and necessary for national security, while criticizing Japan for its own military budget increases and historical aggression. The statement highlighted the disparity in defense spending between China and Japan, with Japan's budget significantly higher as a percentage of GDP.

The People's Liberation Army (PLA) will conduct over 2100 military open house events across more than 700 units in 2023. These activities are designed to enhance public understanding of national defense and military development, coinciding with significant national holidays. The initiative aims to foster a sense of patriotism and strengthen civil-military relations in China.

In March 2026, the U.S. transferred part of its THAAD missile systems from South Korea to the Middle East amid rising tensions with Iran. North Korea launched about 10 ballistic missiles into the Japan Sea during U.S.-South Korea military exercises. Japan announced its intention to participate in the Golden Dome missile defense initiative and began deploying domestic long-range missiles, reflecting a shift towards greater defense autonomy in response to regional threats.

Tanaka TakashiWed Mar 18 2026Loading...

AVIC is expanding its aircraft production capacity to 300-400 units annually by 2026, with new facilities in Chengdu and Shenyang. This expansion includes the production of J-20 and J-35 stealth fighters, potentially making the PLA Air Force the largest modern fighter force by 2029. The developments indicate a significant shift in global air power dynamics as China prepares for potential military operations, including scenarios involving Taiwan.

Li MinghuiWed Mar 18 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army has officially issued and activated the 'People's Liberation Army Reserve Personnel Certificate' to identify reserve personnel. This certificate features advanced anti-counterfeiting technologies and replaces the previous reserve officer certificate. Reserve personnel are required to carry this certificate during military training and operations.

U.S. officials confirmed that weapons shipments to Taiwan have not been delayed due to the ongoing war on Iran. The U.S. is facing a multi-billion-dollar backlog of arms shipments to Taiwan, with a significant arms package ready for approval. Concerns were raised about the defense industry's ability to meet demand amid the conflict, but the administration is exploring ways to expedite shipments. Additionally, President Trump postponed a trip to China that was expected to discuss Taiwan.

U.S. officials confirmed that weapons shipments to Taiwan have not been delayed due to the ongoing war on Iran. A significant arms package, including advanced interceptor missiles, is prepared for approval. The U.S. faces a multi-billion-dollar backlog of arms shipments to Taiwan, which is under increasing military pressure from China. Additionally, President Trump postponed a trip to China that was expected to address Taiwan-related discussions.

South Korea's Defense Minister announced that the country has not received a formal request from the United States to deploy troops to the Strait of Hormuz and has not discussed sending naval vessels to the Middle East. He emphasized that any troop deployment would require approval from the National Assembly. President Trump had previously called for allied nations to contribute naval support in the region.

China has developed a comprehensive anti-access/area-denial strategy over the past three decades, focusing on long-range anti-ship weapons and enhanced reconnaissance capabilities. This strategy aims to limit the operational effectiveness of U.S. aircraft carriers by forcing them to operate at greater distances from Taiwan. Key systems include the DF-21D and DF-26 missiles, supported by advanced surveillance and targeting networks.

The U.S. Marine Corps is hosting a weeklong celebration from June 1 to 4, 2023, at Marine Corps Air Station Cherry Point, North Carolina, to honor the legacy of the Harrier aircraft as it nears the end of its service life. The AV-8B Harrier II+ will be deactivated in September, and the Corps is transitioning to the F-35B Lightning II aircraft, aiming for a full fifth generation fleet by 2030. Events will include a social, picnic, and sundown ceremony, with some requiring payment for attendance.

The Australian government plans to sell over 60 military properties, including camps and training facilities in Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane, to reduce costs and fund new military projects. This plan has faced strong opposition from veteran organizations and the public, who argue it undermines military heritage and operational readiness. Defense Minister Richard Marles insists the facilities are not combat-ready and the sale will not impact defense capabilities.

The Pentagon's 2026 National Defense Strategy prioritizes homeland defense and deterrence against China, mandating allies to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP. Congress has allocated $12.6 billion to enhance surveillance and counter China's military buildup. The strategy emphasizes 'deterrence by denial' along the First Island Chain, while reallocating critical defense assets from the Indo-Pacific to the Middle East raises concerns about U.S. commitment to regional allies.

Marcus ChenTue Mar 17 2026Loading...

DroneShield is expanding its manufacturing capabilities in Belgium to address the rising demand for counter-drone technology, particularly in military and civilian sectors. The company is focusing on integrating advanced AI into its systems to enhance detection and classification of drones. This expansion aligns with increased military spending in Europe and the ongoing support for Ukraine's defense efforts.

In March 2026, China proposed a defense budget of 1.91 trillion RMB, marking a 7% increase aimed at enhancing military modernization and integrating artificial intelligence. The People's Liberation Army is focusing on transitioning to intelligent warfare capabilities and developing advanced combat systems. This budget aligns with strategic goals set for 2027 and 2030, emphasizing the importance of AI in military operations.

Li MinghuiTue Mar 17 2026Loading...

China is preparing to exploit the strategic vacuum created by U.S. military actions in Iran, potentially targeting Taiwan and Japan. The U.S. Navy is avoiding engagement in the Strait of Hormuz, leading to concerns about its operational capacity. Chinese forces have amassed around Taiwan, indicating a possible blockade or invasion strategy. Beijing is learning from the Iranian conflict to enhance its military readiness in the Indo-Pacific.

Chinese scientists at the China Aerodynamics Research and Development Centre (CARDC) simulated the flight characteristics of the B-21 Raider, identifying potential aerodynamic weaknesses. This study utilized the PADJ-X digital modeling platform and reflects a growing trend in military aerospace design. The B-21 Raider is a critical component of U.S. military strategy, intended to replace older bombers, while China is concurrently developing its own stealth bomber, the Xi’an H-20.

President Trump framed his call for allies to deploy warships to the Strait of Hormuz as a loyalty test, following resistance from several nations. Countries like Germany and Italy have declined to assist, emphasizing NATO's defensive role. The Strait remains blocked, impacting global energy supplies, while Iran has signaled its readiness to continue its military actions without negotiation.

U.S. President Trump pressured NATO allies to assist in securing the Strait of Hormuz, warning of dire consequences if they do not respond. Allies, including the UK and Germany, expressed reluctance to engage militarily, with some countries outright rejecting participation. Trump indicated he has requested naval support from around seven nations, while discussions about forming an 'escort alliance' are ongoing.

Japan is reviewing its defense budget for the 2026 fiscal year, which exceeds 9 trillion yen, and is considering acquiring Ukrainian-made drones to strengthen its defense capabilities. The country plans to enhance military cooperation with the U.S. by expanding information sharing and collaborating on missile production, including the Patriot 3 system. Concerns have been raised domestically regarding the implications of Japan's military expansion on regional peace.