Analysis & Reports

Iran launched a systematic campaign of ballistic missile and drone strikes against Gulf Cooperation Council states in March 2026, with the UAE intercepting 165 ballistic missiles and 541 drones. The strikes targeted civilian infrastructure in Dubai and Bahrain, indicating a shift in Iranian strategy. Saudi Arabia also reported intercepting multiple Iranian missiles and drones. The US military adjusted its presence in the region amid the escalating conflict.

Ahmed Al-RashidThu Mar 12 2026Loading...

NATO commenced its Cold Response 2026 exercise in the Norwegian Arctic on March 9, emphasizing civilian preparedness and total defense concepts. On the same day, NATO missile defense systems intercepted an Iranian ballistic missile that entered Turkish airspace. European defense strategy is diversifying, with increased arms imports from South Korea and Israel, while the UK is stepping up its leadership role in European security.

Alexandra ReevesThu Mar 12 2026Loading...

HAVELSAN broke ground on a new flight simulator production and integration facility in Ankara on March 12, 2026. The facility will enable the production of over 30 simulators annually and support the development of up to 16 simulators simultaneously. This expansion positions HAVELSAN as the largest full flight simulator production center in Europe and the Middle East, enhancing Türkiye's role in the aviation training industry.

The Turkish Ministry of Defense announced the deployment of a Patriot air defense system in Malatya on March 11, 2026, to enhance air defense capabilities against Iranian missile and drone attacks. This system is being prepared for operational readiness to protect Turkish airspace, complementing an existing Patriot system at İncirlik Air Base. The deployment is part of NATO's enhanced defense measures in the region.

Iranian forces launched hundreds of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones targeting Gulf Cooperation Council states from late February 2026. Between March 1 and March 4, Qatar intercepted 125 of 145 threats, while Bahrain neutralized 61 missiles and 34 drones. The UAE reported over 800 threats detected and intercepted, although some caused localized damage. The conflict has prompted Gulf states to enhance their air defense capabilities and focus on defense industrial localization.

Ahmed Al-RashidThu Mar 12 2026Loading...

Hezbollah launched a missile attack on the Israeli naval special forces headquarters located at the Atlit base, south of Haifa, in the early morning hours of the 12th. The attack involved a significant number of high-quality missiles. As of now, there has been no response from Israeli authorities.

The U.S. Air Force's B-52 Stratofortress has been deployed in Iran, conducting strikes during Operation Epic Fury. The modernization to the B-52J variant is facing delays, particularly in radar production, which is now expected to be completed by 2030. This upgrade is essential for maintaining strategic capabilities against potential threats from China and other nations.

The F-16XL, a prototype fighter jet designed in the 1980s, was evaluated for its potential role in the 2026 air campaign against Iran. Its cranked-arrow delta wing design allowed for increased payload and range, making it suitable for long-range strikes. Although it never entered production, its capabilities align with current operational needs for striking Iranian military infrastructure.

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) introduced the Merkava Mark 5 Barak tank, featuring advanced technologies such as AI-driven target processing and the Trophy Active Protection System. This tank is designed for high-intensity urban warfare expected in 2026 and has a proven combat history since its debut in 1982. The latest model was unveiled in September 2023 and is scheduled for acceptance testing in January 2024.

The U.S. Air Force faces criticism for focusing on air denial rather than air superiority, which is crucial for operational success. Recent conflicts in Ukraine and Iran demonstrate that without air superiority, military operations become constrained and costly. The report emphasizes the need for the U.S. to reaffirm its commitment to achieving air control to effectively project power and sustain operations.

The U.S. Army may relocate THAAD air defense systems from South Korea to the Middle East as the conflict with Iran escalates. President Lee Jae Myung stated that while South Korea cannot prevent the U.S. from moving its assets, the country's defenses remain adequate against North Korea. Reports indicate that military transport aircraft have been seen departing for the region, and the U.S. THAAD inventory is being tested amid ongoing operations.

U.S. air defense systems, including THAAD, may be relocated from South Korea to the Middle East as the conflict with Iran escalates. South Korea's President Lee Jae Myung stated that the U.S. could dispatch these systems abroad, although he emphasized that South Korea's defenses are adequate against North Korea. Reports indicate that military transport aircraft have been moving to and from the region, highlighting the ongoing adjustments in U.S. military deployments.

U.S. military operations against Iranian forces continued in the Strait of Hormuz, resulting in the destruction of at least 16 Iranian mine-laying vessels. Approximately 140-150 U.S. service members have been injured, with 108 returning to duty. Iranian missile and drone attacks have decreased, while the U.S. Navy has refrained from escorting ships through the strait due to safety concerns. Iran has begun mining the strait and is targeting banks associated with the U.S. and Israel.

Iran is negotiating with China for a $5 billion military package that includes CM-302 anti-ship missiles and J-20 fighter jets. The discussions, led by Deputy Defense Minister Massoud Oraei, have accelerated following recent conflicts. This deal aims to enhance Iran's military capabilities against regional adversaries, particularly after the degradation of its air defenses.

UAE AH-64 Apache helicopters engaged and shot down Iranian Shaheed drones in March 2026. Pilots confirmed the authenticity of the video showing the engagement, which utilized the 30mm M230 chain gun. The U.S. has been testing air-burst ammunition for drone targets, highlighting the evolving role of Apaches in drone warfare.

The USS Nimitz (CVN-68) is set to begin its retirement process in May 2026 due to aging nuclear reactors, with the U.S. Navy transitioning to the Gerald R. Ford-class carriers. The USS John F. Kennedy (CVN-79) is expected to enter service in 2027, ensuring continued naval capability. Despite the retirement, the U.S. Navy will maintain a robust fleet of 10 nuclear-powered carriers, supporting operations in the Middle East and Indo-Pacific regions.

Gulf air defense systems engaged Iranian ballistic missiles and drones during the first week of March 2026, successfully intercepting 161 ballistic missiles and 35 drones in the UAE. Qatar reported a 100% success rate against cruise missiles and 96% against ballistic missiles. The operational performance of these systems demonstrated a significant advancement in the Gulf states' military capabilities, marking a shift from reliance on external support to independent defensive operations.

Ahmed Al-RashidWed Mar 11 2026Loading...

U.S. Central Command conducted airstrikes against Iranian missile and drone-related assets on March 11, targeting an SA-5 launcher at Bushehr airbase. The operation, part of ongoing efforts to degrade Iranian strike capabilities, has led to a significant decline in Iranian ballistic missile and drone attacks. The strikes were documented in newly released video footage.

Australia deployed an E-7A Wedgetail early-warning aircraft and 85 troops to the Middle East on March 10, 2023, to bolster airspace security amid Iranian attacks. The deployment includes replenishing the United Arab Emirates' stocks of AIM-120 air-to-air missiles. The aircraft will operate for an initial four-week period, likely from Al Minad Air Base near Dubai, enhancing regional defenses against Iranian drones and missiles.

EDGE launched the first-of-class BR71 MK II Combattante corvette for the Angolan Navy in Cherbourg, France, on 10 March 2026. The corvette is part of a EUR 1 billion contract and will enhance Angola's maritime capabilities. Two additional corvettes are under construction, with advanced unmanned aerial systems integrated for surveillance. This development signifies a growing security partnership between Angola and the UAE.