分析与报告
对来自公开来源的军事相关信息进行AI辅助分析
特使信号未能弥合俄罗斯和乌克兰的军事、政治分歧
在美国斡旋下，俄罗斯和乌克兰特使在日内瓦的会谈未能取得突破，双方均承认谈判的困难。乌克兰总统泽连斯基指责俄罗斯在继续军事行动的同时拖延讨论。尽管有一些建设性的军事讨论，但在东乌克兰的领土问题上仍存在重大政治分歧。预计将进行新一轮会谈，欧洲领导人将参与这一进程。
B-52战略堡垒与图-95熊与B-2幽灵：冷战巨头与隐形革命
B-52H战略堡垒、图-95MS熊和B-2幽灵在2026年仍在军事行动中积极使用，其中B-52H作为远程打击的多功能平台。图-95MS被用于俄罗斯对乌克兰的战略空中行动，从远距离发射Kh-101导弹。B-2幽灵仍然是唯一能够突破先进空中防御的飞机，突显其在核威慑中的关键作用。
Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026Loading...
F-22猛禽战斗机与F-35闪电II战斗机与J-20猛龙战斗机与苏-57战斗机：第五代战斗机对决
F-22猛禽战斗机、F-35闪电II战斗机、J-20猛龙战斗机和苏-57战斗机代表了第五代战斗机技术的前沿。F-22在隐身和空中优势方面表现出色，而F-35则强调网络化能力。J-20具有令人印象深刻的航程和生产率，尽管苏-57灵活性强，但面临生产挑战。每种飞机的设计反映了不同的战略优先事项和作战理论，塑造了未来空战的动态。
Marcus ChenWed Feb 18 2026Loading...
From 45 to 1,000: The Rarely Mentioned Data Gap Behind China's Nuclear Warhead Expansion
China is reportedly expanding its nuclear arsenal, with projections indicating a rise to 1000 warheads by 2030. A 2.75 magnitude earthquake detected near Lop Nur in 2020 has raised suspicions of a nuclear test, although evidence remains inconclusive. The US has expressed concerns over China's nuclear capabilities and testing practices, particularly regarding the use of decoupling technology to obscure test yields.
Li MinghuiWed Feb 18 2026Loading...俄罗斯的新米格-35战斗机永远无法战胜美国空军的隐形F-22或F-35
俄罗斯空军的米格-35战斗机项目面临重大挑战，生产数量不足十架，且军方支持有限。该飞机最初于2017年订购，计划于2027年交付，但在出口市场上与成熟的西方战斗机竞争时遇到困难。米格-35缺乏隐形能力以及持续的开发问题，阻碍了其在乌克兰持续冲突中的作战有效性。
俄罗斯以疲惫的军队前往日内瓦——克里姆林宫谈判立场背后的真相
截至2026年2月，俄罗斯在哈尔科夫州的兹比涅以削弱的第127摩托化步枪团向前推进。克里姆林宫宣布弗拉基米尔·梅金斯基将于2月17日在日内瓦主导谈判，目标是达成暗示乌克兰投降的条款。尽管占领了领土，俄罗斯军队的人员编制仅为40%，显示出系统性的疲惫。同时，乌克兰报告其能源基础设施遭受严重损坏。
Dmitri VolkovTue Feb 17 2026Loading...普京可以结束乌克兰战争，但他不会。这意味着俄罗斯可能发生政变
普京正在考虑宣布在乌克兰战争中获胜，控制克里米亚、顿巴斯、赫尔松和扎波罗热的领土。然而，他面临着重大的政治限制，这可能阻止他这样做，从而导致精英的抵抗加剧和政变的可能性。随着战争的继续，他政权的稳定性越来越受到质疑。
俄罗斯军用飞机制造商报告重大财务损失
TANTK Beriev在2025年报告净亏损超过50亿卢布，反映出收入显著下降和债务上升。作为俄罗斯军事航空领域的关键参与者，该公司因多次乌克兰无人机和导弹袭击而面临运营中断，影响了其生产能力。其对债权人的负债增加，表明财务压力加大。
莫斯科在萨赫勒地区制度化其存在——与瓦加杜古的战略协议及AES部长级格式
2026年2月12日，俄罗斯通过与布基纳法索签署战略协议，正式确立其在萨赫勒地区的军事存在，重点关注安全和反恐。这项协议标志着从私人军事承包商参与向国家层面的合作转变，俄罗斯军队现在在正式的外交框架下行动。随着莫斯科寻求在西方军队撤离的背景下增强其在该地区的影响力，俄罗斯军事人员在马里、布基纳法索和尼日尔的存在正在增加。
Marie DuboisSat Feb 14 2026Loading...Four individuals involved in the attack on the Russian general will be prosecuted.
Four individuals involved in the attack on Russian General Alekseev are to be prosecuted for terrorism charges, as announced by the Russian Federal Investigative Committee on February 13. The attack, which occurred on February 6, aimed to intimidate the public and destabilize the government. Alekseev was shot but has since undergone successful surgery and is in stable condition.
2026年俄罗斯将从何处寻找战争人员——预算危机与强制征兵的转变
到2026年，由于预算限制，俄罗斯军队将转向强制征兵方法，每月需要25,000到40,000名新的合同士兵。布里亚特和塔塔尔斯坦等地区可能面临更大的征兵压力，而莫斯科和圣彼得堡则相对独立。对经济激励的依赖已减少，随着军事损失的持续增加，可能会出现第二波动员。
Dmitri VolkovFri Feb 13 2026Loading...
特朗普推动对格林兰的关注迫使美国盟友考虑自己的核武器
随着特朗普总统的外交政策转向敌对，特别是对格林兰的威胁，美国盟友越来越重新考虑对美国核保护伞的依赖。这种不稳定可能导致欧洲和亚洲的盟友寻求自己的核威慑，打破长期以来的防御与不扩散的交易。这一局势反映了国际关系和军事联盟的重大变化。
俄罗斯仍将美国视为其首要对手，爱沙尼亚情报报告称
俄罗斯继续将美国视为其主要全球对手，正在进行旨在利用美国政府变动恢复双边关系的谈判。这一战略可能促进俄罗斯的间谍活动和影响力操作，同时削弱美国的国际影响力。爱沙尼亚情报报告强调中俄之间日益加深的合作，将乌克兰冲突框架为与以华盛顿为首的西方的文明斗争。
Nuclear Arms Control Hardens Against China, Russian Official Criticizes America's "Double Standards"
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov criticized the U.S. for attempting to involve China in new nuclear arms control negotiations while excluding the UK and France. He emphasized that Russia respects China's self-defense nuclear strategy. The New START treaty expired on October 5, 2023, leaving the U.S. and Russia without a bilateral arms control framework. U.S. Secretary of State Rubio stated that nuclear arms control is now a multilateral issue, implicating China as a key player.
Russian Foreign Minister Discusses Nuclear Arms Control Treaty: If the U.S. Continues to Abide by the Restrictions, Russia Will Also Comply
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced that Russia will adhere to the New START treaty's restrictions on nuclear weapons if the United States continues to comply. This statement was made during a speech in Moscow on February 11, 2023. The New START treaty, signed in 2010, aims to limit the number of nuclear warheads and delivery systems between the two nations, with an extension valid until February 2026.
Putin: Russia Will Fully Ensure National Security and Promote the Construction of a Just and Multipolar World Order
Russian President Putin emphasized the critical role of diplomacy in ensuring national security during a speech on February 10. He stated that Russia will continue to utilize all diplomatic resources to create a favorable external environment for its development. Putin also highlighted the importance of strengthening relationships with CIS countries and promoting a multipolar world order based on international law.
Russian Foreign Minister: Russia is Willing to Resolve the Ukraine Issue Through Dialogue
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that Russia is willing to seek dialogue to resolve the Ukraine issue during a speech in Moscow on February 10, 2023. He emphasized the importance of building a multipolar world and maintaining strategic partnerships with countries such as China and India.
Russian Foreign Minister: If European Countries Launch an Attack, Russia Will Use All Means for Military Response
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov warned that if European countries prepare for war and attack Russia, the response will not be limited to special military actions but will involve a complete military response. He emphasized that Russia has no plans to attack Europe and criticized certain European leaders for escalating tensions.
The U.S. Aims to Build Momentum for Elections, Ukrainian President Reveals "Deadline," U.S. Requests Russia and Ukraine to Cease Fire in June?
Ukrainian President Zelensky announced that the U.S. has proposed negotiations for a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia before June 2023, coinciding with the U.S. midterm elections. Zelensky confirmed Ukraine's willingness to participate in talks in the U.S. amid concerns about potential U.S. pressure on Ukraine regarding territorial issues. The situation remains complex as both sides continue to negotiate amidst ongoing military actions.
无人系统部队作为第六军种：组织革命还是官僚陷阱
俄罗斯武装部队计划在2026年2月之前建立一个新的军种——无人系统部队（ВБС），由87,000名人员组成。该编制将包括一个旅、四个团以及众多营和连，专注于无人机操作。然而，人们对官僚结构以及在国防工业现有短缺情况下招募合格人员的能力表示担忧。
Dmitri VolkovSat Feb 07 2026Loading...
