分析与报告

2024年1月24日，USS Cincinnati (LCS-20)停靠在柬埔寨的瑞姆海军基地，这标志着自中国在该设施扩建以来美国的首次访问。该舰与一艘中国军舰的距离约为150米，突显了该基地对所有国家的开放性。这次访问是加强美柬关系和抵消中国在该地区影响力的更广泛努力的一部分。

美国海军面临关于USS尼米兹号（CVN-68）的关键决策，因为该舰即将接近服役寿命的尽头。2025年4月18日，该航母抵达关岛，突显了其在美国海军行动中的持续作用。海军必须在昂贵的延寿改造和退役之间做出选择，尽管对航母的需求很高，而福特级航母的替代速度却低于预期。

The China Coast Guard released a promotional video titled 'Law Enforcement at Sea' to commemorate the fifth anniversary of the Coast Guard Law. The video highlights the agency's commitment to maritime law enforcement and safeguarding national sovereignty. This initiative aims to enhance public awareness and support for the Coast Guard's operations.

俄罗斯从1990年代到2000年代初向中国出售军事装备和技术，显著推动了中国的军事现代化。主要销售包括苏-27和苏-30等战斗机，以及基洛级潜艇等海军资产。这一关系最初对两国都有利，但随着中国逐渐发展自己的军事能力，变得在战略上尴尬。

The Southern Theater Command celebrated its achievements and readiness for national defense from 2016 to 2026. The report emphasizes the commitment to safeguarding the southern border of China and maintaining national security. It showcases the dedication and efforts of the command over the past decade.

中国国防部长在最近的一次视频通话中敦促俄罗斯加强军事协调，强调建立战略关系的必要性。这次通话是在俄罗斯与乌克兰重新展开和平谈判之后进行的，突显了中国在支持俄罗斯军事努力中的角色。美国官员声称，中国提供了俄罗斯导弹和无人机系统所需的重要组成部分，这进一步复杂化了地缘政治局势。

预计到2026年，格林兰、乌克兰、台湾、伊朗和印巴等多个地区的紧张局势将加剧。美国军方的备战状态受到审视，特朗普总统已威胁对格林兰采取行动，而乌克兰正面临与俄罗斯的持续冲突。中国可能会看到对台湾采取行动的机会，而伊朗的内部危机可能会引发外部军事反应。印巴之间的竞争依然危险，近期的冲突使两国更加大胆。

美国空军正在考虑将19架B-2幽灵隐形轰炸机转移到澳大利亚，原因是交付弗吉尼亚级潜艇面临挑战。这一转移将为澳大利亚提供远程打击能力，填补自F-111退役以来的空白。B-2的使用寿命可能延续到2040年代，使其成为增强澳大利亚应对地区威胁的军事准备的可行选择。

中国国防发言人警告日本 militarism 的复苏，指出日本正在扩大其军事能力并违反国际义务。中国承诺与热爱和平的国家合作，以遏制这一复苏，强调其对地区和全球稳定构成的威胁。

Li MinghuiFri Jan 30 2026Loading...

On January 29, the Ministry of National Defense of China addressed concerns regarding Japan's potential actions related to the Diaoyu Islands, asserting that these islands are China's inherent territory. The ministry criticized Japan's military expansion and development of offensive weapons, warning that such actions threaten regional peace and stability. China pledged to take effective measures to defend its territorial sovereignty.

The Philippines announced military exercises in the South China Sea from January 21 to March 31, 2026, covering the area around Huangyan Island. In response, China’s Defense Ministry expressed strong opposition, asserting that Huangyan Island is Chinese territory and has lodged a formal protest with the Philippines. This development is likely to escalate maritime tensions in the region.

The 1st Army Area Command of Thailand announced the postponement of a memorandum signing with Cambodia regarding regional issues on January 29. The decision followed discussions held at the Poipet border crossing between the 1st Army Area Command and the 5th Army Area Command of Cambodia. Further negotiations are required before the memorandum can be finalized, with both sides committed to maintaining border peace and stability.

Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense criticized the DPP government for manipulating public opinion regarding cognitive warfare tactics from mainland China during a press conference on January 29. The ministry accused the DPP of attempting to sever cultural ties with the mainland and using cognitive warfare to distract from its political failures, which is believed to increase public resentment in Taiwan.

The Ministry of National Defense of China responded to military animation videos from Swedish, American, British, and Japanese companies that claimed to depict the sinking of Chinese naval vessels. The spokesperson noted that the Swedish military company has removed the videos and criticized the claims as self-indulgent, stating, 'You wish!'

On January 29, the Ministry of National Defense of China expressed concerns over Japan's military expansion, including the development of long-range missiles and offensive weapons. The Chinese defense spokesperson criticized Japan's actions as a threat to regional stability and emphasized the need to prevent the resurgence of militarism. This statement reflects heightened vigilance among regional nations regarding Japan's military ambitions.

On January 29, the Ministry of National Defense of China commented on the U.S. defense strategy, noting its omission of Taiwan, which signals a strategic withdrawal. The ministry emphasized that Taiwan is a domestic issue and criticized the Democratic Progressive Party's reliance on foreign support as self-deceptive.

On January 29, the Ministry of National Defense of China held a press conference where spokesperson Jiang Bin commented on the U.S. 2026 Defense Strategy. He rejected any attempts to contain China and emphasized the need for mutual respect and peaceful coexistence. Jiang urged the U.S. to stop depicting China as a military threat and to foster stable military relations.

On January 29, 2023, Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense held a press conference addressing the rejection of a defense budget proposal by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP). The DPP's proposal for 1.25 trillion NTD was voted down, with accusations of corruption and mismanagement of public funds directed at the party. The spokesperson warned that such actions could jeopardize Taiwan's security and accelerate the risks of conflict.

The Chinese Ministry of National Defense addressed animated videos from military-industrial companies in Sweden, the UK, the US, and Japan that falsely depict the sinking of Chinese naval vessels. The spokesperson noted that the Swedish company has removed the video and criticized the actions as self-indulgent, urging other involved parties to take appropriate actions.

中国正在实施一项国家全面战争战略，动员民用和军事资源以对抗美国，特别是聚焦于台湾。中国人民解放军（PLA）正在通过整合高科技系统和民用资产为未来冲突做准备，预计在2027年左右可能会对台湾采取行动。该战略强调技术、基础设施韧性和网络能力在干扰美国军事行动中的重要性。