The number of draft dodgers in Germany continues to increase.

Report Content

Reference News Network reported on April 30 According to the German magazine Der Spiegel's website on April 27, the reform of the conscription system continues to make many young German men feel uneasy. The prospect of being conscripted into military service has suddenly become very real. Reports indicate that the number of people in Germany applying to refuse military service is steadily increasing.

The Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung cited data provided by German authorities, reporting that in the first quarter of this year, 2,656 people have submitted the corresponding applications.

It is reported that in 2024, a total of 2,998 people in Germany applied for exemption from military service, and in 2025, 3,867 people submitted the corresponding applications. If this trend continues, the number of those refusing military service in 2026 could reach the highest level since the suspension of mandatory military service in 2011.

The tense security situation and the new Military Service Law that took effect on January 1 this year may be background factors contributing to this trend. The core content of the law stipulates that young men born in 2008 and later are obligated to participate in conscription medical examinations. This regulation aims to recruit volunteers for military expansion. However, if the Bundeswehr fails to meet its expansion targets, the German Bundestag may decide to implement a "demand-based conscription system."

Last week, German Defense Minister Pistorius announced a military strategy. In this strategy, he insisted on a target of 260,000 active-duty soldiers as the goal for the expansion of the Bundeswehr. Pistorius stated last Wednesday in Berlin that, including reserve personnel, the size of the German military should reach at least 460,000. He said the goal is to make the German military the strongest conventional force in Europe. (Translated by Wang Qiang)

Classification
Region
Europe
Analytical Domain
Strategic
Primary Category / Secondary Categories
Political-Military / Military Operations
SALUTE Report
Size
2656 applications in Q1 2024; projected 2998 in 2024; 3867 in 2025
Activity
Increase in applications for military service exemption
Location
Germany
Unit
German Armed Forces
Time
2024-2026
Equipment
-
Summary

The number of applications for military service exemption in Germany has increased, with 2656 submitted in the first quarter of 2024. Projections indicate 2998 applications for the entire year and 3867 for 2025. This trend is influenced by a new conscription law effective January 1, 2024, which mandates military health checks for young men born in 2008 or later. Defense Minister Pistorius aims to expand the German Armed Forces to 460,000 personnel.

Key Facts
  • 2656 applications for military exemption in Q1 2024
  • 2998 total applications expected in 2024
  • 3867 applications projected for 2025
  • New conscription law effective January 1, 2024
  • Defense Minister Pistorius aims to expand the military to 460,000 personnel