Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

The European Aspides Operation Targets More Than 10 Ships in the Red Sea and Protecting Bab el-Mandeb Tests Western Deterrence Strength

The European Aspides Operation Targets More Than 10 Ships in the Red Sea and Protecting Bab el-Mandeb Tests Western Deterrence Strength

Military OperationsLogisticsPolitical-MilitaryHybrid

European Union naval forces are increasing their presence in the Red Sea to over 10 ships as part of Operation Aspidis, responding to escalating Houthi attacks. This decision, made on September 28, 2026, follows Italy's request for reinforcements after its frigate escorted a commercial vessel. The operation aims to secure vital trade routes, but logistical challenges remain in maintaining effective naval operations against Houthi threats.

Ahmed Al-RashidAhmed Al-RashidMon Sep 28 2026
The closure of Hormuz and the Houthis' control over Bab al-Mandab test the Gulf's ability to protect its exports in 2026.

The closure of Hormuz and the Houthis' control over Bab al-Mandab test the Gulf's ability to protect its exports in 2026.

Political-MilitaryMilitary OperationsLogisticsStrategic

Italy announced it will send warships to protect its commercial vessels through Bab el-Mandeb on September 18, 2026, while South Korea reiterated it will not send combat troops to the Strait of Hormuz. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and Houthi control of Bab el-Mandeb are testing the Gulf's ability to protect its exports. Saudi Arabia is resorting to ship-to-ship transfers to move oil due to threats from Houthi attacks.

Ahmed Al-RashidAhmed Al-RashidFri Sep 18 2026
The depletion of Saudi Patriot missiles in 2026 after a Houthi drone near Mecca tests alliances

The depletion of Saudi Patriot missiles in 2026 after a Houthi drone near Mecca tests alliances

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsLogisticsHybrid

Saudi air defenses intercepted a Houthi drone near Mecca on September 15, 2026, highlighting concerns over the depletion of Patriot missile stocks amid ongoing threats. Houthi forces claimed attacks on military and oil facilities, prompting Saudi Arabia to seek defensive assistance from multiple countries. The incident underscores the challenges faced by Saudi Arabia in maintaining air defense capabilities against Houthi aggression.

Ahmed Al-RashidAhmed Al-RashidThu Sep 17 2026

Saudi Arabia Closes the East-West Corridor After Drone Attacks and Houthi Control of Bab al-Mandab in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Saudi Arabia closed the East-West pipeline on September 10-11, 2026, following drone attacks launched from Iraq and Houthi advances in the Bab al-Mandab Strait. The Houthi movement captured key locations along the Red Sea coast, threatening Saudi oil exports and highlighting vulnerabilities in the kingdom's defense infrastructure. This situation raises concerns about regional security and the ability of Saudi forces to respond effectively to multi-front threats.

Ahmed Al-RashidAhmed Al-RashidSat Sep 12 2026

Saudi, UAE, and Qatari Investments in Alternatives to Hormuz Reveal the Limits of Gulf Security in 2026

Political-MilitaryLogisticsStrategic

Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar, are investing in alternative routes to the Strait of Hormuz due to security concerns. Traffic through the strait has significantly decreased, prompting these nations to enhance their logistical capabilities and diversify their export routes. This shift indicates a lack of confidence in the security of traditional maritime pathways, as military threats persist in the region.

Ahmed Al-RashidAhmed Al-RashidSun Aug 30 2026
Houthi Attack on Jizan Tests Saudi Arabia's Defense After $41 Billion American Deals

Houthi Attack on Jizan Tests Saudi Arabia's Defense After $41 Billion American Deals

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Houthi forces launched a missile strike on Jizan, Saudi Arabia, on July 25, 2026, testing the kingdom's defenses amid rising tensions. The attack coincided with a maritime blockade declared by the Houthis and threats to Saudi shipping in the Red Sea. Saudi Arabia confirmed minor damage to a vessel but is under pressure to manage multiple threats while relying on U.S. military support.

Ahmed Al-RashidAhmed Al-RashidSat Jul 25 2026
Expanding Aspides to Hormuz with Four European Ships Reveals the Inability to Protect a Fifth of Global Energy in 2026

Expanding Aspides to Hormuz with Four European Ships Reveals the Inability to Protect a Fifth of Global Energy in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

The European Aspides mission is expanding to include four ships to enhance protection for shipping in the Strait of Hormuz as of May 28, 2026. This expansion aims to address the challenges posed by Iranian military threats and ensure freedom of navigation in a critical global energy corridor. The mission currently operates with limited naval assets, highlighting the logistical difficulties faced by European forces in the region.

Ahmed Al-RashidAhmed Al-RashidSat May 30 2026

Three Carriers, 97 Sorties, and a Broken Shield: The Gulf Military Picture in Late April 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsStrategic AssessmentHybrid

The United States significantly increased its military presence in the Middle East, conducting 97 heavy transport sorties and deploying three aircraft carriers. An Iranian F-5 successfully bombed Camp Buehring in Kuwait, highlighting vulnerabilities in U.S. air defenses. Concurrently, Iran escalated tensions by attacking commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, complicating the regional security environment.

Ahmed Al-RashidAhmed Al-RashidWed Apr 29 2026